Sammy Sofa
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Everything posted by Sammy Sofa
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Truly, the 2018 Cubs offense was the Joe Flacco of baseball.
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Baseball teams are literally impossible to project and this is all a big Rorschach thing revealing our inner character I swear, if even one of those had been a ridiculous laugher of a win for the Cubs, I'd probably feel completely different. I have no backbone whatsoever.
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All I know is my going to games record over the last 3 seasons is 2-10, and those 2 wins were shitty, stressful ones, so that tiny sample size is definitely HUGELY influencing how down I am on this team. Despite the fact they won a WS in that time. I am fancy and I need to be courted and wooed.
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That's the diplomatic way of putting it. "Man, this big plate of food that is both spoiled and undercooked is WEIRD." -
There's a horsefeathering Truther for EVERYTHING now: [tweet]https://twitter.com/HelloFriends72/status/1071117090365554689[/tweet]
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Blaming...hoping...praying...
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Wasn't their power lacking pretty much all of last year?
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Way harsh.
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You know it, baby:
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I've seen some of the articles on peaks coming earlier, but I feel like they're missing something. I think the biggest reason for this is that "decent major leaguers" don't last as long as they used to. Once the "marginal" major leaguer hit arbitration, he's DFA'd. Ten years ago he still received a contract. Once the "decent" major leaguer hits free agency, he's now offerred a minor league deal, when you used to get a multi-year ML contract, because now the GM's realize they can get nearly the same production out of a rookie. And that rookie is getting a shot earlier, making his peak even earlier (simply becasue there is data for earlier). This is all based on my assumption that lack of data for a 34 year old (fewer 34 year olds getting ML free agent contracts) counts as a negative in these models. If removing these marginal players doesn't "count against" their age range, and just eliminates poorer performances, then I'm more wrong than you think I am. I would love to see reaserach on the aging curve of 10-year vets. I would imagine they are not much different that they were 10 years ago. Bumping because new page. Sofa, I’d genuinely like to hear your take on this, especially if I’m way off base. I'm just an idiot parroting what I've heard/read. I have no clue if the people claiming the changes in peak seasons are accounting for all of this.
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Are the other teams not aging as well. what a weird post Yeah, I have no idea how he's getting that anyone is saying the other teams aren't likely facing decline, too. It's not like the Cubs are just going to all fall off of a cliff at once; I just think it's goofy to talk like practically everyone is going to bounce right back or deliver to expectations except for one guy, despite all of them getting older, and some of them on the back end or moving out of what are generally now considered their prime seasons. Obviously that doesn't mean that players can't or won't have surge years after their peaks, but acting, like, "nah, we're mostly cool outside of Old Man Zobrist, the guy tied for 2nd in bWAR on the team in 2018," seems a tad myopic.
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The amount of spin from people inexplicably trying to defend the nonsense idea that Zobrist is the only real candidate for any kind of decline (please spare me the wobbly, nebulous, "b-b-b-but I was only talking about the special decline that old guys have, honest!") is giving my hair the kind of flowing, sexy bounce that I wish Bryce still had.
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Tim did say he was talking about decline based on age. I read it that Zobrist is the only guy who is so old you have to expect decline. He also specified offense. I can't speak for Tim, but I'm sure he'd agree that Baez is also likely to regress, but thats a matter of regression to the mean, not way-past-peak age. I have to say I agree with what he wrote, and think you would too if he expounded. Nope. Especially as it's become more and more clear how early players' peaks are, especially when it comes to offensive output.
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Seriously; Tim's take is the kind that people here would be losing their minds over if it came from a Cardinals or Brewers message board. That's some primo KeithStone-ing.
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Holy horsefeathers. That fuckin' bites.
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I knew this was trouble from the very beginning, dammit.
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I still get a kick out of the idea that implying the Cubs' money is pretty tight is some kind of cagey, crafty move by the FO.
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I thought I read that this budget shutting closed wasn’t anticipated and it had something to do with the Wrigley renovations The bad news: the extravagant idea to open up an HR Giger bar in Wrigley cost WAY more than expected. http://www.hrgiger.com/barmuseum.htm The good news: now we have the perfect place to drink away away our unfathomable sadness as the Cubs get bounced from the WC game next year.
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I swear, Dr. Spaceman has less made up-sounding name than this imposter.
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Billy Hamilton on the Cubs would be some kind of Hellraiser-esque nightmare puzzle box. None of us would be left sane or with flesh.
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Damn. That's a brutal read.
