I don't think you could predict 6/8 division winners today. I don't think what you're saying is correct either. I think baseball (non-cap sport you're comparing NFL, NBA, and NHL against) playoffs are just a crapshoot. Also can you imagine if the NBA didn't have a cap? LeBron would form an allstar team with all his buddies and win the league every year. Or maybe getting rid of Max salaries would limit him somewhat. The NFL is pretty predictable.... https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/2015/07/31/how-accurate-are-nfl-preseason-forecasts/dMGQZkmZf6YbiJYeBwGGbI/story.html Not sure you can make those predictions TODAY, but after the draft...in the preseason...yeah, you probably could. The article states the best predictions were off by 2 wins per team on average. 2 wins in a 16 game season on average is a lot. And says half the teams were within 1 win off. Well that's not hard to do when half your teams finish 7-9, 8-8, or 9-7. I'm not saying NFL is difficult to predict, or necessarily more difficult than other sports, but there's definitely parity created by having a cap.