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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Jae Kuk Ryu is still listed as wearing No. 20. Subject to change at any time, certainly, but No. 20 Ryu and No. 17 Pie is what the roster says at present. Yeah, I saw that too. Pie shouldn't be #17, that was only good for Gracie. (Bobby Hill sucked in it.) I believe he wears #22? in the minors, but in the winter leagues he wore #20 from pictures I've seen. In his time in the minors, he's worn #15 and #20. The Cubs better retire Sammy's number!! The Cubs should retire #21 before #31. Unless the 31 is Jenkins, I agree 100%. Maddux shouldn't have his number retired by the Cubs. A certain Mr. Jenkins would like to have your support for #31 being retired.
  2. I usually go with VORP and VORPr. Taveras 5.1 VORP, 0.038 VORPr Wilkerson -5.3 VORP, -0.063 VORPr Taveras was better than Wilkerson last year, I see no doubt about that. The question is whether Taveras will be better than Wilkerson again next year, a question which I am inclined to say "no" to. Taveras used to have a very high walk rate in the minors. 2002, .120 IsoD 2003, .100 IsoD 2004, .067 IsoD Obviously, pitchers are challenging him more now that they realize he can barely jack the ball out of the infield when they hang a curve, but he does stll have some potential to recover some of that patience. I'd give up a package like Mateo and Harben for Tavares, but I wouldn't give up anything of real value... and I certainly wouldn't plan on keeping Tavares around once Pie becomes ready.
  3. I find myself wondering the same thing when I look at this thread. Any interesting news to leak to us today?
  4. He's one of the very top first basemen to ever play the game. If he doesn't get in, it'll be another black eye for the validity of the HoF in the vein of the Santo and Blyleven gaffes.
  5. I'm not the biggest Izturis fan, but if you look at him at 26 he compares similar to Omar Vizquel when he was that age. Vizquel had similar type numbers and eventually developed into a solid hitter. If you get the chance look at their stats from early in their careers. Lets see if Izturis will develop more, he is still young. Hopefully he will be one of Gerald Perry's new projects. Working on OBP. Vizquel Age, IsoD 22, .053 23, .052 24, .072 25, .046 26, .064 Izturis Age, IsoD 21, .010 22, .021 23, .031 24, .042 25, .045 26, .050 Izturis is apparently getting more patient, but his best season is still only .004 better than Vizquel's worst through age 26. And even at that, Vizquel has been well below average with the bat most seasons...we are talking about a guy whose career OPS is .702 (measurably worse than Pierre was last year, and nobody thought he qualified as much of a hitter)
  6. To everybody who is arguing against a four man rotation on the basis of daily routines being important, You do realize that pitchers are asked to adjust their routines much more drastically quite often, right? Hell, we're in the middle of moving Wood from the rotation to the bullpen... he's going to completely change his routine.. We send young kids down from the major league pen and have them start at AAA constantly. How about the swingman role? He doesn't get to have a routine all year. Now mind you, I'm not trying to argue that the routines are unimportant. They certainly are important. But if Rothschild were really half the pitching coach he's supposed to be, he should be able to come up with routines to help guys get through 4 man rotations. And I'm all for setting up a 4 man, tandem rotation. It would free up a slot or two on the bench that would otherwise go to somebody like Novoa.
  7. People are wasting their time talking about this shortstop thing and Giles. The Cubs, whether you like it or not, are happy with Izturis and are not looking for a shortstop. They signed DeRosa for three years to be their second baseman. They are not going to sign Giles. You know Bruce, sometimes you ruin my "ignorance is bliss" gambit. I am partly kidding, of course. I really do appreciate the fact that you give us such unparallelled insight into the mindset of the Cubs' front office. I just wish that they gave you better things to say.
  8. Krivsky has to be rapidly getting there as well. He certainly is. The way I see it, it goes... 1. Coletti 2. Krvisky 3. Bavasi 4. Bowden Bowden has absolutely mangled Krvisky and Bavasi lately, so there does need to be a gap between them.
