A few morning Bulls-Heat thoughts: - I'm curious how the Bulls will try to defend the Heat. I expect Noah to handle Bosh, and I expect Deng to constantly shadow James, but do the Bulls try Rose on Wade to get more Korver use (which the Heat could potentially counter with James on Rose and Wade following Korver...leaving Deng with a mismatch), or will they go primarily with Brewer/Bogans with Rose roaming around to help off guard-du-jour and offense be damned? I expect them to let Noah neutralize Bosh, and focus on shutting down one of James/Wade as much as possible, banking on one superstar alone not being enough to win. - The Bulls probably have a bigger front court advantage against the Heat than they did against either of the two first-round opponents, if only because Bosh is the only "big" that is even above replacement level. Granted, James and Wade get plenty of time at the rim, too, and I expect a lot of fouls being called on drives by either of them. Of course, that's another advantage to a deep front court. - Offensively, the Bulls are going to need to continue to get contributions from more than just Rose. If Boozer can somehow match or surpass Bosh's production, I'd love the Bulls' chances. - Offensively, the Heat do most of their effective scoring two ways: isolation sets and transition. The Bulls defense is designed to limit isolation, but is probably weakest in transition (most notably transition 3's). The more the Bulls force the Heat into a half-court game, the better their chances. That means limiting TOs, which have been an issue the first two rounds. - Aside from James, Wade, and Bosh, the players that generally get minutes are (in descending order of avg minutes) Joel Anthony, Mario Chalmers, Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Mike Bibby, James Jones and Juwan Howard (all other players average below 5 min per game). Going by APER (adjusted for assisted baskets), the Heat have the best two players (James 28.97 and Wade 27.13) and three of the best four (Rose 26.26, Bosh 18.95, Noah 18.88). However, the entire Bulls rotation follows before the next Heat player (Ilgauskas).