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goonys evil twin

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Everything posted by goonys evil twin

  1. Contract has a lot to do with it. Ideally or not, he was signed as the 4th starter if anything. 5th starter has been discussed as a battle between Miller, Prior and kids ever since November. If he was a 5th starter then his status wouldn't have been as locked down as it is. There was never any question that he'd be in the major league rotation. He's not a 5th starter. His contract demands that he does a whole hell of a lot more than put up a 95 ERA+ type of season to be considered to have "done his job".
  2. I think betting on +/- 95 on the ERA+ scale is perfect. Marquis was signed to be a 5th starter. If he puts up an ERA+ in the mid-90s or better, he'll be doing that job effectively. FWIW, I'll take the over. This is a bit flawed. He was signed to a contract that pays him well over the average. He's not going to be the 5th starter. So I don't see the point in giving him the benefit of a sub average number to still be "doing his job".
  3. the problem is they don't show highlights any more. you used to get highlights of every game - now you get a few games and endless babble by a bunch of idiots. That's what I was thinking. I don't watch it much anymore, but it seems to basically just be a series of hokey segments and gimmicks like web gems and other nonsense. When I was a little younger (5 years ago) we used to go to bars several weeknights in a row, and I remember just staring at baseball tonight highlights the whole time. It was a great way to get caught up on a full day's worth of games.
  4. I went to the Knicks game last night with free work tickets. I took a friend who was a pseudo Knicks fan in high school, but doesn't care anymore. We basically sat there drinking beers and eating peanuts for two hours talking about how excited we were for the baseball season to start. At various times I'd look up and say something like, "They're down by 8 now, when did that happen?"
  5. This is what I wrote yesterday in the game thread: It's possible he could be ready to start the first time through the rotation, after two more outings, the first bringing him to about 75 pitches and the 2nd near 90. I think the only realistic way to do that is to leave him in Arizona when the club goes to Vegas, and give him a start against minor leaguers April 1. But even that is very aggressive.
  6. you're a cheater. after I trimmed down to my keepers, the website resorted all my players to active, including guys I had on reserve and in the minors. I just assumed it was a temporary thing for restart purposes, and then after the draft you'll be able to restart. But maybe he changed the rules to allow for fewer reserves. How is the draft going to work with teams like vine's who has 27 players, compared to my 15 and some others with even less? Are they going to be able to draft until their roster is full (what is full?) and then just come off the board while the remaining teams keep drafting? Will it eventually come down to the 1 team making consecutive picks over and over?
  7. Best case scenario is he takes another big step forward next Tuesday. Then I think he stays behind and pitches to the minor leaguers on April 1. It's possible that by then he's stretched out to 90 pitches and throwing 90-93 with ease. Then, I think you start him on 4 days rest April 6 in MIL. But that's not likely. So then I think you have him start Iowa's 2nd game, April 6 in Round Rock, then April 11 in Alabama. If all goes well, then maybe he can start April 16 vs SD. Since Rich Hill is assigned for April 6th.. he might get April 7th's game. At this point, I think you have to give priority to Prior staying on normal rest.
  8. Best case scenario is he takes another big step forward next Tuesday. Then I think he stays behind and pitches to the minor leaguers on April 1. It's possible that by then he's stretched out to 90 pitches and throwing 90-93 with ease. Then, I think you start him on 4 days rest April 6 in MIL. But that's not likely. So then I think you have him start Iowa's 2nd game, April 6 in Round Rock, then April 11 in Alabama. If all goes well, then maybe he can start April 16 vs SD.
  9. If they call it now Prior gets the loss, which completely erases any of the good from this outing.
  10. they look pretty massive to me. I was kidding. Somebody said earlier in the spring that they were twigs or something like that.
  11. yes it did. I'm guessing we were behind a little, since some of the game thread posts were a couple seconds ahead of what I was seeing. And they just fast forwarded the feed or something.
  12. Plesac says Miller has the advantage because he's got experience as a starting pitcher. Are all the other guys lifelong relievers?
  13. pizzapizza with a nice first pitch groundout.
