and Schmidt's career up until 28 or 29 is indistiguishable from Padilla's career up until now. so which is more likely, Schmidt taking off and taking the triple crown, or Padilla stepping up and having three years like Schmidt did at Padilla's age? and where are you getting your info? baseballreference has Schmidt's most similar by age as Jack McDowell, Ramon Martinez, and Bartolo Colon. not that I agree with that, but that's a large disparity in similarity rankings between those guys and Clemens. but I think the comparison to Clemens is absurd in any regard. Clemens had 6 seasons of 154 or better ERA+ by the time he was Schmidt's age, and hoping that Schmidt will follow the same path as Clemens into the future is foolhearty. choosing one freak as a basis of comparison gets us nowhere. Got the info from BP. I trust their list more than baseball-reference. And personally, I don't think Schmidt getting the triple crown is likely, nor do I think Padilla stepping up to Schmidt's level is much more likely. I was only using the comparison to show that guys like Schmidt are able to pitch well fairly late into their careers. Schmidt has a lot of interesting names on his list of comps... Jack Morris Mike Scott Roger Clemens Todd Stottlemyer Early Wynn Bob Gibson Sonny Siebert Mark Langston Steve Carlton Tom Seaver Stottlemyer and Langston are the only ones who didn't pitch well after age 33. And Stottlemyer was never as good as Schmidt to begin with...