Ghana would finish 2nd with a Germany and Serbia win today which is one of the more likely scenarios. BTW, the odds on 538 has the US playing Serbia 48% of the time, Ghana 29%, Germany 16.5%, and Australia 6%. If Germany and Serbia win, the US plays the tiebreak loser of Germany and Serbia. If Germany and Australia win, then US plays Ghana If Ghana and Serbia win, the US plays Serbia. If Ghana and Australia win, the US plays Germany, unless Australia wins like 8-0. If Serbia wins and Ghana and Germany tie, the US plays Ghana.