The contracts won't really be a hindrance after, probably, 2011. In 2012, we only have $54 million committed and will likely have a payroll of $130+ million (luxury tax won't kick in that season until $170 million, though, so we could be higher than we are now). That's assuming the Cubs stop giving out big contracts. Soriano's contract is going to be a hindrance regardless of what everybody else's situation is. However, just because Ramirez and Lee may be gone by then, they might by then have resigned Lilly to another deal. It's possible Hendry will have committed to a 30-something Theriot before he reaches full free agency. You also will have Soto in his later arbitration years, plus a need to fill both CF and RF by then. If Ramirez and Lee are both gone they will likely have spent big on at least one of those positions, and then there's the bullpen, where Hendry has showed over and over he's more than happy to hand out 3 year multi million dollar deals. The fact that the Cubs "only" have $54 million commited (really a ridiculous amount of just about any team) doesn't mean payroll issues cease to be an issue in 2011. Of course not, but the comment was concerning contracts that have already been passed out. He said he was concerned about the big contracts already weighing us down keeping us from competing for the next 3-5 years. Those contracts will only really impact the payroll through 2011, though. I have no idea whether Hendry will or will not (or can or cannot) give out huge contracts in the foreseeable future, so I can't comment on that. At this point, there is no real financial strain to keep us from competing any longer than 2011. And I don't think it's out of the question that we could compete in 2010 and 2011. It'll be tougher, but it's possible. $54m committed for 2012 is a HUGE number. Not sure why you only count it through 2011. But the point remains that Soriano's contract will be a hindrence until the day it gets off the books, and that they are likely to be in a situation where they have to give out big contracts to replace guys soon making your statement about ending in 2011 even more untrue.