Cubswin11
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Everything posted by Cubswin11
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They have a nice system right now but there’s a lot of pitchers in it (one of which already blew out in Kopech) and I don’t see the Bryant type prospect that will anchor things to lead to a turn around. It seems like more depth and complimentary pieces than stars. Which is good to have, but they need stats to finish the turn around. Now how could they dramatically alleviate such a situation... Bryce absolutely helps. But they’re still going to have to way over pay him to come to sit around for a few years while everyone develops with no certainty of these prospects and them all like being more 2-3 win guys than anything else and my response was not about Bryce it was just regarding why the White Sox system is good but not great and lacks stars.
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Great, but it's pretty horsefeathering funny to watch people essentially flat out deny they have a good system right now. How many different ways can someone say, "no, no; it actually sucks despite (seemingly) literally every farm ranking" before they just sound crazy. They have a nice system right now but there’s a lot of pitchers in it (one of which already blew out in Kopech) and I don’t see the Bryant type prospect that will anchor things to lead to a turn around. It seems like more depth and complimentary pieces than stars. Which is good to have, but they need stats to finish the turn around.
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As a trade chip I'd take him back, sure. As a big league player, he is a DH or a bad corner outfielder. Sounds like my description of Schwarber two years ago. Right, but we had Bryant and Rizzo as our star anchors of 5-8+ WAR guys. Schwarber turning in to a 2-3 (with a ~4 ceiling) WAR player doesn’t hurt us, we obviously want more but as our ~5th best position player it’s fine. The White Sox need Eloy to be that 6-8 WAR player because they don’t have it anywhere else and it’s nearly impossible to be that as a bat only DH/bad defensive Of and base runner type player. The ceiling on that guy is around 4 wins unless he hits like peak Bonds. I do think he will hit though, but think he tops out at closer to 3 than 5 WAR and he isn’t going to be the superstar so many are anointing him as by default. He also doesn’t walk a ton and he’s had injury issues already.
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Brantley isn't really a CF anymore. If we're looking for a CF addition, I'd go Pollock. Heyward/Happ/Almora can play CF with Brantley in RF. Could go Schwarber/Heyward or Happ/ Brantley left to right vs RHP and Happ or Bote or Bryant/Almora/Zobrist or Heyward left to right vs LHP
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Yeah, they’re idiots
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My mind went to Jed Lowrie or Brantley
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Hopefully Ralph is right
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That sucks. Minor League Ball/Sickels was one of my favorite sites for reading up on our minor leaguers and other teams, I really liked the format and was my go to when just searching for a teams top ~20 list to read the write ups. Hopefully someone hires Sickels and he can basically replicate minor league ball on their site.
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He’d have to suffer a major injury or some fluke thing for that 2021 option not to be exercised. It’s only like $12 million.
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I think his offensive approach will age well, but yeah he’s going to be 29/30 when he’s a FA and I could totally buy in to it being entirely reasonable to not want to give him a big 6+ year deal. Maybe next year we look at an extension, it could benefit everyone. The contract landscape on ~30 year old FAs is shifting so maybe he jumps at an opportunity to lock in money and we get the benefit of only paying him until he’s ~33.
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IF....the Cubs sign Harper - how in the hell do they re-sign Bryant? Between Harper and Heyride alone - thats projected to be $60M for 2 players for 2019-23. Craziness. Worry about Bryant and the others when you have to, you don’t not sign Harper because you might not be able to do something like re-sign someone 3 years from now. If you miss out in re-signing someone you still have Bryce horsefeathering Harper as a consolation. We only have ~$60 million in guaranteed money on the books for 2021 (3 seasons from now when KB is a FA), there’s plenty of room to work him and Bryce in and still have like $120 million to spend.
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Almost have to think they thought they had a Russell trade worked out that fell through or maybe thought they were/are close to a FA signing/trade for a MIF?
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I remember not being a fan of his methodology, but generally agreeing with the conclusion. Cubs averaged 4.67 runs per game with a SDp of 3.56 Cubs opponents averaged 3.96 runs per game with a SDp of 3.00 What were we at through July before everyone broke and/or died?
