bukie
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Everything posted by bukie
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I believe the Bulls win the tiebreak with Washington, so a 4-way finish would be seeded: 5. Milwaukee 6. Indiana 7. Bulls 8. Washington With the Bucks and Wizards playing each other tomorrow, I believe the Bulls can clinch the 7th spot with a home win Wednesday against the Raptors. Actually, in the case of a 4-way tie, the Bulls get the 6 seed, since the first tiebreaker is overall head-to-head: 5. Milwaukee (3-0 vs. WAS, 2-2 vs. CHI and IND) 6. Chicago (3-1 vs. WAS, 2-2 vs. MIL and IND) 7. Indiana (2-2 vs. WAS, MIL and CHI) 8. Washington (0-3 vs. MIL, 1-3 vs. CHI, 2-2 vs. IND) It's a weird scenario...the Bulls lose to Indiana in a 2-way tie, or a tie involving just teams from the division, but they beat Indiana in a tie involving Washington. If Milwaukee wins tonight, they lock into the 5 seed, despite what other pundits may think...(it's not a 4-way tie yet since Milwaukee would be 41-41, and they win all the tiebreakers) Then, if the Bulls beat Toronto, they do no worse than the 7 seed, and if Indiana loses, they are the 6 seed no matter what Washington does.
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I can't help having a bad feeling about tonight's game. Back-to-back, just clinched a playoff spot so the edge could be off, and Orlando is going to be treating their last 2 games like the playoffs. Got a feeling the Bulls are going to be blown out tonight.
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And just like that, all playoffs teams have clinched, as Sacramento and Washington won to complete the field. With 2 games left, the Bulls are in the 8 position due to tiebreakers. Any game they gain on Indiana, Milwaukee, or Washington over the last 2 games will let the Bulls jump that team. If the Bulls win out, they are guaranteed at least the 7 seed, as Milwaukee and Washington play each other. However, if the Bulls go 1-1, they can do no better than the 6 seed for the same reason. 0-2, and the Bulls are automatically the 8 seed at 39-43. Which is better than anyone could've imagined 3 weeks ago. Orlando tomorrow, either a really ticked off Orlando team, or a deflated Orlando team. This could be their playoffs tomorrow and Wednesday (they play Indiana). Another interesting scheduling quirk is that the Bulls and Pacers both finish with Orlando and Toronto (in opposite order), and that Milwaukee and Washington play each other and Detroit. In my opinion, the Bulls match up best against NJ, then Cleveland, then Miami, then Detroit. However, I don't think they win a series against any of them. They can take NJ or Cleveland to 7, Miami to 5, and they could luck out and steal a home game from Detroit to avoid embarrassment. So...go higher seed!
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Sure, it probably should've been a no-call, which would've run the clock out, since the Bulls got possession.
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Very true, Washington has by far the toughest closing schedule. They could lose out on the playoffs altogether, which would be sad. Of course, that requires Philly to play well. The Bulls couldn't have caught Miami at Miami at a better time, now that they have absolutely nothing to play for and several of their key players could use a rest. Yet to be seen whether the Bulls can beat them, though. Remember, they haven't been able to beat the Heat at all the past couple years, with or without Shaq.
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Technically true...but the Bulls lose tiebreakers vs. Milwaukee and Indiana. So, they need Washington really to falter before they get a decent shot at the 6 seed.
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Orlando is not officially eliminated yet either, so if Philly loses another game, that won't clinch it officially I don't think. another game of interest going on right now, Indiana is tied with Charlotte in OT. Please win Charlotte Orlando is only in in the case of a 3-way tie for the 8 spot between Chicago, Philly, and Orlando. If Philly loses again, there's no way that can happen. Edit: Actually, I'm wrong. The Bulls just need to win. Orlando is in if Philly goes 1-1, Orlando wins their last 2, and the Bulls lose out. Also, Milwaukee and Indiana are in with Philly's loss tonight, despite both teams losing to Charlotte and Atlanta, respectively. Wonder if they started celebrating a bit early. Those losses might just earn them first round series' with Miami or Detroit.
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Everything you wanted to know about the playoffs (and some stuff you probably didn't care about): Tiebreaker scenarios - Records vs. potentially tied teams: Bulls: 3-1 vs. WAS, 2-2 vs. IND, 2-2 vs. MIL, 2-2 vs. PHI, 2-1 vs. ORL (1 remaining) Wizards: 2-2 vs. IND, 0-2 vs. MIL (1 remaining), 1-3 vs. CHI, 2-2 vs. PHI Pacers: 2-2 vs. WAS, 2-2 vs. MIL, 2-2 vs. CHI, 2-1 vs. PHI Bucks: 2-0 vs. WAS (1 remaining), 2-2 vs. IND, 2-2 vs. CHI, 3-1 vs. PHI 76ers: 2-2 vs. WAS, 1-2 vs. IND, 1-3 vs. MIL, 2-2 vs. CHI, 1-2 vs. ORL (1 remaining) Magic: 1-2 vs. CHI (1 remaining), 2-1 vs. PHI (1 remaining) Weirdest scenario: The Bulls win the tiebreaker vs. either Philly or Orlando, but if there's a 3-way tie for the 8-seed, Orlando wins the tiebreaker (overall head-to-head) and the Bulls would be left out. If there is a 5-way tie for the 5-seed, the seeding would work out as: - IF Milwaukee beats Washington... 5. Milwaukee 6. Chicago 7. Indiana 8. Philadelphia 9. Washington - IF Washington beats Milwaukee... 5. Milwaukee 6. Chicago 7. Indiana 8. Washington (better conference record than Philly) 9. Philadelphia If the Bulls tie just a single team, they win the tiebreakers vs. Washington (head-to-head), Philadelphia (conference record), and Orlando (conference record). They lose to Milwaukee (division record), and Indiana (division record). However, the Bulls beat Indiana in tiebreakers involving other teams from outside their division (Washington, Philly), due to a better conference record. Confused yet? :)
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Z looked like -. Judging by his body loanguage I'd say he backed out a long time ago. 1. Family site, please consider the language. 2. Z gave up 4 hits. If that's looking worthless, then more Cub pitchers need to look worthless. -
The Reds have 3 hits. It's not like they're pounding Z with reckless abandon. They are just making the most of every opportunity.
