But unusual or not, that's exactly what happened until a month ago. And so because of that, by far the most likely scenario was that they would finish up at 83ish wins, because projections are progressive, not regressive. It assumes their 4 months of .500 ball would combine with 2 months of the slightly above average ball their true talent level suggested. The fact that they've instead played at a 110 win pace the past month is like the 98th+ percentile outcome. It wasn't at all wishful thinking to assume that wouldn't happen, given what we knew a month ago. To suggest that it was reasonable to expect their record to "even out" this much assumes they were "due" some hot streak, which is not how probability works. These things have a not so weird way of balancing out over the season. I don't think them them tearing it up for a month is anymore unusual than how they were under .500 in June and July; we've seen plenty of teams go through some variation of that. They're going to end up with about 90 wins and a decent run differential as expected, so that they got there with the help of a big month doesn't really stand out to me as something all that odd. It reminds me somewhat of the 2015 Cubs, TBH.