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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. theoretically, 3-3-5 is the best bet at stopping the spread
  2. No one's suggesting to pay 10 million plus a decent prospect(or more) for Villanueva or Baker either. we'll want to spend money on something, won't we? the remaining dregs of bargain bin SP free agents is just complete gross dog [expletive], so what else is there to even bother with now? playing it safe and only investing in players who are undeniable bargains hasn't really proven to be a super effective strategy; let me remind you 250 AB of Craig Gentry would have led our team in WAR...pretty sickening
  3. significantly better than Scott Baker/Carlos Villanueva's chances, i'd wager i guess now would be a good time to go back and look at everyone's declarations last year that Scott Kazmir was toast and not worth bothering with an MLB deal
  4. well, playing Ladarius Green over Charles Clay turned out to be a bit of a mistake
  5. i'd do Vogelbach or Candelario; Anderson has more upside as a pitcher than probably anybody else on our roster come opening day and he's still just 25 obviously this comes with the caveat of whether his medicals make you recoil with horror, but if right he can certainly be a poor-man's David Price at a tiny fraction of player cost if you're going to concede contention for one more year, i'd seriously prefer taking gambles with the actual possibility of hitting big and adding another player to your core via extension (or at the very least getting the comp picks); this is why i'm still despondent about losing out on Chris Young, and Liriano last year
  6. i'd give up nearly any non-top-5 guy as the main piece for Brett Anderson- whatever it takes, really we already blew it pretty bad on Chris Young and (maybe) Bourjos and a couple others lesser so, getting trumped on Anderson would be yet another annoying miss
  7. Q4 rushing yards: Eagles - 227, Lions - 0 yeah, that's not good
  8. whoever just said Calvin looks like the Bumble is my new favorite broadcaster
  9. omg this snow is ridiculous; we're so boned
  10. big break for Mizzou there
  11. I can't step away for a second. Am I wrong, or is that a lot for Granderson? No, I think that's pretty fair. before last year he had 84 HR in 2 seasons; it seems low to me and i'd really have loved to have him on those terms
  12. fwiw, Ellsbury's non-HR hits at Fenway with Yankee Stadium overlay (light-blue=2B, dark-blue=3B) http://i.imgur.com/xJ2rVKk.png with Wrigley overlay: http://i.imgur.com/OvWFEGM.png
  13. No. Because football stats are not nearly as reliable as a they are in a 1 on 1 sport like baseball, where your teammates and coaching decision making don't really matter. i mostly agree with that, but it seems perfectly reasonable to try to make comparisons between two guys at the same position who have been playing with the same exact coaching and offensive personnel
  14. weird, then why don't they just throw constant jump balls to whomever of Marshall/Jeffrey/M.Bennett's being singled? you don't need any arm to do that
  15. The eye test seems to indicate that McCown is terrible in the end zone because his arm isn't strong enough to make the necessary throws in a compact field. i get that, but wouldn't that show up in the stats? the only way i can see your observations being true and deceiving the stats, is if McCown's always able to drive to within the goal line and Forte & Bush are getting stonewalled while the playcalling doesn't trust McCown's arm enough to throw in that spot for example, 1st & goal on the 5 is probably something like ~6 expected points; two straight failed runs puts you down to ~3 i'd imagine - this is where i can see your theory holding water some but conversely, you're also saying this like it's occurred enough to be a point of frustration, so he must have been making these unsuccessful passes there, too; you could have situations where RBs/WRs are tackled in the red zone, and McCown's wasted downs with tipped passes or whatever - that would certainly show up in the stats, where he has subtracted from their EP in those situations i'm obviously interested in this argument because i'm not entirely convinced a Cutler return is a bad thing for the Lions' playoff odds; i feel more of a need to defer to the stats because it's not common to be able to find much objectivity regarding Cutler (and by extension, McCown) around here
  16. Szymborski (ZiPS) is maybe the best baseball follow on twitter Dan Szymborski ‏@DSzymborski That Trout valuation? 7/338. Dan Szymborski ‏@DSzymborski Given Andrew McCutchen's age and awesomeness. If he were a FA today, ZiPS estimates 7-year price of $238 million Dan Szymborski ‏@DSzymborski @Snowman_Roberts I have Ellsbury nearly at his valuation starting at 5.3 [ed: million per WAR] and *never* playing more than 119 games. Dan Szymborski ‏@DSzymborski (4.1*5.3)+(3.7*5.6)+(3.7*5.8)+(3.4*6.1)+(2.9*6.4)+(2.5*6.8)+(1.7*7.1) = 132. I know order of operations, parentheses for readability Dan Szymborski ‏@DSzymborski If you start at $6 million ($5.3 is still working for me overall and not inclined to move), then the ZiPS value is $150 million. Dan Szymborski ‏@DSzymborski ZiPS WAR projection for Choo: 3.0, 2.8, 2.5, 2.0, 1.4, 0.7 lol: Dan Szymborski ‏@DSzymborski The Rockies are helpful for writers though. If you wrote "Rockies need 1B help" yesterday, you don't have to change it for tomorrow!
  17. i hope Cook is ok after getting hit like that...by nothing
  18. turns out we need to keep defending several seconds after the shot clock expires, just to be safe
  19. Advanced Stats suggest a significantly higher level of play from McCown than from Cutler, if you care for statistical comparisons
  20. i wish our OC would get poached
  21. it's amazing how well they've turned it around after getting rid of Cam & Rivera
  22. 3-2 in Trey Burke's starts...1-13 in their other games MVP?
  23. would you believe Jose Vizcaino was in the bigs for 18 seasons?
  24. http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_l66ngaWZu81qc073co1_400.gif
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