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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Decent pickup at a position of need. Assuming the PTBNL is of little to no significance, I like this quite a bit.
  2. Reminds me of Sammy. Once he learned to lay off sliders he became an absolute monster. There were almost no holes in his swing (maybe up and in, somewhat). Soler isn't Sammy, but there's no reason he can't be a consistent .275 / .340 / .475 type guy if he learns to lay off the breaking pitch. No holes in his swing? He averaged around 155-160 K's/year from 1998-2003 He was also walking 10-15% of the time. You work deep counts, you're probably going to strike out a lot.
  3. Nice pick, but a bit of a lackadaisical throw.
  4. Those numbers look low for us, and I'm not sure where you're seeing the Giants at 1.9% for WC. They're 1.8% for WS. ETA: It's giving us a rest of season winning percentage below .500. I'm assuming they messed something up. Are those unadjusted projections from preseason? I'm really confused. It must have updated in the time between when I posted it and you looked. Here's yesterday's projections, which is pretty close to what I was looking at. I have no freaking clue why it thinks our ROS winning percentage should drop 50 points overnight. Soler hasn't done that much.
  5. Fangraphs really likes the Cubs chances to make the playoffs. It says the Giants have just a 1.9% chance to take a WC spot.
  6. PA per walk for Almora: 2012: 72.5 2013: 16.7 2014: 37.8 2015: 13.8 Don't get me wrong, he's improved this year. But it looks a lot more impressive because his 2014 was so, so bad.
  7. That's bad news for the Cubs. Hopefully they won't hire a competent person. Meh, Melvin was fine as a GM. He never had much in the way of a payroll to work with. So he took his time, put together a very competitive team for a few years, and is eating dust now that they've left their competitive window. He's not the guy I'd have heading up my list of candidates if I was an owner looking for a new GM. But he'd be a great GM for a team with a strong/involved team president.
  8. [tweet] [/tweet]
  9. I don't directionally disagree with you here, but the NL is not the AL in terms of wild card contenders. There are 4 teams for 2 spots, 5 for 3 if you want to call LAD/SF a tossup for the west. Hey, I'm not even saying I agree with their philosophy. I'm just trying to figure out what kept them from making a big splash. And I think the records of the Cards and Pirates were a big chunk of that (in addition to AJ Preller losing his mind).
  10. I think if the Cubs were going for the division right now, you'd have seen the front office act a little bit more aggressive. But fighting a large group for the right to a play-in game... maybe that's not the best expenditure of high end resources. Don't get me wrong, I'd have loved to see the Cubs bring in a Ross or Carrasco. But I think Haren and Hunter should be enough of a bump to keep us competitive. We're already going to be relying on a bit of luck, so what's a bit more?
  11. Morse was traded to the Pirates for Tabata. Moss was traded to the Cardinals.
  12. I am legitimately sad to see Junior Lake go. He was usually pretty bad, but sometimes he was incredibly good. That's the best eulogy I have for his Cubs career.
  13. Thank goodness for tweetdeck on a day like today.
  14. Ok. I'm not high on Haren, but he's better than our other fifth starter options. Assuming the prospects are mostly non-entities, this is a fine move. Uninspiring, but still an improvement.
  15. We don't have anybody to comp for Norris. Hes cost controlled forever and slides in the Detroit rotation right now as their best pitcher, probably.
  16. True things about Jonathan Papelbon: He's an a-hole. His fastball velocity has been declining for years. His strikeout rate has declined from his peak. More true things about Jonathan Papelbon: His walk rate has gotten significantly better to offset the loss in velocity and strikeouts. His FIP in Philly is 2.84 (2.60 in Boston) Despite playing for a terrible team, his WPA is the 3rd best in baseball amongst relievers since he joined the Phillies. Jonathan Papelbon is still one of the best closers in baseball. False things about Jonathan Papelbon: He sucks. I've never understood the Papelbon hate.
  17. That would be a huge waste. We have four perfectly acceptable starters in Lester, Arrieta, Hammel, and Hendricks. If you want to add an ace to push Hendricks to the #5 slot and out of the playoff rotation, that's fine. But acquiring two starters would mean that you're using Leake to force Hendricks to the bench. There's no real gain there, except for depth in case of an injury. And since we're just talking about a 5th starter in your scenario, you could probably get a 5th starter a lot cheaper than Mike Leake in terms of prospects after the non-waiver deadline. It doesn't really matter when you acquire them, since you wont have them on the playoff roster anyways.
  18. If you told me in the offseason that I'd see that line on gameday this season, I'd assume our record was a lot worse than six games over .500.
  19. It's irrational, but I want the Cubs to sell some prospects just to stop hearing the fans slot every Cubs prospect they've heard of into The Future as a starter. They'd still do it, just with prospects who have even less of a shot of making it happen.
  20. I feel like he was DFA'd not too long ago and the Cubs took a pass. Nobody wants that salary right now.
  21. Per twitter. Will serve as DH. Nice.
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