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goonys evil twin

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Everything posted by goonys evil twin

  1. goonys evil twin
    The sentimantality over Santo has gone insane. He should not be on that list. Besides Sosa, you have Hack Wilson and Cap Anson. Jenkins might be removable as well. Looks like the mission for this list was to appeal to the baby boomer generation.
  2. goonys evil twin
    How about Aram and Pierre, batting adjacent in the order? Aram has excellent ability to advance baserunners, Pierre has very poor ability to advance baserunners. Aram hits home runs, Pierre does not. Aram is a very slow runner who clogs basepaths, Pierre is a very fast runner who does not clog basepaths. How can it not make a difference which of these guys bats first? Bases don't get clogged.
  3. goonys evil twin
    I can't see him being any worse than Pierre.
  4. goonys evil twin
    It's not just fans. It's 99% of the media and Big George. And I'd bet some other higher ups share the doubts.
  5. goonys evil twin
    Using a stretched out extreme example negates any value in your example. It's pretty interesting to note that in nearly everyone of your diatribes about what is and is not worthwhile, you use extreme examples that have no basis in reality.
  6. goonys evil twin
    the bears were overlooked last year by the experts, who seemingly picked them to lose every week. bad predictions make me happy, because the experts know nothing about predicting football. Worst team in the league. I don't get how anybody could say the Bears are overrated when everybody is talking about them taking a step back.
  7. goonys evil twin
    Derrek Lee's 2005 is the exact reason I don't buy it. I wonder if the assumption was that each position was filled with players performing right at the league average. I don't remember. Anyway, I believe the assertion was that the difference was a handful of runs over the course of a season, not a single run per game. Derrek Lee's RBI total may have been higher with higher OBP in front of him, but the team's run production probably would not have been. That is what matters. Lee's RBI goes up if you flip a better OBP from the bottom to the top, but the run production at the bottom goes down. What matters is those extremely low OBPs were on the team, not where they hit.
  8. goonys evil twin
    ESPN quoted Yankees management saying that trading A-Rod would be "idiotic." Frankly, I think it's just Yankees fans being Yankees fans. They want all their players to be Ruth, Gehrig and Dimaggio all rolled into one. And woe be to the player who doesn't do so. And that woe usually involves getting booted. There are two factions of yankees management, the Tampa based faction and the NY based faction. Then there is George. One person saying it would be idiotic does not mean it won't happen. The Yankees are very image conscience.
  9. goonys evil twin
    Doesn't Minnesota always get off to a good start and then always blow it at the end?
  10. goonys evil twin
    If Hendry wasn't so hung up on clutch hitting, I'd be excited over the chance to trade for ARod. This could be a perfect sitaution to set this lineup as one of the best in the NL for 2007. ARod's relationship with NY is as shaky as any player's relationship with his team, and not many teams can think about getting involved in a trade.
  11. goonys evil twin
    Starting over doesn't make sense. It wouldn't take a ton of moves to make this team a contender, and the Cubs are in the financial position to pull it off. Clearing house and starting over is for teams like Florida that can't keep expensive players.
  12. goonys evil twin
    what an awful matchup
  13. goonys evil twin
    Hawkins was much better than Novoa.
  14. goonys evil twin
    I disagree that the Cubs offense isn't as bad as its numbers say. It is bad, it's been bad for years. They haven't addressed the biggest problem areas and they allowed other problems to come up due to neglect. Dusty makes it worse by playing guys like Neifi Perez on a regular basis, but it's still a bad lineup.
  15. goonys evil twin
    Yeah, and if Neifi could keep up his April 2005 stats I'd want him back as well. The point is Pierre is not going to keep this up. He's going to finish the year mediocre, like has in every year but one in his career. It doesn't matter what he's done since June, what matters is what he's done in his career, the past couple years, and this year, and in turn what he is likely to do next year and over the course of his theoretical contract. Odds are he will not be that good next year, or any year after.
  16. goonys evil twin
    You do have to look at more than one stat. The problem with the Cubs is the one stat that has been holding them back for a very long time is walks. They've hit for average and they've hit for power, but they've haven't walked in a long time. And they've been a bad run scoring team because of that. All they had to do was walk a little more in those years and they would have been a great offense. But they never even considered addressing that problem, and wouldn't even admit it was a problem. It's the one problem that is haunting this team that has haunted this team and will continue haunt the team because they don't even know it exists. People shout louder about it because of this situation.
  17. goonys evil twin
    All these theoretical scenarios are pointless. The Cubs need to walk more. They are dead last in walks and that is a bad thing.
