2 1st rounders I believe Then this is a pretty good trade. Yep, 1st rounder of the signing team and a supplemental pick. Well, there are some assumptions there. If: - the team that signs him is in the bottom 15 teams in the league, their first round pick is protected and StL would get a second rounder (this could easily happen with a team like the mets) - the team that signs him also signs a higher ranked "A" player, StL would be second in line for compensation - Holiday has a lousy second half, he could theoretically lose "A" status - StL is willing to take the gamble of arbitration in what could be a very tight market this year. Holiday could make $20M+ in arbitration. Would StL take the gamble on paying that next year? Most likely the answer to these questions are positives for StL, but they are still assumptions. Good points. I don't see how Holliday would make 20 mil in arb though. I see him in the 16 mil range. I'm fairly confident the Cards will sign him. The Cardinals don't seem to be scared off by Boras, they've dealt with him quite a bit in the past.