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This hypothetical doesn't account for the fact that even when the offense was good, there was extreme variability from game to game. Average runs per game are misleading when the standard deviation is massive. I haven't bothered to run the numbers, but the variability has got to be far bigger than normal. The sheer volume of runs the team scored on the days the the offense was on, masks overall problems with the offense when looking backward. I’d really like to see these numbers actually since it’s been a topic we often discuss and find out if the offense is really all that volatile and varies that much compared to other teams. I feel like on surface every teams fans thinks their offense isn’t “consistent” enough. The numbers would be very interesting to see if that’s actually the case if someone wants to take the time to run them, because I’m not aware of a site or stat that tracks it. My gut feeling is we don’t vary all that differently from other teams and most teams don’t just score 3-4 runs a game all that much more consistently than us (if we’re assuming around there is the magical being consistent number) most teams probably cluster around 2 or less and 5 or more.
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Well it was literally an amount of consecutive days that a team rarely ever has to go through. Also
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horsefeathering autocorrect. Anyways, this is a dumb hypothetical but it would be interesting to me to see the sentiment surrounding the team currently if the season was flipped. What if the bad 2 months of offense happened to start the year through May then from June to the finish we were the great offense but we still ended up with the same results of 95 wins and a WC loss. Like would be in love with where this team was going because of the hot finish? Because the offense was really, really good for a longer stretch than it was bad last year. The bad offense is more recent though and sticks in our minds. I still think we are closer to the really good up to August offense than whatever the hell the last 2 months were moving forward in to this year. Idk, just an interesting way to look at it to try and find a more favorable view of things. it's a useless hypothetical yeah sure, if the offense was bad and people were injured in april and may and then everyone was healthy and the offense was good at the end of the year we'd all be feeling a little bit better. the context matters - it wasn't like the offense fell apart and there was no explanation for it. If the context is just Chili and the death march killing the offense from August on it makes you feel a lot better about where we are at.
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By Dongs, yes. We were 21st in Dongs at the ASB, other power metrics we were better at though 7th in SLG and 14th in ISO at the ASB (we also led all of MLB in position player WAR at the ASB, fwiw). Then starting in August it all went to horsefeathers.
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Way harsh. horsefeathering autocorrect. Anyways, this is a dumb hypothetical but it would be interesting to me to see the sentiment surrounding the team currently if the season was flipped. What if the bad 2 months of offense happened to start the year through May then from June to the finish we were the great offense but we still ended up with the same results of 95 wins and a WC loss. Like would be in love with where this team was going because of the hot finish? Because the offense was really, really good for a longer stretch than it was bad last year. The bad offense is more recent though and sticks in our minds. I still think we are closer to the really good up to August offense than whatever the hell the last 2 months were moving forward in to this year. Idk, just an interesting way to look at it to try and find a more favorable view of things.
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Probably somewhere in the middle. With the team going through stretches of looking like both teams and ending up winning 90+ games. fans in every sport make this mistake every year. it almost always looks like this "hey we should be fine, we're bringing back the same roster we had last year that was very good." *other teams improve* *injured guys are more injured* *other guys get injured* *weird declines happen suddenly or due to injury* "horsefeathers we're a .500 team now" We certainly could be the 2018 Nats next year, that would be such an extreme but possible. Even with some minor additions (bullpen arm or two, backup C, back MIF, OF shuffled in/out, etc) I’d feel pretty confident we’re winning 90+ games. Fans overreacting to 2 bad months of offense and ignoring the team won 95 games also happens every year. All I’m hoping for is we roughly split the difference between up to August offense and Aug/Sept offense, which I think is very reasonable and likely all we need to be quite good.
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freakin hilarious brett, really owned them! the addition of a 6-WAR first baseman is so cardinal lol. DORKS. Yeah idk what he’s going for there. Other than I forgot Mozeliak is a bow tie wearing goober.
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Probably somewhere in the middle. With the team going through stretches of looking like both teams and ending up winning 90+ games.
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Didn’t we already have a multiple page thread earlier this offseason talking about projecting guys for next year with some of the same doom and gloom going on in here, this topic seems familiar? Edit: yes, yes we did viewtopic.php?f=2&t=2504&p=315862#p315862
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What if..... because we know Boras likes making splashes, we are going to announce a KB extension and Bryce signing together??? Like let them and Boras make a show in Vegas of a half a billion dollars+ being signed in one day. Just saying that’s “creative” in its own Theo speak way, maybe both take a smallish amount in real money this year to make it work for a big salary bump in 1-3 years from now. #DualFronts
