Marshall and Mateo have done nothing to indicate they could outperform Padilla next year, and neither is a safe bet for 200 IP (probably Hendry's biggest desire). I'd be happy with giving Padilla a 3/21m deal, it's not like his signing will mean there is no room for anybody else. Even if he's here, there would be 2 spots open. The Cubs can't ignore other pitchers because of the guys they already have. and padilla is? i beg to differ. they can however avoid overpaying for often injured veteran's when they have plenty of talent in the system ready to contribute. That was the plan this year and it didn't work. There's a difference between having arms that are ready to contribute, and having arms that can go give you 32 starts 200 IP and a 4.00 ERA. If you're going to ignore what I said about Padilla's injury fine, but he's a much better bet to go 200 solid innings next year than Mateo or Marshall. It's not even close. But even if you have to combine starts from Mateo and Marshall to get to the 200IP, would they perform any worse? I think so, but it's not a completely sure thing. I think something that is being ignored, or at least glossed over, is the fact that the Cubs have numerous rotation holes to fill. They've got Zambrano and Hill, then 3 questions. If you signed Padilla, or something similar, you'd still have 2 spots open, not to mention a need for a 6th, or maybe 7th capable starter to call-up from the minors. Even if you get a healthy Prior back, there's still a spot for the imagined Marshall/Mateo combination. I've been assuming that Padilla would be the second starter that you sign. I'm assuming the Cubs have to go after one of the troika (Zito, Schmidt, Daisuke) as the starting point. So, if you have Z, Hill, (one of the above) as your top 3, then you're looking at the bottom two spots as some combination of Prior, reasonably cheap FA innings eater, youngn's. And the list of possible young pitchers is quite long with Marshall, Marmol, Mateo and Guzman along with outside chances of someone stepping up this coming spring like Ryu or Gallagher. Personally, I'm hoping that Guzman steps up and really locks down one spot because he's the most capable guy out there. I think the Cubs would be best served by investing heavily in an ace-caliber guy and lightly in a Jason Johnson-type for the back end. Then you hope that between Prior and the young pitchers you have enough guys step up that Johnson gets DFA'd. Prior is the whole key to our pitching staff. Z is great, Hill looks very good, we will try to add one of the top 3. If Prior can become even near the '03 version of himself we should have a very good rotation again.