Rob
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Everything posted by Rob
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205. Ryan "Donnie" Garko 206. Ubaldo Jimenez 207. Nate McLouth 208. Jose Guillen 209. Whoever the hell earth2sean picked 210. Jason Isringhausen
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3/27: Cubs battle Brewers on WGN - 2:05CDT
Rob replied to Derwood's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Who says you can't walk home? -
The blues are better than the grays... but the whites are easily the best. I say we bust out the road powder blues. That way, everybody is happy.
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I'd have to seriously consider Lilly for Brandon Wood. Wood might be enough of an upgrade over Theriot to cover the downgrade from Lilly to Lieber in the rotation.
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Swisher is my 1B, and Milledge is in the outfield... but it's not a biggie. And yeah, we should definately at least finish out this round. Where the hell is earth2sean?
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3/27: Cubs battle Brewers on WGN - 2:05CDT
Rob replied to Derwood's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Goodness gracious... -
3/27: Cubs battle Brewers on WGN - 2:05CDT
Rob replied to Derwood's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Cedeno really needs to be starting. -
3/27: Cubs battle Brewers on WGN - 2:05CDT
Rob replied to Derwood's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Technically, yes. -
Preseason awards (semi-interesting article)
Rob replied to Bote McBoteface's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Theriot has abysmal range. His arm is so poor that he's playing in a few steps, which severely hampers his ability to get to anything. He's solid on what comes right at him... but he wont get to anything else. -
I demand that he come out to "Feel Good Inc." by the Gorillaz. That opening laugh track could be freaky.
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They're about even. I'd have to give a slight edge to Murton, though.
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Why would you ignore it? Oh, I was saying to ignore it because the ceiling/floor argument actually helps Cedeno's case. If Ronny is at his floor, he's horrible. If he's at his ceiling, he's a well above average SS. If Theriot is at his floor, he's horrible. If he's at his ceiling, he's just bad.
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PECOTA isn't a crystal ball. It functions more as an indicator of the actual talent level of the players involved. And in this case, the lessons its giving us are fairly important. Not only was Cedeno's 2006 a fluke year (in the bad way). But Theriot's 2007 performance was a fluke (in the good way). In essence, what PECOTA is telling us is that we haven't seen the real Ronny Cedeno... and that Theriot, horrible though he is, is actually playing over his head. Cedeno is the better player right now.
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agreed. cedeno makes too many fielding and baserunning mistakes, and in 2006 he was one of the worst hitters in baseball. the two guys have roughly the same amount of PAs in the majors; Theriot's big league EqA is .260 while Cedeno's is .214. that's right, .214. with theriot you know what you're going to get, and it's mediocrity, but it's not a complete black hole. cedeno could be a better player, but we've got more than a year of major league sample size to look at, and he's been far worse in that time. for a team that is in contention right now, i don't know if you have another year to see if he will sink or swim. Theriot's Projected EqA: .237 Cedeno's Projected EqA: .252 Completely forget all the talk about Cedeno's ceiling/floor vs. Theriot's ceiling/floor. Right now, at this very moment, Cedeno is a better bet to produce this year than Theriot is.
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Who cares?
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I never understand when people say stuff like this. Getting to the playoffs is much harder than actually having success once you're there. Seriously. Once you make it to the playoffs, its just about luck as much as it is about talent... which isn't the case so much over the course of 162 games in the regular season. But some people choose to romanticize the playoffs as if the team that emerges from them was actually the best that year... no matter what evidence there is to the contrary. Getting to the playoffs is priority #1. If we can do that this year without sacrificing our chances to do so in the coming years, we absolutely need to do that. Trading away players that might add a 5% chance to make the playoffs next year, in exchange for an additional 1% chance to win the world series this year would just be a poor utilization of resources.
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cySfw8f0beg
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Why? If Roberts came, you would have Derosa and Fontenot as backup infielders. Still don't think the deal will happen, but cutting Cintron should not have any bearing on it. You're assuming Lou feels comfortable at SS with DeRosa or Fontenot for an extended amount of time should anything happen to Theriot... which doesn't appear to be the case.
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Cutting Cintron means we wont be trading Cedeno. Cedeno and Gallagher were the only constants in the proposed deals... Getting a deal done just got a whole heckuva lot harder.
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I only like fu manchus in Montreal.
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Just standard categories (R, HR, RBI, SB, BA, W, SO, SV, ERA, WHIP). And while I don't particularly need help in steals, I could really use a boost in batting average. I am employing Rickie Weeks, Stephen Drew, and Chris Young... and only have Todd Helton really offsetting one of them. Besides, with Santana, Peavy, and Smoltz in the fold... losing Hamels is just trading from depth.
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Trade Thome and Kendrick for some starting pitching help. Play Johnson and Kemp in their places.
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Deal is accepted and pending league approval (need 6 votes from mostly disinterested owners to shoot it down... it wont get vetoed). My offense just got somewhat fearsome.
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This may become less of an issue. Another guy in the league has the worst pitching staff in the league (by far), and a major mancrush on Jay Bruce... he's currently debating a trade of Carl Crawford for Cole Hamels and Jay Bruce. And while that may seem lopsided, the numbers actually show that he would be getting considerably better even if Jay Bruce never takes a cut in the majors this year.
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Why aren't you locking this damned thread! I secretly want this thread to cross the 300 page plateau. That way we can say we talked about nothing for 300 pages. That's not exactly a well-kept secret. Well, it was a mighty fine secret until YOU decided to let the cat out of the bag. I didn't let it out. It clawed its way out while I was digging the hole to bury it in.
