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illiniguy

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Everything posted by illiniguy

  1. Just wait until Woody's son is a prospect.
  2. How long was Javy in Peoria? I imagine that's the same timetable Albert is looking at.
  3. Tons of Ks, HRs, and BBs last year. This year he's taking the Ks to the extreme and has quit walking, and the power isn't really there, either. He has 20 HR? That seems pretty good?
  4. Just saw Joey Gallo's numbers. Man he has some pop, but good lord he's gonna k 200 times in low A. Somewhere, Earl Cunningham is shaking his head.
  5. Wouldn't be surprised if it's soon and when he gets moved to Daytona Soler gets moved to Tenn Javy not ready yet?
  6. How close is Albert to a promotion?
  7. Ok, I don't expect anyone to know a GM is going to bring in dusty baker years in advance.
  8. what do you mean throw out? One of the things in favor of the two "lesser" prospects is that there are two of them. If the better guy gets hurt, that underscores part of the value of having quantity. You can't ignore that part of the equation. I think he's referring to Tim's idea of figuring out if BA has gotten any better at picking out future successful Major Leaguers. Yes, this. I don't expect anyone to predict that Mark Prior will get flipped by Marcuse Giles and then have Brad Hawpe hit a liner off of his throwing elbow.
  9. But in a completely hypothetical sense, if I had a chance to trade two guys from the back of the top 20 for someone in the top 2, I'm doing it almost every time. I'll get burned sometimes, but I'm pretty sure in the long run it's +EV. I'm curious, so I'll try this with the BA top 20s I can find. Let's say #2 v. #15 & #19 ahead of time so I'm not biased to pick a particular spot at the back of the top 20. http://i.imgur.com/zpecR0a.jpg #15 & #19 run away with it. In sum they end up better, and they're more often better in any individual year as well. A really interesting study would be to analyze whether BA and others are getting any better at ranking players. I'd be really curious if the hit rate for highly ranked players is getting better or treading water. Do you throw out injuries when performing this exercise?
  10. But in a completely hypothetical sense, if I had a chance to trade two guys from the back of the top 20 for someone in the top 2, I'm doing it almost every time. I'll get burned sometimes, but I'm pretty sure in the long run it's +EV. Sure, if you are blindly picking two guys from the back of the top 20. That being said if Baez has developed his approach, and is now going to be as patient as this past month has been, he could be a top 5 guy all by himself. Not many SS hit 40 homers anymore, or have all the sexy slash lines that go along with that.
  11. Nothing is ever guaranteed. In 1997, 89 and 91 for 2 would have been Glendon Rusch and Brad Rigby for Vladimir Guerrero. I just think you need to see another year out of Buxton before you get too crazy giving up multiple top 30 guys for him. He's probably going to be more Vlad than Corey, but it's really early in his career to make that kind of gamble.
  12. I'd give him and Almora for Buxton. Holy hyperbole. Kyle, you wouldn't actually do that, right? I absolutely would. If Buxton isn't the best prospect in baseball right now, he will be this time next year for sure. Anytime you can take a step up in quality for some quantity, you do it. Time warp to 01, I'd absolutely trade #89 Adrian Gonzalez and #91 Miguel Cabrera for #2 Corey Patterson. Did you see the numbers he just put up in low A?
  13. Yeah I meant more when others were saying how they preferred Sano and Lindor to him early on. I worded that poorly. I get that any trade we do involving Baez will probably result in us getting a young, established big leaguer.
  14. I can't believe after having the day he did and then having a day off, he was patient at all his first at bat. On base in his last 7 ABs Isn't it 3 BBs and 4 HRs? Whatever TF he wants. I clearly am insane and don't study prospects at all close enough to make this statement, but I wouldn't trade Javy for any prospect in baseball right now. I know he has a huge bust potential, but I also think he has the highest ceiling of any guy in the minors.
  15. I can't believe after having the day he did and then having a day off, he was patient at all his first at bat.
  16. Would they be willing to move Bonafacio or Mondesi? Dayton's desperate to save his job.
  17. I do wish they could set up a network where we could pay to watch all of their games though.
  18. Getting his Ryan Harvey on. Sorry.
  19. He's no Francisco Lindor.....
  20. All these posts made me think KC had a huge day. Damn.
  21. If his approach holds up at higher levels, I'm not so sure he's the one we should be trying at multiple positions to increase trade value.
  22. Jesus, that's what I thought Starlin might become. Maybe a bit heavier on OBP.
  23. So what's his ceiling? How excited should I be on him? Depends, do you find a shortstop who's on pace to hit 20+ homers and steal 35+ bases at over 90% accuracy while in 600 PAs as a 21 year old in AA exciting? I do, is this a fluke start though? I guess that's more my worry with him. Is this SSS, or is he improving by leaps and bounds?
  24. The three pointer? Cause that's where he said it started.
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