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jersey cubs fan

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Everything posted by jersey cubs fan

  1. In the blind scouts eye of Jim Hendry they did. But they are essentially the same team, only older. Why you insist on ignoring the fact that 30 something players get worse is beyond me. Of course they get worse. But they tend to get worse slowly not fall off a cliff especially if they haven't hit 35 yet. When they do fall off a cliff, they tend to have bounceback seasons. Soriano is having one of those now and while his numbers are still not as good as at his peak which do show a decline as he gets older, it's still a lot better than 2009. Lee and Ramirez and to a small extent Theriot and Nady are experiencing that this year. None of them should be expected to hit anywhere near their peak production next year because they are all declining. But they all are somewhat likely (Ramirez the best, then Lee, Theriot, Nady) to have bounceback years. Falling off a cliff at 34/35 is hardly unprecedented. That's what Lee is doing.
  2. In the blind scouts eye of Jim Hendry they did. But they are essentially the same team, only older. Why you insist on ignoring the fact that 30 something players get worse is beyond me.
  3. It doesn't mean he's likely to get significantly better at 31 either.
  4. 23.5% of his AB's in 2007 were against left-handers. 27.5% of his AB's in 2010 were against left-handers. He was used part-time for part of 2007 but he really wasn't platooned. Playing part-time didn't prop up his numbers much and it's questionable if there is a link there at all. The 40 point drop in OPS from the first half to the second half suggests he got worse once he played every day. But regardless of how you want to characterize the difference, he's been nearly the same player.
  5. Theriot had a 71 OPS+ in 2007, and it's 65 right now. He's essentially the same player that took over the starting duties that year (as his numbers were propped up from platooning earlier), and he's turning 31 this offseason. He's not all that great a bet to be any better. He probably shouldn't even be used. Straight up OPS comparisons to past years aren't as telling as you are hoping, because for one, offense is down across the board. The NL OPS is 729, compared to past three years of 739, 744 and 756. These guys are also pretty old. Having worse numbers in your mid-30's than you did in your early 30's should not be a surprise. Combine the expected regression of aging with the significant decline in offense as a whole, and Ramirez is still the only one with a surprising low performance. And he's still the guy who had a real bad shoulder injury last year, was hurt this spring and dealt with an injury all season so far.
  6. Why would you assume that? He's doing what he did in 2007. He's doing what his career was mostly likely pointing to until he had his peak year in 2008 that surprised many, but he fell right back to earth and he is what he is. You are talking about a bunch of 30-somethings, most with injury histories. The notion of underperforming what they "should" have done is vague. They are who they are, which isn't good. Ramirez is the only one whose level of underperformance is surprising, but he's also the one coming off the most serious injury and was injured this year (something everybody expects every season). This is an old expensive bad team. Quit trying to find excuses.
  7. You can only trade the guys that other teams will trade for. Right, but I refuse to believe that there's zero interest for Campbell. He came off a very solid playoff run and showed his worth. Couple that in with the Islanders needing to just reach the salary floor and I have an extremely difficult time believing that there hasn't been an offer for him. An offer, maybe. But then you have no idea what the offer could be. I think they would have traded him if they could have.
  8. You can only trade the guys that other teams will trade for.
  9. Why is it ridiculous to suggest that Sharp is the one guy who cannot be traded, and if he is traded they should just go ahead and trade the core of the team because all is lost? You really need me to answer why to that question?
  10. I don't recall you predicting a .190 batting average from Ramirez. Maybe he's not foolish enough to bother predicting batting averages.
  11. Ryan Theriot isn't underperforming, he's just not good. He's 30 now, and 30 year old middle infielders with scarce productivity on their resumes should be expected to suck. Lee is playing almost exactly like he did for 6 months, between 2008 and 2009, before he bounced back for what looks like his last gasp of productivity. I think it is absurd to suggest this team would improve just by bringing everybody back. It's already an old team full of players whose best days are likely way behind them. It's also absurd to suggest Soto is somehow underperforming anything. Soriano is right on best hopes for production. This team is not better than it's record. That's the same BS nonsense we hear every year when the team doesn't win enough, because everybody needs to look for excuses to cover up Jim Hendry's failures. Just stop already. It's a poorly constructed baseball team. 2009 wasn't some 95 win team that just didn't put it together. 2010 was actually predicted to be quite bad by many people. This isn't a team that is stunningly underachieving. It's not a good baseball team. Every team deals with fluctuations in individual performance. The good ones win despite those struggles. The Cubs aren't good, and their record reflects it.
  12. too homer-ish Unless they're on a national broadcast, the announcers SHOULD be homers IMO. Depends on how you define homer. Making it obvious which team you want to see win is one thing. But they have to be objective in how they describe the play on the field.
  13. It's important to remember that Hossa and Bolland, two really important pieces of this team, missed large chunks of the season last year, and didn't come back healthy when they returned. Those two can pick up a significant amount of regular season production lost from others.
  14. Why? An old man in bad health for a decade finally died. I don't know why. He's always been there. Mostly as the guy I loved to hate in baseball. I guess it is a strange reaction to have given the situation. He hasn't been around for years. He's been in hiding because he's been failing for so long. And the announcer guy was 99 years old. I don't get how anybody could be surprised by either death.
  15. Or if he starts hitting again, because he hasn't been for a while.
  16. Are there current reports that Campbell is being shopped? I just made that comment yesterday that he was still the cause of the problems (aside from Huet), but I haven't seen anything to suggest he might go. What I've seen from the disreputable rumor sites is Sharp going, if anyone. Whether he is actually being shopped is questionable. However, we also don't know they haven't tried yet. And we don't know if there was any change in interest pre and post free agency. Those guys were dealt then because timing was important. Campbell is a tougher nut to crack.
  17. http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/11/2010/07/500x_custom_1279033874987_steinbrenneryesnetwork.jpg
  18. He meddled up until the day he lost his mind and had to be cast aside.
  19. Ask Kaplan if he's always been such a huge douchebag or if he has to work on his douchebaggery to stay in shape.
  20. So don't watch. The ASG sucks anyway. Bingo bango boingo. Biggest waste of time there is.
  21. He's been bad for a few years.
  22. According to the AP.
  23. It's nice when a player gets a hit in that situation, it's pointless to focus on anybody's batting average in those situations, to highlight that batting average, and to discuss that batting average as if it's a meaningful description of a player. How well Brett Jackson hit with RISP in a partial season of AA ball tells you absolutely nothing about his future.
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