  14. The excuse making is getting ridiculous. It really shows why DUIs are still such a huge problem, because so many are so willing to laugh them off. Pathetic really. I know that prior to the big campaigns in the 80's and early 90's DUI wasn't really thought of all that much, but it's amazing that it's 2007 and people still think driving "a little drunk" isn't something worth making a big deal about. DUI at .09 is a big deal. DUI at .30 may be bigger, but that doesn't justify the ridiculous responses people are making over such a "small offense". The dude freaking passed out driving.
  15. Okay fine, forget it. There's no way this team fails to reach the 85 win mark. To 90 and beyond! Lou and Soriano can't be stopped.
  16. You can say that all you want, but you're wrong. Last team wasn't a fluke. Last year was a more exaggerated version of 2005. It simply exposed the flaws of a poorly run team. The Cubs have had the lowest walks in the league for several years. It's been part of their plan. Acquiring Soriano will not change that. You can cite all the bad breaks that hurt last year, but bad breaks are part of the game. I think you are exhibiting blind pessimism if you can't admit that the Cubs had more than what would be considered an "average" amount of bad breaks last year and had to rely (more than nearly every other team) on not ready minor league players to fill in for quite a few holes--namely in the rotation. Oh great, more nonsensical "pessimism" garbage. I'm calling for more than 80 wins, in part, because I'm hoping for less severe bad luck. What I'm saying here is it's ridiculous to suggest somebody can't realistically predict the Cubs for 5th place.
  17. People are giving reasons why the Cubs should be better. They aren't justifying their disdain for somebody thinking the team might not improve as much as they'd hope. You can't just assume that since bad things happened last year, and things appear better right now, that no bad things will happen in 2007. Remember, teams like the Yankees lost Matsui and Sheffield for long stretches, yet managed to improve by 2 games last year. Almost every team deals with unexpected losses or letdowns every year. The Cubs have addressed the problems that caused them to lose 96 games last year. But it's highly debatable whether or not they've addressed the problems that will keep them from winning 85 this year. Things could go relatively well this year for the Cubs, and they could still finish right around .500 and well out of the race. Simply put, Cubs fans have no business being outraged that somebody is predicting a less than stellar improvement.
  18. You can say that all you want, but you're wrong. Last team wasn't a fluke. Last year was a more exaggerated version of 2005. It simply exposed the flaws of a poorly run team. The Cubs have had the lowest walks in the league for several years. It's been part of their plan. Acquiring Soriano will not change that. You can cite all the bad breaks that hurt last year, but bad breaks are part of the game. People are assuming 100% health for all but Prior and Wood and no major setbacks. That's foolish. This team could probably win anywhere from 75-85 wins. I'm looking at the upper part of that range. But it's hardly unfair to think more about the lower end.
  19. C Posada 1B Howard 2B Utley SS Rollins 3B ARam LF Dunn CF Soriano RF Dye DH Ortiz Come on, do you really expect to score any runs with this lineup? Wow. Terrible lineup. So in need of some table setters and a prototypical 8th hitter. I guarantee that lineup would leave people on base.
  20. I don't get the outrage. The Cubs were terrible last year people. They could gain 14 wins this year and still be below .500. You really have to be thinking optimistically to even put them at 85 wins and 2nd place. That's an enormous jump, not unheard of, but spectacularly rare. A lot of people around here are assuming really big improvements, without factoring in much in terms of realistic letdowns. This team is hard to judge. I have them somewhere in the 80's for wins right now and hoping for at least 2nd, and hopefully 1st. But there's no legitimate beef against somebody who has them winning less than 81 and finishing in 4th or 5th. Last year people were outraged at those who thought the team might not be better than the 2005 version. I don't get why it's such a sin to think the Cubs might not make a huge leap this year.
  21. I always wished the Cubs would be more aggressive locking down their young players through their arbitration years and into free agency. Then I realized they never develop young players.
  22. Based on the way the market worked this summer, you could make a case for IP to be the most important stat. With anybody who pitches over 170 innings considered good and under 150 to be bad. So would you take the under at 160 IP?
  23. It's perfectly fine to be more outraged at a higher level. What's disgusting and ignorant is the dismissive attitude toward the light end. "That used to be legal." Nonsense like that is absurd.
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