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bukie

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Everything posted by bukie

  1. How do you make this argument when the team that's going instead of them is one they beat head to head on a neutral field? Because the season consists of 12 games, not 1. Over those 12 games, Oklahoma has been the better team.
  2. Texas is not getting screwed. By any reasonable measure, Oklahoma has been a better team this year than Texas, if only slightly. Since only one of the teams can participate in the Big 12 championship, that slightly is enough. If anybody is getting screwed, it's USC for not even having a shot at the championship despite playing probably the best football of any team throughout the year.
  3. Probably not. My out my ass chances in each game. Monday OSU/Miami 45% PU/Duke 54% Tuesday Minn/VA 70% Wisky/VT 60% IL/Clem 60% Iowa/BC 15% Wednesday NU/FSU 55% PSU/GT 40% MSU/UNC 20% UM/MD 17% IU/Wake 1% I mentioned it about 20 pages ago, but we pretty much have to be up 5-1 after Tuesday to have a legit shot. Based on early (low sample-size, highly volatile) Pomeroy ratings, here are the matchups: Monday: Wisconsin (34) @ Virginia Tech (97) ADV: Big Ten Tuesday: Ohio State (4) @ Miami (16) PUSH Iowa (71) @ Boston College (36) ADV: ACC Clemson (20) @ Illinois (28) PUSH Virginia (160) @ Minnesota (57) ADV: Big Ten Duke (9) @ Purdue (10) PUSH (maybe slight Big Ten) Wednesday: Indiana (249) @ Wake Forest (38) ADV: ACC Penn State (59) @ Georgia Tech (49) ADV: ACC Michigan (74) @ Maryland (26) ADV: ACC North Carolina (2) @ Michigan State (27) ADV: ACC Florida State (100) @ Northwestern (22) ADV: Big Ten So, 3-4 matches favor the Big Ten, and 5 matches favor the ACC, with 2 "push" matchups. However, the Big Ten never plays well in this matchup, so I'm guessing it'll be 7-4 or 8-3 ACC. Ohio State is only really that high because they've played fantastic against absolutely nobody (SOS 334, only Georgia among major conf teams has played a worse sched), even though their defense has been amazingly efficient.
  4. So, then, hypothetically, if Oregon State beats Oregon yesterday, your pool of national championship possibles (other than the SEC champ) consists of Missouri, BC, Cincinnati, Oregon State, Utah or Penn State? I'm of the opinion that it should be the two best teams, regardless of conference finish.
  5. The exciting finals matchup of the South Padre Invitational will be Illinois vs....Tulsa. Yep, this tournament blows.
  6. Illinois quietly beat Kent St. in OT to advance to the finals of the South Padre Island Invitational (the red-headed stepchild of preseason tournaments, with Texas A&M headlining). They'll play the winner of A&M/Tulsa tomorrow. Not a great win, but a good win against probably the best team in the MAC.
  7. Actually, since it's likely neither BSU or, well, BSU will get a BCS bowl, it'd be interesting to see some bowl pick both of them up to play each other.
  8. Oklahoma vs. Arizona....err, UAB. OU-UAB.
  9. According to this they hosted the Chargers on October 26th. http://www.neworleanssaints.com/Game%20Day/Seasons/2008%20Schedule.aspx In London, though. They haven't played at the Superdome in 6 weeks.
  10. The Saints have an actual home game tonight for the first time since October 12, which would make a total of 6 weeks. That's not the kind of thing that should be allowed with the NFL scheduling.
  11. Yeah, that was the other thing I forgot to mention: If the Bears lose this game, they can only win a tiebreaker if Detroit can beat one of Min/GB.
  12. OK, so if they lose they are 2 back with 4 to play. Probably even a bigger game for them than us, but not by much. Again, first tiebreaker is common record among tied teams If Bears win: Chi 2-1 (vs. GB) GB 2-1 (@ Chi) Min 1-3 If Vikings win Chi 1-2 (vs. GB) GB 2-1 (@ Chi) Min 2-2 So that would leave the Bears needing to beat GB to go to the next tiebreaker. If that happened, the next tiebreaker would be division record, which would be the same assuming everyone beats Detroit twice (which the Bears have). Then the next tiebreaker is common games, and I have no idea how to figure that out. In the division, common games for this season would be all division games + the NFC South games (ATL/NO/TB/CAR) + the AFC South games (TEN/IND/JAC/HOU). There are only 2 games on the schedule that aren't common games (NFC East opponent and NFC West opponent)
  13. If the Vikings lose this game, they can no longer win any tiebreaker for the division.
  14. Incidentally, on the other side of the spectrum, only 3 games into the season, there are already 4 conferences in which none of the teams are undefeated, and one conference (SWAC) in which none of the teams have a D-1 victory (Prairie View beat a bad DII team by 50, but the rest of the conference is 0-24 otherwise).
  15. Virginia Tech lost to Xavier, so that leaves the Big Ten as the last conference to lose a game this year....in about 4 hours, I'm guessing.
  16. I love early season, extremely low sample size computer rankings: http://kenpom.com/rate.php Go Savannah State! ;)
  17. Holy crap, Illinois won a game in which they were outshot on the road significantly, and the difference was free throws and rebounding.
  18. Not sure, but I think this win clinched the MAC conference championship for Ball State. So it's a little bit of a big deal.
  19. Wins and losses are irrelevant. Teams should be awarded points for scoring goals and subtracted points for allowing goals.
  20. The Big Ten hasn't had any bad losses as of yet, at least. Probably safe until tomorrow, as it looks like Wisconsin is going to squeak by tonight.
  21. He had an argument, but Sizemore, Morneau, Mauer, Hamilton and Youkilis probably had better arguments.
  22. Are you arguing that Hamilton should've been higher or lower? 5th in WS, 2nd in EqR, 8th in EqA, 6th in VORP, 4th in RC, he was in about the right spot really, if maybe a little low.
  23. Well, if he were a closer, he probably would've finished 6th. If he played for Tampa, though, he would've been 11th.
  24. Err....Utley definitely shouldn't have come in 14th place in the MVP voting this year. Not his fault voters fell in love with a player on his team that essentially should've been platooned until September. Youkilis and Pedroia had pretty similar years. Pedroia had a better VORP, Youkilis had a better EqA, more Win Shares, and more RC.
  25. Upon further review, he certainly wasn't the least deserving player to get first place votes (K-Rod? Really?), and his VORP was actually third in the AL (A-Rod, Sizemore). His EqA was 17th in the AL, and he was tied for 8th in the AL in Win Shares. Probably not the most deserving player in the league, but not completely out of left field.
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