jersey cubs fan
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Everything posted by jersey cubs fan
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Keith Law: Cubs only good because of weak schedule
jersey cubs fan replied to Bruno7481's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
You can't use pythag to determine that the AL is not better than the NL. They face different competition, and the AL once again cleaned up in interleague play. The AL may be top heavy, but their top is easily head and shoulders better than the NL's top. It's blatantly obvious the Cubs and Brewers benefit strongly from facing 3 of the worst teams in baseball in their division, and a 4th that isn't any good at all. Plus, none of the other NL teams are particularly great. The West is balanced with 4 good teams who are preventing any one team from racking up a ton of wins. The East has 3. -
They've got a losing record vs the 5 non-Milwaukee contenders that I believe are most legit, and they face two teams that have had their way with them so far this year over the next 6 days, but after that they only have 4 games vs LA, among that group of contenders they've struggled against. Right now they are on pace for about 85-86 wins. They benefit from getting to play 35 more games against crappy NL Central teams, and another 6 vs the crappy Giants and Marlins. And then there are 6 more against the decent DBacks and Rockies. They need to tread water against the teams that are probably better than them, Philly, Mets and LA, and really pounce on those crap teams if they want to go into the playoffs and possibly host a series or two. Without making any moves, they could be good enough to pull it off, thanks to all those weak NL Central opponents. Obviously that's an unknown though. I'd feel a hell of a lot better if they'd wake up and realize their lineup is nothing more than average and that they need to plug at least one of the big holes.
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To me, its more than obvious that this is in fact the Cubs' current plan for Murton. That is my guess as well, and it's a shame. I think it's a terrible misuse of resources.
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The difference, of course, is Murton produced as a minor leaguer and was expected to do that in the majors. Laird didn't do much of anything in the minors until age 25, in his 3rd stint in AAA. Plus, Murton produced last year over pretty much twice the amount of PA. And he had the sort of K/BB ratios that translate into a guy who knows what he's doing. Laird had a K/BB of 54/12 and basically had a few more balls fall into place than may have been expected, hitting .296, despite a career minor league average of .277. Murton hit a shade below his minor league numbers. When you look at it, Laird looks to be a little older version of Soto. Okay minor league numbers, with one very good season, but at a year older than Soto had his. Neither is what I would consider a fantastic bet to succeed in the majors, but you already have one of the guy and would need to trade assets for the other. There's really no logic supporting such a move.
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There's a school of thought that call-ups should be thrown right into the lineup, and not sit for 3-4 days once they first come up. If there was anything to be gained by putting him in AAA it was to get him consistent playing time, calling him up and having him sit negates that benefit. If Murton is back here to just play once every 3-4 days, there's really no benefit to having him here. Murton is beyond the point of say, Pie, where sitting on the bench is hampering his production or something. I disagree. Major league hitters need to learn on the job and get over certain humps. Murton is definitely still in the stage where he needs to either play every day, or darn near close to it. That is, unless your plan for him is to be just a bench player.
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There's a school of thought that call-ups should be thrown right into the lineup, and not sit for 3-4 days once they first come up. If there was anything to be gained by putting him in AAA it was to get him consistent playing time, calling him up and having him sit negates that benefit. If Murton is back here to just play once every 3-4 days, there's really no benefit to having him here.
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Keith Law: Cubs only good because of weak schedule
jersey cubs fan replied to Bruno7481's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
The Cubs and Brewers definitely benefit from playing a weaker schedule than their counterparts in the East and West. The Cubs are sub .500 vs non-Central NL teams. And the DBacks are the only NL contender that hasn't beaten the crap out of the Central. All the rest have a better W% vs the Central than both MIL and the Cubs. And the Cubs definitely benefitted from playing the pathetic White Sox at just about their low. It's still quite possible that the best of the east and the west are going to beat each other up enough to allow both the Cubs and Brewers to tip-toe into the playoffs with the benefit of playing STL, HOU, PITT and CIN over and over again. -
Wouldn't that depend on the market? If you assume all sports stations ha the same amount of time to fill, but that some markets have many more listeners, and therefore callers to the show, some would be harder to get on than others.
