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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. sneakypower
    Yogi probably shot himself into the lottery with that performance
  2. sneakypower
    i guess technically, beating a guy to death is a worse outcome than busting
  3. sneakypower
    http://cdn.buzznet.com/assets/imgx/2/1/1/7/4/0/6/8/orig-21174068.jpg
  4. sneakypower
    the conference currently has 3 of the top 8 teams in kenpom and 5 of the top 21 (with the bottom two teams barely outside the top 100), so maybe now isn't exactly the ideal time for that
  5. sneakypower
    i voted Hendricks again, but i think i like Neil Ramirez more than most- it's definitely worth noting only 10 qualified pitchers in all of the minors had a higher K% last year
  6. sneakypower
    he put that prepubescent Dodgers lefty ahead of Taijuan Walker, lol also, what is this, year 6 of HJ Lee as a top-100 guy? http://apartmentdwellerssurvivalguide.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/stop-trying-to-make-fetch-happen-no-caption.gif
  7. sneakypower
    I get that, but they're 17 or 18 and being lied to (or at least mislead). either rival programs that actually honor their scholarships are doing a terrible job of communicating the risks of signing with St. Saban's Memorial Hospital, or these players are too hopelessly naive to get the point
  8. sneakypower
    the Baez page is hysterical using the May 17th - end of season (1000 OPS) split, Baez had 32% HR:FB, which is 2008 Ryan Howard territory, and the spray chart looks like a horrible case of the shingles- just spots everywhere with no real sense of order
  9. sneakypower
    yup, and it's safe to say this is the typical prevailing mindset amongst their fans: http://www.rollbamaroll.com/2014/1/27/5349996/2014-roster-lookahead-the-number-crunch#comments and from that article: That means if we signed all 27 today, the roster would be nine guys too big. Factor in Coker coming in in the fall, and that number jumps to ten too big. So where will those open slots come from? i don't feel sorry for these players anymore, either; if you put your kids/yourself in an SEC program, you should know full well by now you're getting no assurances whatsoever of keeping that scholarship for 4 years
  10. sneakypower
    Javy & Olt might very well be the leaders in team WAR if they do those things and a prediction: Soler asserts himself as easily a top-15 prospect
  11. sneakypower
    he's the CF Frank Lindor
  12. sneakypower
    wow, unreal of course, if i'm to be negative for just a minute, it's kind of a bummer that he gets effectively cancelled out* by another divisional prospect; BUT, no Taveras is a pleasant surprise all that aside, Sal Perez's contract becomes a complete & total chuckle-fest after seeing this *yes i know this is not how it works
  13. sneakypower
    yeah, i understand the problem, i got stuck on it when trying to think of comps before and just settled on a good fielding 3B to use
  14. sneakypower
    they slapped an 8 on Baez's power tool, and perhaps more interestingly, a 6 on his glove: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=22664#tools
  15. sneakypower
    yeah, that makes no sense; Ripken never had a 100 K season
  16. sneakypower
    seeing Castro's #1 comp being "Rennie Stennett" was a sucker-punch to the gut
  17. sneakypower
    Wells had a 3.54 ERA / 1.31 WHIP up to this point in his development, Hendricks is sitting at 2.42 / 1.04 right now maybe their stuff was comparable, though that's impossible for us to judge- but their production hasn't been remotely similar
  18. sneakypower
    especially considering the arguments for Olt are "maybe he'll be right, and hit .220 for us! there's some value in that" while true, we know Hendricks is already right, and he'll probably have like a 4 ERA; there's value in that
  19. sneakypower
    his podcast is really good- i like him fine, aside from all that #want #rig stupidity
  20. sneakypower
    the calculations are publicly known http://www.fangraphs.com/library/misc/war/
  21. sneakypower
    Is that the same, if calculated at both SS and 3B? I hate saying this, but I have no idea if positions are weighted differently. Although I think they are, since 1B usually seems to produce low WAR numbers. Although I guess THAT could be because it's just a better offensive position and it's harder to put up truly differentiating numbers from there. 1B seem to get lower numbers, compared to say CFs and SSs, because there's usually a pretty sizable gap in baserunning performance; an extreme example: there was a 2-win gap in Paul Konerko's and Jacoby Ellsbury's baserunning last year to answer the question, WAR considers a +5 fielding 3B as basically equal in value to an average (+0) SS
  22. sneakypower
    Szymborski had some good teases about it: Dan Szymborski ‏@DSzymborski Jan 25 Also, ZiPS loves Arismendy Alcantara. Enough that if I wonder if him or his agent hired an elite team of hackers to change ZiPS. Dan Szymborski ‏@DSzymborski Jan 25 If you graphed Brett Jackson's year-by-year projections, it would make a wicked sweet waterslide or downhill ski course. (his dad [i assume] replied) Peter H Jackson ‏@phjackson5 Jan 25 @DSzymborski back to college swing yesterday at Berkeley - maybe the slide bounces... pic.twitter.com/It6f3mESuL Dan Szymborski ‏@DSzymborski Jan 25 I suspect people will like the Javier Baez project. At least, Cubs fans.
  23. sneakypower
    I just keep trying to imagine in my head how much WAR you get in the modern, low-offense MLB with a plus-defensive 3b (or average defensive SS) who hits .300 with 40 HRs and average walks. I'm guesstimating it at roughly a billion. 700 PA worth of his '13 stats (.341 OBP, .578 SLG) with average SS D is good for about an even 7 WAR
  24. sneakypower
    wasn't that the game Stauskas sprained his ankle, too? the season's been a kind of weird chemistry experiment after losing 2 first rounders at G, and then McGary, but Beilein's just killing it overall
  25. sneakypower
    eat [expletive], Sparty (and B1G refs)
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