  18. goonys evil twin
    Right now, the last place team in the NL is only 8.5% lower than the first place team in terms of batting average. The last place team in walks is 37.4% lower than the first place team. Last year those numbers were 7.4% and 34.4%. The biggest component in OBP is AVG. But the biggest variable is walks. AVG is relatively similar from team to team, but walks are the difference between the low OBP teams and high OBP teams. Walks are how you make up the difference between being in the bottom half and being in the upper half. The Cubs will not big a top tier OBP team simply by hitting more frequently. They have to walk more. They aren't just below average in walks, they are dead last in walks, and they've been there for a longggggggggg time. Taking walks is a good thing. Not taking walks is a bad thing. If you walk more your OBP will be higher and you will score more.
  19. goonys evil twin
    Hmm..does Juan Pierre play well in big games? Maybe the World Series? .333 BA, .481 OBP-I would call that good. I think Juan Pierre is just a slow starter. His start to this season was much worse than slow. He's a one trick pony whose trick isn't that impressive and it's getting worse. What matters are a players numbers at the end of the year. If you have a great player who stinks for a month but ends up with truly great numbers, you can deal with it. But you can't have a guy who at his best has mediocre numbers, but starts out the season completely worthless. Pierre's career OPS+ is 87, he's had one year over 100. If he ended the season as a 140 OPS+ kind of guy, but played like a 80 OPS+ kind of guy early, you can live with it. But when you play like a 20 OPS+ guy for 2 months, but finish between 80-100, you are hurting the team.
  20. goonys evil twin
    Isn't raw power what people describe when they talk about Harvey or Dopirak? Isn't it incredible strength and the ability to hit it a mile, but it's raw because he's not a hitter yet? My impression of Murton is he's a hitter, he has strike zone judgement and can make contact. He just has very little power. Perhaps he can gain power as he ages, but I don't think you can qualify him as having raw power.
  21. goonys evil twin
    You're wrong, but I get the impression that you don't care.
  22. goonys evil twin
    As a general rule, yes OBP is greater than SLG, but that is not always the case. Here is how I view the greater need in a lineup. 1. OBP- is the obvious choice here 2. OBP- these two are the table setters and need to get on-base 3. You need a balance here, I would say they are equally important here. 4. SLG- is going to win out here, ideally you have both, but if I had to choose its SLG. 5. SLG- same as 4, these should be your big power guys (Carlos Lee and ARAM would be a good example at 4 or 5) 6. OBP- you still want a guy with pop here, but OBP is more important 7. OBP- 7-8 are probably not going to be great hitters, but I would rather have someone get on-base to extend the inning. 8. OBP- want this guy to get OB so the pitcher bats and extend the inning 9. pitcher- just hope they do something! Why are you choosing one or the other? You need the best blend. OBP is a little more valuable, but you need both. If you do have a guy who isn't any good in one area, then he better be absolutely fantastic in the other. That is why Pierre hurts the team so much. Not only is he really bad with SLG, his OBP stinks. He's rarely been close to great in that department.
  23. goonys evil twin
    Sounds like something Dusty would say. The Yankees have been doing the walk/obp/slg thing for years. They can just pay for better versions of that stuff. They have good offensive numbers because they get the most talented players who have the best plate discipline. If the Cubs were smart they'd do a scaled down version of the same thing. You don't need to go after every big time free agent, and there's no need to throw huge money after problems that can be fixed with minimal effort. Are people still arguing that the lack of walks isn't behind the Cubs lack of runs and lack of wins for the past several years? Are we still debating whether or not the Cubs should take more walks?
  24. goonys evil twin
    Beane's win totals (65 the year before he was hired) 74 87 91 102 103 96 91 88 Man. I'm all about wanting the World Series, but I'd have a lot less to complain about if that was the Cubs record the past 8 years. Even if that wasn't with a payroll in the bottom third of all teams that would be impressive. A lot of people like to point out the 5-6 good moves Hendy has made as evidence that fans can't complain about him. And some people like to point out the bad moves by Beane to justify criticizing him. But none of those things matter. What matters is the record, and Beane's record speaks for itself.
  25. goonys evil twin
    It's not a 1 for 1 trade-off. It's all 8 spots that matter, plus the bench. The Cubs have no bench, and a weak lineup. It doesn't matter how good Barrett is. Murton definitely has to be given every opportunity to develop this year. But going into the 8, with the lineup they had, it was a mistake to have him as the LF. It wouldn't have been a mistake if they did a respectable job of filling in the rest of the spots, but they didn't. I'm not saying that as a slight to Murton. I wanted there to be a spot for him. But Hendry's inept work meant they needed more from Murton than they could reasonably expect from him. And that was bad. A cheap LF that gets on base is a fantastic use of resources, but it won't be enough to win if the rest of your lineup sucks.
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