The eye test seems to indicate that McCown is terrible in the end zone because his arm isn't strong enough to make the necessary throws in a compact field. i get that, but wouldn't that show up in the stats? the only way i can see your observations being true and deceiving the stats, is if McCown's always able to drive to within the goal line and Forte & Bush are getting stonewalled while the playcalling doesn't trust McCown's arm enough to throw in that spot for example, 1st & goal on the 5 is probably something like ~6 expected points; two straight failed runs puts you down to ~3 i'd imagine - this is where i can see your theory holding water some but conversely, you're also saying this like it's occurred enough to be a point of frustration, so he must have been making these unsuccessful passes there, too; you could have situations where RBs/WRs are tackled in the red zone, and McCown's wasted downs with tipped passes or whatever - that would certainly show up in the stats, where he has subtracted from their EP in those situations i'm obviously interested in this argument because i'm not entirely convinced a Cutler return is a bad thing for the Lions' playoff odds; i feel more of a need to defer to the stats because it's not common to be able to find much objectivity regarding Cutler (and by extension, McCown) around here