  9. I think this deal flip-flops Bowden and Bavasi at the near the bottom of the GM list. Coletti is still king, though.
  10. Is this the theory of how Joe Morgan got a job announcing?
  11. He could be good if we put him in a position to suceed. For instance, if he was only ever allowed to pinch run (not steal) and never touch a bat or a glove, he'd be amazing at his job.
  12. Official. Heyman reported that hours ago while they were still on the plane. An hour later John Henry came out and said there was no deal yet. Has anything changed since then?
  13. He's too valuable as a starter to be converted to closer. On the Marlins it might actually make a bit of sense. Willis Johnson Sanchez Olson And Pinto and Petit can compete for the fifth starter spot with Mitre. I'm not saying I'd waste a pitcher of Nolasco's potential in a relief role... that'd just be stupid. But if they can't get good value for him in a trade, they've got to put him somewhere... and there's a good chance Pinto or Petit (if he gets some of that magic back) could outperform him anyways.
  14. Do you have stats for number of pitches thrown per season during that era? Pitches per plate appearance have increased pretty dramatically since then. it sure doesnt sound like that is the case according to this quote from Ferguson Jenkins: "I hear in the clubhouse all the time about a pitcher having a twinge, and they go on the disabled list. I would have never won any ballgames if I would have missed a start with a twinge. "Pitchers are definitely protected," added Jenkins. "I used to warm up and throw 100 pitches in the bullpen and then throw 150 pitches in the game. I would throw nine innings, which they usually won't let these young men do right now." link: http://mlb.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/news/article.jsp?ymd=20060709&content_id=1549169&vkey=allstar2006&fext=.jsp What was the average velocity that pitchers threw back in the day? According to MVP Baseball 2005, Walter Johnson threw between 100-102 on most pitches.
  15. I dunno, I'm a big fan of Gagne in 2003. Also an incredible year. I just think sometimes people forget how good Mesa was for that one season. Yes, but that's not what you originally said. You said you'd take Mesa over Smith and that is just an utterly ridiculous statement. Certain stats can be argued; others can't. Pick any stat you want; Smith beats Mesa in all of them and flat out dominates in most of them. K/IP Mesa: .67 Smith: .97 BB/IP Mesa: .42 Smith: .38 ERA: Mesa: 4.27 Smith: 3.03 And of course the all important one of Saves Mesa: 320 Smith: 478 Smith has 1.5 times the saves Mesa has in over 200 LESS innings. That is why Smith is being considered for the Hall of Fame and Mesa will never come anywhere close. One great year does not make someone a great player. Otherwise by your argument we need to include Brady Anderson as one of the great sluggers of the last 10 years. Uh, just so everybody here feels really old. There have been 10 full seasons since Brady Anderson knocked his fifty dingers. He actually did that 11 seasons ago.
  16. Hansen's gonna have a hard time being lights out if he doesn't bring his arm slot back up. Lefties are seeing his stuff too well and absolutely pasting him.
  17. Jones is too young to play in SF. You need an AARP card to be a Giant. Cubs get: Baldelli or Crawford + Reid Brignac (ss prospect) Giants get: Jones, Dempster, $6mil from Cubs Marlins get: Benitez, Scott Moore, Giants prospect + $6mil from Giants D-Rays get: Cedeno + Nolasco + Marlins pitching prospects fair? Just trying to get a centerfielder outta the deal. Jones, Dempster, Moore, Cedeno and 6 mil might not be enough to get Baldelli, Crawford, or Brignac (who is easily one of the top 2-3 SS prospects)
  18. :shock: I guess he's like Juan Pierre but not as fast and not as good a hitter? I can see what makes him so likable. :twisted: I thought Pagan was faster than Pierre by a good deal til he pulled his hammy early in the season. Seemed like that pull really dropped his speed in a hurry and he never did quite recover all the way during the season, though
  19. I liked Pagan too, but only as a fifth outfielder/pinch runner. He shouldn't have gotten nearly as many PA's as he did.
  20. Taken from the Baseball Prospectus "Player Profile - Marcus Giles" article of Sept. 28, 2006...
  21. Zambrano, Prior, Hill
  22. They were both pretty atrocious.
  23. Considering our CF situation, I think we pretty much have to be interested at least a little.
  24. Non-tenders just become free agents, IIRC. No order about it. They sign wherever they want to.
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