When looking at both clubs (MIL and CHC), I'd put their respective playoff odds at a roughly equal probability to this year Things that could help the Cubs increase on their 85 wins- 1) Typical HR years from Ramirez and Lee 2) Soriano not missing 20 games 3) Full years of Soto and/or Murton 4) Less early season 'experimenting' with lineups or bullpen roles that we experienced with a first year manager That that could make the Cubs worse- 1) Aging of primary players (Lee and Soriano, mainly Lee IMHO) 2) Regression of starting pitchers who pitched above expectations this year- mainly thinking Marquis, to a lesser extent Lilly 3) Marmol coming back down to earth, partially due to overuse this season Things that could make the Brewers improve on their 83 wins- 1) Full seasons from Gallardo and Braun 2) Bounce back season from Weeks, which looks likely given what he did the last few weeks of the season 3) Full year of Linebrink in the bullpen (not sure this is a good thing, but theoretically it probably is) 4) Typical year from Capuano 5) Full season of the 'good' Villaneuva who seemed to be coming on later in the year Things that could make them worse- 1) How much better could Braun and Fielder really be? Don't see them upping last year's production in all probability 2) Not getting career years from Hart and Hardy And the big variable is, of course, what happens over the winter. But barring injury, I really don't see the balance between these two clubs swinging demonstrably either way. I could see the Brewers taking a few more games, but the Cubs were also basically a 90 win team after the first few months of Lou figuring the roster out. So really...who knows. But I don't see either team winning 95+ games or totally tanking, either.