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But Pagan already has a hit... :)
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Have you seen the lineup? Yes, this lineup is going to struggle enough to score without giving away outs for free with the leading hitter on the team.
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All of a sudden, Washington is coming back to the pack as well. The Washington game is really important Friday, because I believe if the Bulls win that game, they win any tiebreaker situation among those 5 teams. The Sixers lose all tiebreakers. Edit: My mistake, Milwaukee wins all tiebreakers. Bulls are second if they win.
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'06 Predictions Contest / HR Derby: Discussion & Updates
bukie replied to Laura's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I was actually wondering if I should wait on that bonus pick until near the end...nobody else had thought of it before then :) -
I'd be more inclined to argue that Pedro Martinez might be the best pitcher ever. At least at his peak. However, it's yet to be known how long he'll hold up.
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8 seed and a sweep by Detroit, mid-first round pick along with a top 3 pick.
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Maybe it's just the homer in me, but Illinois and North Carolina last year would be able to wipe the floor with any of the teams this year. No team is close to the level that those two were at last year.
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Group A: Alex Rodriguez Group B: Albert Pujols, Travis Hafner Group C: Bobby Abreu, Jason Bay, Lance Berkman Group D: Grady Sizemore, Michael Young, Todd Helton, Wily Mo Pena Bonus: Jim Thome
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However, their past performance has no bearing on their tournament seeding for this year. It simply is stated repeatedly by the committee. Sure, Gerry McNamara was still playing this year, but Carmelo Anthony wasn't, so it's illogical to say "you know, Syracuse won a championship 2 years ago, they deserve to be in this tournament over a team that hasn't won a championship". Just like with Illinois' run last year, it's illogical to say "Illinois went to the championship game last year, so they deserve to be seeded 1 or 2". That is the point I am trying to make. Past performance has no bearing for the committee in terms of selecting teams or seeding teams. Cincinnati, Michigan, Seton Hall, and Louisville's past tournament performance have no bearing this year on their selection or seeding, and shouldn't.
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And once again you completely miss the point. Nobody is saying the MVC is just as good as the ACC, Big Ten, Big East, SEC, even this year, and especially historically. You've made the argument that the MVC shouldn't get as many bids as those conferences because they aren't as good. That argument is baseless, because the number of bids a league gets has nothing to do with relative strength of the league. That the history of a conference should dictate how many bids those leagues get. However, bids aren't given out by league, they are given out on a team-by-team basis, aside from the automatic bid. Counting the number of bids for each league is something done by media outlets as a baseless form of comparison. Just as performance in the tournament says more about individual teams than about leagues. Yes, Wichita State's presence in the sweet 16 says a lot about Wichita State this year. They are a quality team. Just like Syracuse's title 2 years ago said a lot about Syracuse that year. However, a championship for Syracuse 2 years ago should have little to do with not only Syracuse's seeding for this year, but especially the number of bids the Big East should get. Just like Illinois' championship game appearance last year should and does have no bearing on their seeding for this year, and especially their performance this year. To extrapolate that appearance to the entire conference's seeding/performance this year would be incredibly ignorant.
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What version of the standings do you look at where Seton Hall finished 10th? http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/standings That's a ridiculous argument, too. Nobody is arguing that the MVC gets bids over the first place Big East/Big Ten/ACC teams. They are arguing that their top 6 are just as good or better than the 5th-6th-7th best teams in these conferences, and should get those bids. Maybe the Big West should get at-large teams every year, since UNLV won a championship in 1990 and made the Final Four undefeated in 1991. Or maybe the A-10 should get guaranteed at-large bids every year since UMass made the Final Four in the mid-90's with Calipari. What a conference has done in the past has no bearing on bids in the future, and shouldn't. The MVC got 4 bids this year, easily deserved, and perhaps they deserved more.
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Granted, but I was speaking more to the justification for them getting into the tournament, as their resume was no more impressive than that of a Michigan, or a Cincinnati, or a Missouri State.
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I had Alabama as one of those teams that inexplicably was considered a lock, despite playing nobody in the non-conference season. They had 3 good home victories against Florida, LSU, and Tennessee, but just one decent road victory (Kentucky), and a bad home loss to Ole Miss, and finished 17-12 overall. Plus they looked horrible in their conference quarters against Kentucky.
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To be fair, those were the 3 worst teams from the Big East that are finished. Good point. Barring upsets, the record will be 5-3 at the end of today. Still, "barring upsets", they should've gone 7-1 in the first round. Right now, the Big East has lost 2 games they shouldn't have, the Big Ten one, the Big 12 one, the SEC one, the ACC won with a 1 seed and a 4 seed in double OT, and the Pac-10 has performed as they should have so far. Also, the SEC has won a game they shouldn't have, and the Big 12 has won one they shouldn't have.
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Sigh, I don't care how low percentage you think the shot is. You just can't let them have it from there. Air Force shooting almost 60% from 3-point range, they can and will make it tonight.
