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imb

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Everything posted by imb

  1. man if you go in the comments of any relatively busy fangraphs article, tom is in there talking about disney and getting downvoted to hell. i've never seen a more mentally ill poster in my life
  2. zzthorn! might have been the first guy i ever talked into a ban
  3. not trying to be mean here but this is how i know you weren't around back then lol, because we were all stressing about it constantly. that might have been cubs.com era
  4. keith law STILL has hak-ju lee in his top 100
  5. i would much rather have Bregman committed for half a decade than have to be back in the 3B market next offseason after Bichette opts out.
  6. personally, as much as i think shaw probably never again hits as well as he did in the second half last year, i think it would be a mistake to trade him. He can theoretically provide cover at 7-8 different positions if we realllllly stretch it out and assume he could swing the OF. Suzuki is hurt every year, Bregman will miss time. Nico will shift to SS if Dansby goes down, etc. Maybe they can turn Shaw into 5 Below Zobrist. Shaw's batted ball data is so ugly, I just kind of assume you wouldn't get as much back for him as you think you would. Probably worth a season to see if you make him a 450 ab super sub
  7. lol the dodgers are spending more on one season of kyle tucker than the pirates have ever paid out in a contract ever over the course of its lifetime
  8. i didnt realize Contreras got shipped out. Hard to believe he's 33. Man he's had a pretty cool career, late bloomer prospect, impact bat on a world series team. Fair bet to end his career north of 30 fWAR, which would rank in the top 10-12 catchers this century
  9. the nsbb urge to argue with every coot who shows up talking about "whatever happened to batting average and sac bunts!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"
  10. And it seems to me you lived your life Like a candle in the wind Never knowing who to cling to When the rain set in And I would've liked to known you But I was just a kid Your candle burned out long before Your legend ever did
  11. im a cease fan so im not gonna horsefeathers on him (and im not gonna defend jed or ricketts, but i can see the vision here), but he's thrown 900 innings in the last 5 years. Sure, you can look at that and say "wow he's durable," but in a world where no pitcher can actually be durable anymore, you can also look at that and say "wow that elbow's about to blow." You (not you, you, the royal you) really just have no idea anymore. The only certainty is that every pitcher breaks at some point. Maybe Dylan Cease has the magic mechanics, or maybe his elbow snaps like dried spaghetti in spring training. So you can spend $210 million and commit 7 years to Cease, where it is a near certaintly he breaks at least once during that contract. Or you can get a guy who is arguably just as talented, who costs you nothing more than 2 lottery tickets and a ginger 4th OF, and you only commit 3 years to him, so if he breaks, it's not nearly as catostrophic. And of course the probably most important element of the calculus here is being ignored - if the $30m they would have had to spend on Cease instead get spent on Bregman/Bichette/Tucker/Whoever, it's an enormous win, and a smart bet on upside considering all pitchers are essentially walking timebombs anyway.
  12. im not sure where this is coming from, unless you just mean that this is how you would value skubal in a trade. i dont think there's any recent blockbuster trades in the last 5-10 years where team control hasn't been the dominant factor in a trade return. if you've got some examples i'd love to see them
  13. name me the pitchers available who will not get hurt next year. Now name me the ones who wont get hurt in 27 and 28 too.
  14. That is so good. Hot damn. What if we get even 2/3rd of a year out of Steele? Or even just a decent second half? Bichette or Bregman and we’re cooking with gas
  15. guys, do not waste time arguing with the matt shaw fans, it's not worth your time. if they could read, they'd be able to tell from his fangraphs page that he sucks at baseball too.
  16. tim giving epatt his award
  17. this is Ribbie Q&A erasure
  18. if you look at pitcher war, the top 10 on fangraphs (outside of Gausman who btw i wanted us to sign or trade for like 1000 times no big deal) are all young SP on their rookie deals Im pretty sure. Skubal, Skenes, Crochet, webb, luzardo and so on. I mean damn, the only mega-deal SP in the top 30 is degrom I think. I doubt in the current environment Jed EVER pays for a top SP, I don't think it makes sense at all unless you just have unlimited money, and even the dodgers are taking a shotgun approach kinda at SP. But since the Cubs can't develop pitching for horsefeathers, our only option is to trade bats for arms. Taking a shot at a top-end pitcher and only giving up (I know we dont know the package yet so kill me if im wrong) a locked-in-the-corner OF who may not even be able to touch major league pitching seems like a worthy gamble. Even if Cabrera completely busts, if all it cost you to try was half an Ian Happ, you'll never miss him. I will delete these posts if Caissie comes up and hits though.
  19. i think sending mid-tier prospects with warts out for cost-controlled starters is actually a good use of resources if you're just completely opposed to 10+ year mega deals. The odds that Cabrera bombs or misses a year or two with elbow injuries is not exactly non-existent, so I get that it could bust like that and even that it might be likely. But it's also very likely that someone like Caissie is just a bad-fileding 1-2 war guy for the time that he's cheap, and you can get those guys for nothing.
  20. caissie headlining this trade would seem like a huge W for the cubs
  21. Guys if Fairbanks signed a 1-year deal with the marlins it’s not because the cubs passed on him it’s because the cubs and 28 other teams passed on him. Those medicals must be COOKED
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