Even after his 2016 MVP season, he has still been the 6th most valuable 3B in all of baseball by fWAR, and the 3rd most valuable in the NL behind Rendon and Arenado. And obviously you don't pay for past performance, but since his rookie year in 2015, he's been the most valuable 3B in baseball by fWAR. If you keep shrinking it down, he gets less and less valuable of course, but a lot of that was because he missed half a season in 2018. Between 2018 and now, he's been the 10th most valuable 3B in baseball, only Justin Turner put up a comparable fWAR in the same amount of games played (266 games and 8.3 fWAR to Bryants 265 games and 7.2 fWAR). All other 3B above him had at least 50-60 games played more, and of those above him, a couple were not true 3B the whole time (Machado and Moncada out fWAR him but Moncada split time at 2B and Machado was almost exclusively a SS in 2018) This is all to say the following: In my opinion, he is only seemingly trending downward because he is not playing enough. When he is on the field and healthy, he is a Top 10 3B in baseball, even during his down years, and certainly a top 5 3B in the NL. Given he'll be 29 next year he can, and should, be extended if possible. If his injuries knock that price down, excellent. Even last year when he was coming back from his power zapping shoulder injury, he still hit 31 dongs. He was obviously fucked up this year, too, but I honestly couldn't care any less about this year and this stupid embarrassment of a major league baseball season. If he comes back healthy next year, he should be extended. Kris Bryant is really really good at baseball. Will he be a 6 win player again? Probably 50/50 and it hinges entirely on his health, but a 4-6 win player is still incredibly valuable and far more likely even with nagging injuries to keep him out 20-30 games a year. I don't know that I'd want to extend him beyond 5 years, but a 5/$100-$120 deal with an opt-out after 2 seems like a fair offer if he's willing to sign before the offseason and it gives him an opportunity to cash in on comeback performances to get one last big contract before he starts to hit his decline hard.