he was stellar against Dallas, and i don't deny that, but the defense themselves outscored Dallas up until a garbage-time TD with :34 left in the game. i already gave you the Carolina game too, and looking closer you're probably right about the Colts game (29% WPA, +13.8 EPA) but the Detroit game, he had a completely neutral effect on their win probability and expected points, and didn't even muster 5 YPA. this also wasn't a game where you could say the OL completely betrayed him. PFF: "Customarily the offensive line draws the ire of Jay Cutler due to its pass protection, but their Pass Blocking Efficiency this week as a unit was 82.5, their second best mark of the season with only Lance Louis (-0.3 pass blocking) grading negatively in pass protection." so even then, we're left with 2-3 games you can argue they might have had a tough time winning with just an average backup QB (of which they have none, of course) playing instead; i just feel most other QBs can make that argument, plus some also, fwiw- he's in the bottom 10 amongst QBs for WPA, EPA, QB rating, which is the main cause of my puzzlement over these articles that have started popping up of late First off, those stats are hardly gospel. They are extremely flawed and in a game like football where what the man does next to you can extremely effect what you do, as opposed to baseball, you should not treat them the way you are trying to treat them here. Secondly, it's been shown time and time again that without Cutler the Bears offense goes in the toilet. They don't just struggle, they are impotent. And again, there is not actual Cutler for MVP talk. He's not in the running. A couple talking heads have thrown his name around as a way of talking about how lost his team is without him. But at the end of the year he won't be anywhere close to getting the award.