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The Bears Training Camp and Preseason Thread
jersey cubs fan replied to cubweiser03's topic in Other Sports
He didn't seem to distinguish himself, but to be honest I didn't see Mike Brown flying all over the place either and we pretty much know what he can do when healthy. I wouldn't read too much into it, especially with Archuleta & Brown, because they haven't been hitting full speed and that's the soup du jour for those two guys. When the smacking starts, then we'll see if Arch & MB will be the devastating tandem we all hope they'll be. At any rate we've got a more experienced Daneal Manning and Chris Harris ready to come in, so I'm fine with our Safety situation. I've had my doubts about how much truth there was to the story that AA was misused in Washington. I'm sure the blame lies on both sides. It wouldn't surprise me if he turned out to be worthless, but I'm still holding out hope that Lovie will know how to use him by the time the season starts. -
I have no problem trading Murton, I do have a problem lumping him into a garbage in garbage out transaction. I get what you are saying, but the reason I asked about Laird is that I don't I know much about his background. He could just be unhappy in TX for all I know, sort of like Barrett was in Montreal before he we got him. Laird's minor league numbers look a lot like Soto's. I'm not 100% convinced Soto will be a good MLB catcher, but I don't see any justification for trading for another guy in the same boat.
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I have no problem trading Murton, I do have a problem lumping him into a garbage in garbage out transaction.
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The Bears Training Camp and Preseason Thread
jersey cubs fan replied to cubweiser03's topic in Other Sports
With my overly giddy outlook regarding the Cubs this year, and my preseason enthusiasm for the Bears running at all time highs, I don't think it would be safe for me to be talking about both at the same time. Something might burst. -
Well, they could both be right. The Cubs could be happy with what they have, and since Laird is an unproductive catcher, and they have plenty of those, the Cubs could be happy adding another.
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I'm not a fan of 30-something players with mediocre career numbers, and I'd definitely forget trading players with the value of Pie for them.
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Koyie Hill & the black hole that he is offensively
jersey cubs fan replied to rabidawg900's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
That's only true if you think Hill not catching would somehow make Zambrano not hit. He's saying that Hill not catching will make Zambrano not pitch effectively (or at least not as ridiculously good as he has been lately). And I would definitely bat Z 8th and Hill 9th. I don't think he is. -
It's not coincidence. The organization likes free-swingers that can hit as well as pitchers that usually are able to strikeout said free-swingers. The Cubs pitching staff would absolutely dominate its own offense, likely racking up double-digit K's and few walks. That's probably very true. Similar to the slight improvement by pitchers giving up fewer walks, the Cubs offense is actually 15th in the NL in walks taken, following 2 straight years of 16th place.
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I would be extremely disappointed, but not the least bit surprised, if Jim Hendry thought adding another reliever is the best option to improve.
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Tejada
jersey cubs fan replied to Tim's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
The Orioles have won 7 of 10 and probably feel good about their chances to flirt with 3rd place. -
The Bears Training Camp and Preseason Thread
jersey cubs fan replied to cubweiser03's topic in Other Sports
The hit I saw on video, which people said was when he was injured, was hardly huge. -
I'm not talking about the Cubs' team as a whole, I'm talking about the actual positions where they need improvement. People mentioned Theriot and Jones post-ASB, and Kendall of late, as examples of guys who are making any need for improvement at SS, CF and C a thing of the past. The Cubs are good. I want them to get better. The easiest way to get better is improving one of the positions that are giving you very little. As for your criticism of my ignorance of MLB realities. All I'm saying is good GM finds a way to get deals done. We constantly hear about how hard it is to make a deal, but trades happen all the time. The Cubs should have known long ago where their weaknesses are, and there's really no excuse for being unable to find improvements. If you are foolish enough to sign Jones, I'm not going to give you any slack when you find it difficult to trade him away and get something better. If you purposefully trade for Cesar Izturis, I'm not about to forgive you for not having adaquate SS production. If you put Jason Kendall and Koyie Hill behind the plate, it's your own damn fault when they don't produce. Jim painted himself into this corner, it's time for him to stop watching the paint dry and finish the damn job.
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Colvin? Next year? Presumably, Jones in 2008, then who knows in 2009. But with Colvin in AA, it wouldn't be a surprise to think the Cubs thought of him as their guy by then. Colvin makes Pie look like Adam Dunn in terms of taking walks. He's got 14 walks all year long. He only has an OPS of .700 right now in AA. Hey, I'm not saying it's my plan, just that it would make sense to believe the Cubs think it's a legit plan. Obviously Soriano has LF for 8 years. They are extremely high on Colvin, given the aggressive promotion for no good reason. One would think Soriano, Pie, Colvin is on somebody's mind, but if they want to get a "legit" RF, then they will probably trade one of Pie or Colvin.
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Miguel Cabrerra. I'd trade Pie, Fox, Gallagher, Veal, and the Ghost of Frank Chance for Cabrerra. He can play right, right? I'd include Murton, and probably more.
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Gee, you think they might consider it?
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I'll take Cabrera, thank you very much.
