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mul21

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Everything posted by mul21

  1. mul21
    http://news.yahoo.com/red-sox-clubhouse-chief-accused-90s-abuse-141402490.html;_ylt=Am4LeN_B1Wg9NjuOZv2W0r2s0NUE;_ylu=X3oDMTNtbWdtY3VmBG1pdANUb3BTdG9yeSBGUARwa2cDMTE0ODg2ZmMtNTg4ZS0zNmMzLWE3MzQtNjYxMjBjOGQ5M2JjBHBvcwMxMgRzZWMDdG9wX3N0b3J5BHZlcgMwOWU4OGEwMC0xZjY4LTExZTEtYWI4ZC1kYmI1M2NjYWNjYTg-;_ylg=X3oDMTFvdnRqYzJoBGludGwDdXMEbGFuZwNlbi11cwRwc3RhaWQDBHBzdGNhdANob21lBHB0A3NlY3Rpb25zBHRlc3QD;_ylv=3
  2. mul21
    I had the exact same thought. Yeah, on the other hand, if someone who is borderline [expletive] knows that, how obvious is it?
  3. mul21
    Given the sample size involved, how can you realistically call that an anomaly? Because everything we know about BABIP suggests it is an anomaly. You do realize some guys can maintain a much higher than "average" babip, right? The LD% + .120 or .140 or whatever you use can't be universally applied to everybody. Doesn't work that way. Yes, a large part of players will fall into the bell shaped part of the curve, but you've got slow guys and fast guys and other strange cases who are clear outliers. You still haven't said how you know Headley isn't an outlier. Headley is neither slow nor fast, so we should expect him to be in the fat part of the bell curve. Reading is fundamental.
  4. mul21
    Given the sample size involved, how can you realistically call that an anomaly? Because everything we know about BABIP suggests it is an anomaly. You do realize some guys can maintain a much higher than "average" babip, right? The LD% + .120 or .140 or whatever you use can't be universally applied to everybody. Doesn't work that way. Yes, a large part of players will fall into the bell shaped part of the curve, but you've got slow guys and fast guys and other strange cases who are clear outliers. You still haven't said how you know Headley isn't an outlier.
  5. mul21
    YOU'RE ACTUALLY SAYING "hmm, that road avg. doesn't look quite right, let's arbitrarily just take away 15% of his hits" Except it's not arbitrary at all. It's specifically aimed at correcting an anomaly in the data. That's the whole point, actually... trying to see what Headley would be if he was neither lucky nor unlucky. It may be aimed at correcting it, but you're way off because you either didn't use a specific methodology or just failed to explain it. Therefore, yes, it's completely arbitrary. How did you come up with the numbers? How do you know Headley isn't a guy who can sustain a .340-.350 babip in a relatively neutral park?
  6. mul21
    You're not going to account in any way for the balls that were outs at PetCo that would turn into home runs somewhere else (i.e Wrigley)? I'm not going to take the time to look at numbers, but just leaving that part out makes your analysis flawed.
  7. mul21
    Glad for Ronny, but most certainly too little too late.
  8. mul21
    My contention is that his road numbers are artificially inflated by an unsustainable BABIP, perpetuating a myth that he'll continue to be an .800 hitter outside of PetCo. Ok, but between your assertion that he'll be a .680-.700 OPS guy going forward and the fact that you don't seem to think PetCo could possibly cause a lower than normal babip for a guy, you have to understand why people are doubting you. I think there's a much better chance he's an .800 OPS guy going forward than he is a .700 OPS guy.
  9. mul21
    Mostly because he was bat crap crazy. Also, because he forgot how to hit a baseball.
  10. mul21
    Vitters very likely won't ever play third in the majors on a daily basis, so I don't think you can count on that being an option, especially with the premium it seems Theo is putting on defense.
  11. mul21
    It's just stupid how good Rodgers and the Packers receivers are.
  12. mul21
    This needs to be reiterated. The lack of depth has really destroyed us this year, not just at QB. Damage all across the OLine is a normal thing to expect on a football team, except last year, when we had almost no injuries at all. Two white safeties on the same field is inexcusable by the way, and should be a fire-able offense for a GM. Really, that back up O line guys can't really be expected to perform all that well, especially when there's multiple back ups playing at the same time replacing #1 draft picks. And the safeties really weren't bad at all, but that probably has something to do with playing against Palko.
  13. mul21
    They should have at least stopped to look at that.
  14. mul21
    I think he's hurt.
  15. mul21
    In Hanie's defense, if Barber isn't brain dead and lines up right, he has a TD there and if Roy doesn't have stone hands (again) he's probably got another one there. Not nearly as awful as his line is going to look, but still not good. This effing sucks.
  16. mul21
    And he even bobbled it badly enough that they catch it in the end zone and get it on the 20. At least the D appears to be pissed off right now.
  17. mul21
    Really????
  18. mul21
    Where the hell has this been all day?
  19. mul21
    Yep, this just got fun-bad.
  20. mul21
    Can Enderle be worse than this? I suppose he could throw a pick six, which at least Hanie hasn't done yet today.
  21. mul21
    Cutler for MVP?
  22. mul21
    Yep, season's over.
  23. mul21
    How about some more of that play action and roll out stuff?
  24. mul21
    Yes, that was a terrific throw Solomon. Only it would have been complete if he threw it 5 yards further down the field you idiot. And relying on Johnny Knox to ever fight for a ball is just dumb.
  25. mul21
    Wow, he might be better than Hester. That was just stupid.
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