Carlos Marmol, imo. Yeah, I don't see how he gets left off. Setup men rarely get selected, and if they do, it's usually the teams only representative. Others have been selected, but I doubt Marmol gets the nod with the pitching so far in the NL. A couple of other relievers will have similar cases, and they'll probably all be left off. Taylor Bucholz, for example, is about even or ahead of Marmol in all the categories besides strikeouts. Recently setup men have been getting selected much more frequently. The pitching has been pretty good in the NL, but I think Marmol will make it. Bucholz, as you said, is even or ahead of Marmol in a lot of categories, but Marmol has over twice as many Ks, 4 more holds, and also performed like this all of last year. I think Bucholz past may keep him off the team (he's never been bad, but never been even close to dominant), but I could easily see both being selected as well.