Do you have the PbP data to back up how often your hypothetical scenario happens or are you just pulling it out your ass and hoping we'll accept it as fact? I do! in 2007, Soriano had 69 plate appearances that started with an 0-2 count. He struck out 27 times out of 69, 14 hits (3 2B, 4 HR) Overall, leading off and inning, he struck out 45 times in 233 plate appearances, but overall, hit .313/.339/.571 when starting an inning Now, we need the PbP data to compare that to Roberts. same stats for Roberts in 2007: - had 36 PA's that started with an 0-2 count, resulting in 10 K's, 9 hits (1 2B, 1 3B, 0 HR). - leading off an inning, he K'd 38 times in 274 PA's, overall hitting .292/.372/.444 when starting an inning so, PA's that started 0-2 result in K's 39% of the time for Soriano, 28% for Roberts when leading off an inning, Soriano K'd 19% of the time, while Roberts K'd 14% I should add that when leading off an inning, Soriano had 13 HR, 13 doubles and 3 triples while Roberts had 4 HR, 23 doubles and 1 triple also, Roberts' splits for PA's in the 1st inning (2007) are just .222/.305/.333 with 1 HR and 12 doubles. So, wrigley23 wants to talk about Roberts having a 40 point edge in OBP (thus should be the leadoff hitter), while in the FIRST INNING (ie the only inning you can guarantee the guy will actually lead off), Soriano held a 34 point edge in OBP