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Mephistopheles

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Everything posted by Mephistopheles

  1. Mephistopheles
    The draft is becoming increasingly safer with time.
  2. Mephistopheles
    It was in one of my phychology books a few semesters back. I don't have them any more but it was tied into the gambler's fallacy. Actually my professor used to date BP's Jim Baker so there's an issue there heh.
  3. Mephistopheles
    http://cubs.scout.com/2/568688.html It's nice to see he fits in with the Cubs' system.
  4. Mephistopheles
    Oh Boy more saber vs traditional rambling. I don't think confidence breeds success but I do think lack of confidence may lead to not-having success. In other words the ability to come through in the clutch more than normal doesn't but the ability to fail in the clutch more than anticipated is true. I don't think Guzman's issue has anything to do with confidence in his stuff, but more or less the execution. He's had Blanco and Barrett call the game through Larry's gameplan. All Guzman has to do is throw it where they call it. He might not "trust" his stuff and is more catious, but this would lead to the walks but not the not the pitches down the middle. He could trust his stuff too much and challenge everyone down the middle, but this wouldn't lead to walks. The simple fact is right now Angel is doing two things and not doing one. He IS: 1.) Throwing the ball down the middle. 2.) Throwing the ball off the plate for balls. He IS not: 3.) Throwing the ball on the black or outerhalf with consistency. Guzman will dominate one hitter, then look like crap to the next. His inconsistency from at-bat to at-bat has little to do with confidence or anything in his head. It's simply execution of his pitches. Guzman has NO idea where the hell the ball is going when he throws it. He MIGHT be overthrowing too much, which is probably the cause of the poor command but this has more to do with his approach than his confidence, I think. EDIT: Why should i trust a quote from Dusty Baker. He'll tell you walks clog bases. My point is just because someone in the business says it, it doesn't make it true. In fact there are a lot of psychologists who think that athletes at this level don't choke or whatever. Probably because the ones who don't have what it takes mentally get weeded out WAY before the reach the Majors.
  5. Mephistopheles
    http://images.sportsline.com/u/ap/photos/CXC105091418_lower.jpg What is Aramis motioning for! And he did it after a win, Dusty has poisoned their brains...
  6. Mephistopheles
    http://www.baseballamerica.com/online/college/features/262442.html bas team usa top 10 price was ahead of alvarez
  7. Mephistopheles
    I are Stupid
  8. Mephistopheles
    56-90 0.0 Royals 58-88 2.0 Cubs 57-88 2.5 Rays 60-87 3.5 Pirates 63-83 7.0 Nationals
  9. Mephistopheles
    He's a lot like Gallagher was last season. Good results, but his stuff doesn't blow you away. He's going to have to duplicate his results at at least Daytona and probably West Tenn before he gets a status boost - or he could improve his stuff ala Gallagher. Veal's a different case for two reasons, 1 he has the stuff and 2 he dominated the FSL, a higher league.
  10. Mephistopheles
    http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/5240286 Probably, but he still had him at 90 before the season started.
  11. Mephistopheles
    Dayn Perry!
  12. Mephistopheles
    Well how many lefties with a mid 90s fastball (at least down the road for pawly), a good curve and a good change can you think of? I could have given the Mark Langston one again I guess but most of your power lefties have power sliders and splitters, not curves. Rick Ankiel fits too I guess, though he had no change. With Huseby we haven't seen him pitch enough to be ranked higher, sure he's got a high upside but he's pitched what? 25 innings this season including high school? I guess you could say I have a double-standard with him and Mark Pawelek I guess... The Harvey and Dopirak rankings have more to do with the Cubs' system than them. I just can't justify anyone below them to go ahead of them. Even though they regressed the Cubs prospect status has graduated on a lot of players this season including Sean Marshall, Ronnie Cedeno, Carlos Marmol, Rich Hill, Angel Guzman, and Juan Mateo. This has in turn made their relative ranking go up, because simply the Cubs haven't added much - hello no draft picks. Technically speaking Jae-Kuk Ryu is still gonna qualify, I should have ranked him. He's probably right ahead of Colvin. And a comp for him might be say Brett Tomko with less velocity and overall stuff. I say Tomko because of the decent deep repetoire. Im sure there is a better comp but I am tired.
