BigSlick
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Everything posted by BigSlick
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Goodbye Albert. You played elite defense and you were a not-useless hitter who hit more homers than I expected. See you in September or whatever
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I told all of you, Dex is actually dead
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Lets say you wanted to be extremely generous and say the Cubs had a 66% chance against each opponent in each playoff series. That's pretty absurd, but lets say they were just that good. That works out to a ~28% chance of winning the World Series over the course of 3 playoff series. I don't think any team vs. another team in a short series has that high of an edge, especially against playoff teams. I don't know - '98 yankees? '84 Tigers? I don't know what this is supposed to tell me
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To a degree worth arguing about? So what do you think the best team in baseball's (or the best roster you can reasonably construct, however you want to look at it) odds of winning are going into October? Assume HFA, as any best team in baseball would typically have. For amusement's sake yes! First off, it's obvious hyperbole to say "no matter how good." Do you really believe that? Where did you come up with 20%? Did you game by game chances to win? Based on what? Historical? Measuring team strength by season record? I'm not convinced it would be linear based on season's winning percentage, which seems to be the most common method. Lets say you wanted to be extremely generous and say the Cubs had a 66% chance against each opponent in each playoff series. That's pretty absurd, but lets say they were just that good. That works out to a ~28% chance of winning the World Series over the course of 3 playoff series. I don't think any team vs. another team in a short series has that high of an edge, especially against playoff teams.
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Am I the only person that thinks HR/XBH is a totally useless and empty ratio? I see the value in HR/FB, but HR/XBH seems like a totally arbitrary and not very telling stat at all.
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I'm enjoying random 19th cent poetry being our OP for game threads
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Other Games Week of 7/18
BigSlick replied to Sammys Boombox's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
San Diego has the temerity to sweep us in a double header, and then go and get swept and lose another one to the Cardinals. Thanks for horsefeathering nothing guys -
Thats very stupid of the White Sox to decline (because they're going to be mediocre for the forseeable future)
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Cubs trade Vogelbach/Blackburn for Mike Montgomery/Jordan Pries
BigSlick replied to davell's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
This trade pleases me -
Death to the Mets
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I can't believe Clayton Kershaw still hasn't registered double digit walks this year What an alien that has taken pitching form
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Why is his WAR so much lower? Oh is it based on FIP?
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Wow thats a hideous effort by Montero
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Now to pick on you, but just so you know, I'm sure at some point in May you were posting something like this about Anthony Rizzo. So that kinda shows why arbitrary endpoints are stupid, and why people think you are too obsessed with them. to be fair, even while Rizzo was sub-Mendoza Line, he was still OPSing like .900
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I'm ok with this team winning 2 out of 3 against every team from here on out
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Death to the Mets
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Mortal Ben Zobrist makes me sad
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Nice to see a shift work for us to rob a dude, that feels good
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Dong the Fat Man
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Jose Reyes is scum, btw
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*Kyle Hendricks intensifies*
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People need their whipping boys, I mean, look at Rondon Fan and this board I like Rondon Fan for the record
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This game isn't the Doom Boner of yesterday. this game is good
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dont let them get runs after we score
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I like the blue belts, I wish they would wear those all the time