It isn't logical to pick and choose which games "count" towards team totals. The blowouts are as much a part of the team's performance as the one run losses. If the data showed that, over the long term, a team that tends to lose lots of one run games while outscoring opponents over will continue to lose, you'd have an argument. But while it is possible that the Cubs' poor play in one run games could continue, you haven't proven that those games are any more predictive of their future performance than their overall efforts. If you can show statistical evidence that those losses were more predictive, and not mostly up to chance, I'd like to see it. I know, but the Cubs have not been winning according to what the overall stats say they should. Do you really think with this BP we're going to start winning close games late? I'm certainly not seeing it, although I'd love for it to start happening. I can show you the lack of holds from the BP. We don't have anyone near the league leaders in that category. If the BP can't hold teams, why would they suddenly start winning one-run close games? I'm sure you acknowledge the BP has been weak this year, correct? According to ESPN.com, the Cubs bullpen ERA is 3.58, 6th in the NL. That isn't the best measure of a bullpen, but I prefer it to holds or saves. In the early going, the team has consistently put the bullpen in positions demanding perfection. The end result is that the bullpen gives up just enough and they get the blame, even though the offense failed to score the tack on run, or the starter let the opposing team back in the game. The bullpen hasn't been spectacular, but it gets more than a fair share of the blame. As the season goes on, it is probable that the luck of one run games will even out. It won't necessarily. We could have a bad season in one run games. But hopefully the rest of the team picks the bullpen up and puts them in fewer crucial situations, and maybe a few breaks will go the Cubs way in the close ones. Either way, what the batters and starters do will be much more important to the team's success than the bullpen.