  13. Mephistopheles
    The ironic thing is that Howard went to Southwest Missouri State.
  14. Mephistopheles
    The season is over, so I guess it is time to start ranking them. With not a lot of that and not a lot of bickering, this is what I came up with: 1. B+ Donald Veal (Mark Langston) 2. B+ Felix Pie (Mike Cameron) 3. B+ Mark Pawelek (Sam McDowell) 4. B Sean Gallagher (David Bush) 5. B Eric Patterson (Tadahito Iguchi) 6. B Scott Moore (Eric Chavez) 7. B- Mitch Atkins (Aaron Harang) 8. B- Tyler Colvin (Mark Kotsay) 9. B- Ryan Harvey (Raul Mondesi) 10. B- Brian Dopirak (Paul Konerko) 11. C+ Jake Fox (Josh Willingham) 12. C+ Adam Harben (Kyle Lohse) 13. C+ Mark Reed (AJ Pierzynski) 14. C+ Jose Ceda (A lot!/ Roberto Novoa ::shudders:: ) 15. C+ Chris Huseby (Chris Carpenter) 16. C+ Billy Petrick (Derek Lowe) 17. C Geovanny Soto (Hank White) 18. C Jeff Samardzija (Scott Proctor) 19. C Scott Taylor (A lot!/ Jeff Suppan) 20. C Chris Robinson (Hank White) The comparisons are tough. Especially with our power lefties w/ curveballers. There aren't too many out there. Most power lefties throw killer sliders. CC Sabathia is another one close to them, Rick Ankiel too. And I want way old-school with Pawly. But I a lefty with three pitches? I could only think of McDowell, of course there are others. The comparisons are not meant to be how good they will be, but similar skillsets. And obviously I know I am going to get the The Sean army against me. And you can bitch about the comps, I know you will.
  15. Mephistopheles
    Landon Powell did it.
  16. Mephistopheles
    Picking a guy with labrum problems in the past was never a good idea.
  17. Mephistopheles
    Actually I thought he was a fourth outfielder before the draft. I just think his tools project that way.
  18. Mephistopheles
    God I love first round tweener outfielders that get relegated to fourth outfielders. *sigh*
  19. Mephistopheles
    I'd like to see Maestri moved into the rotation next summer, but that's me.
  20. Mephistopheles
    Worst Cubs Winning Percentages Since 1908 1. .364 1966 1. .364 1962 3. .369 1981* 4. .390 1956 5. .394 2006 6. .395 1980 7. .396 1949 8. .401 2000 9. .403 1957 9. .403 1951 *Strike shortened In three of the seasons the manager was in his first year, so he kept his job. In the other 6 he lost it.
  21. Mephistopheles
    for someone who could watch the game, how soft was Miller throwing the rock.
  22. Mephistopheles
    http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/askba/262425.html Lots of Cubs' stuff in the latest Ask BA
  23. Mephistopheles
    viewtopic.php?t=35231
  24. Mephistopheles
    Actually rumors are that the new CBA will take away compensation picks entirely.
  25. Mephistopheles
    Invest more in the latin market. The Red Sox and Dodgers have good farm systems now because of extra picks in the first and second rounds. With that going away the international market's the way to buy them up. One thing to do in the draft is to spend a lot of money on tough signs late in drafts. We have done that this season with Chris Huseby and Drew Rundle. Every year there are 5 or so top 100 HS prospects that last to the 10th round or later because of signability. Meeting their bonus demands is a quick way to restock the system. That's something the Yankees and Red Sox have done well with Lars Anderson, Dellin Betances, etc.
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