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cheapseats

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Everything posted by cheapseats

  1. cheapseats
    If the Cubs are going to give Z a big contract, they need to do more money per year but over fewer years than what Zito got. I don't know what's going to happen with Z over the next few years, but if you look at his PECOTA comps, there are a whole lot of guys who, like Z, had thrown a lot of innings prior to their age 26 seasons. Most of those guys had drastic drops in IP sometime between 26 and 29. Remember that a lot of pitchers peak early, and often teams get a pitcher's best years before they're eligible for free agency. I'm not saying the Cubs shouldn't re-sign Z; I'm just pointing out that there's an element of risk.
  2. cheapseats
    Not good, at least last year. .308 OBP and .290 SLG vs lefties. He killed righties, though.
  3. cheapseats
    if they are talking about victor, they are correct. if they are talking about carlos, no way. PECOTA isn't a "they;" it's a forecasting system that uses about 100 comparable players for each projection. It's not so outrageous to think that Pie and Patterson could be more valuable than Z in the near future. Pitchers often peak very early - and Carlos already has a lot of miles on him - but hitters follow a more or less predictable curve, so Pie and Patterson should improve a bit over where they are now because they're both still young.
  4. cheapseats
    :? Losing weight is wonderful, I guess, but he needs to add a pitch if he wants to get lefties out. I really hope Lou isn't planning on using Dempster only in the ninth inning, because left-handed batters kill him. If a team has three righties coming up in the 8th inning, for example, that would be a fine time to use him.
  5. cheapseats
    I believe Michaels just signed with them, would be suprised to see him involved in any trade.... That doesn't mean anything, though. For example, the Cubs traded Farnsworth very shortly after he signed a contract in 2005.
  6. cheapseats
    1 year, five million, trot nixon and craig wilson... For a one year committment, and 130-some million dollars less... we could have had about the same production in RF, if not moreso. Edit: goony beat me to it. Yes, but neither Trot nor Craig is a leadoff hitter. How could the Cubs go into 2007 without a true leadoff hitter? Have you seen the market for leadoff hitters? :twisted:
  7. cheapseats
    Clearly this report isn't true because everyone knows that good chemistry is a prerequisite for winning a championship. That's why Hendry got rid of all the bad apples after 2004. :twisted:
  8. cheapseats
    Marques Colston was selected in the last round of the draft. Therefore, he is not a good WR.
  9. cheapseats
    And Manny Acta is considering batting Guzman second.
  10. cheapseats
    I don't think Pierre is going to give up his starting gig without a fight.
  11. cheapseats
    http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=155 Nate Silver thinks the Braves definitely got the better end of the deal.
  12. cheapseats
    I haven't noticed anyone else express that thought, but it's definitely something to think about. A lot of us here think that Z is indestructible, but he's already got a lot of mileage on him.
  13. cheapseats
    I don't hate him, but if you did your job as often and with the success he did last year, would you ask for a raise? If I was injured by my employer's negligence, I'd be looking for more than a raise.
  14. cheapseats
    I really don't get the Prior hate. In 2003, he was just 22 years old, and he finished the season 4th in pitcher abuse points. He was left in to throw more than 121 pitches four times. Yes, it's impossible to prove that the inexcusable overuse in 2003 caused his subsequent problems, but it's more than likely. Thanks, Dusty.
  15. cheapseats
    Edit: KC beat me to the punch. Our numbers pretty much agree. Assuming Murton and Jacque in the lineup for the Cubs and Duncan starting for the Cardinals, the Cubs starting lineup has an EqA of .277 and the Cards has an EqA of .278. With even a decent offensive player at SS, the Cubs would have a stronger projected lineup, but as is it's about even.
  16. cheapseats
    Zambrano has asked for $15.5 million in arbitration. The Cubs offered $11 million. http://www.rotoworld.com/content/playerpages/player_main.aspx?sport=MLB&id=3106
  17. cheapseats
    I don't know if it leaves a lot to be desired. The only thing he really needs to account for in the future is a measure of wild throws prevented, balls dug out of the dirt, etc. At any rate, I've never seen an advanced metric that had Pujols as a below-average defender, so Pujols' defense is an asset, not a detriment. It would be a waste to keep him off the field. I definitely agree that quantifying a catcher's defense is very tough. Dewan didn't even attempt it in his book.
  18. cheapseats
    When did they trade for Arod?!? I'd rather have Pujols over ARod. I'd rather have Pujols at 1B over A-Rod at 3rd. But I'd take A-Rod at SS over Pujols at 1B. And I'd take Pujols at DH over all of them. Huh? I'm not sure what you mean. Pujols at 1B has his detractions (defense and whatnot) plus the added chances for injury and fatigue. Put him at DH where he'd remain fresher longer, and face less possibility for injury and he's the best player in baseball by far. Pujols is one of the best defensive 1B in baseball. Dewan's Fielding Bible had him ranked behind only Teixeira and Mientkiewicz in 2003-2005.
  19. cheapseats
    When did they trade for Arod?!? I'd rather have Pujols over ARod. I'd rather have Pujols at 1B over A-Rod at 3rd. But I'd take A-Rod at SS over Pujols at 1B. And I'd take Pujols at DH over all of them. Huh? I'm not sure what you mean.
  20. cheapseats
    I'm watching the Denver/Portland game right now. I'm pretty sure I'd rather have J.R. Smith than Thabo. Trading away Smith was probably not one of Pax's better moves.
  21. cheapseats
    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/b/b9/Torborg-turningpoint.jpg/180px-Torborg-turningpoint.jpg Torborg by chokeslam.
  22. cheapseats
    What irritates me is the comment about them maybe not being the better team. The Bears have been a lot better than Seattle this year. They didn't play very well today, but they still won because they're a better team.
  23. cheapseats
    I don't really care who thinks Rex was good or bad today, but FWIW, Grossman faced the second worst pass defense in the playoffs (Dallas was the worst). The good news is the Saints shouldn't be much better. http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teamdef.php If the Bears do make it by New Orleans next week, they should match up with Indy better than they do New England.
  24. cheapseats
    No way that was a catch.
  25. cheapseats
    Is that Phil Simms doing color? Whoever it is just said, "Tom Brady [is] used to throwing up in New England."
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