This is backward thinking. If its close it should go to Guzman. Miller should only get the nod if he is clearly better. I fear this is going to be another case of the Cubs stunting the progression of a young player for the opportunity to give a mediocre veteran with no upside a chance to improve. It's not just those two players in a vacuum though. If Guzman wins the job: Miller is traded for not very much If somebody goes down or is ineffective, then the next pitchers in line are Prior (if he's healthy by then), Cotts (who hasn't been effective at all), Marshall (who is well behind and not might be ready to pitch at all, let alone be effective) and Mateo (who is not major league ready) If Miller wins the job: Miller either gets the chance to increase his trade value or he is ineffective and released after a while-not much loss if we didn't get much for him in the first scenario, and a possible gain. If somebody goes down or is ineffective, Guzman is waiting in the wings to take over. If they are similar pitchers, it's better overall for the Cubs this year to go with Miller to start off with-it gives you much more of a margin for error. On the surface I wouldnt disagree with anything you post here. However you dont show any downside to sending Guzman down. At some point a player is going to have to pitch and probably struggle at the major league level. If there is a good chance that Guzman will be better than Miller(certainly more potential) and has already reached a level of success at the previous level(Guzman had a solid AAA season when there), you will end up risking that you MAY stunt his development. You will probably not make him more major league ready by sending him down. The only thing that will probably help him progress to the next level is to go through growing pains in the major leagues. I would say the sooner the better. It would be better for the Cubs longterm to start Guzman now. Secondly the only way that Miller gets any real trade is if he performs at a level that we wouldnt trade him anyway. So the trying to increase his trade value arguement is really not important I agree that the Cubs would be better long-term by having Guzman start-but the Cubs are in a win now mode, and they have to figure what is best for 2007 first. It is best for 2007 to have Miller start at the beginning of the season if they are performing similarly in ST. Could it hamper Guzman's development? Maybe-but it's not like he tore up Triple A last year. The main thing for his development coming off the injuries right now is to throw some innings. I won't be unhappy at all if Guzman breaks with the major league club-I think he's ML ready. I do, however, think if Miller is similar that gives the club the best chance at winning this year (gives them the most options) and a month or even a few more months in the minors will not likely harm Guzman significantly right now. He is just starting to find all his pitches again-he still could use some innings where he grows in confidence throwing all of them, and more than he can get in winter league, if that be the majors or the minors.