Sadly I think you're right about it requiring Zambrano or Prior to get Tejada. We're not the only team that would love to land Tejada this offseason, and the Orioles will be getting trade offers that would net them very good, PROVEN players (like Manny). If the Cubs were the only team interested in Tejada, something along the lines of Pie+Cedeno+Williams and/or Hill might work. But unfortunately we're not the only team. That beind said I'd rather not lose Prior or Z. JCs right - upper tier pitchers are availble every season, but they recently have been getting absurd salaries. I'd rather keep Prior and Z at reasonable price for as long as we can. To use your examples, I think Baltimore would be better off with Pie, Cedeno Williams/Hill + $10 million saved, than with Manny. How so? Pie, Cedeno, and Hill haven't proven anything in the majors, and Williams has pitched less than 400 innings total. How they will perform is very uncertain, while Ramirez's production for the remainder of his contract is more predictable. I think that Baltimore would rather take the "surer" bet in a trade situation. Just my .02. I don't think the upgrade from Tejada to Manny is near enough to have a huge impact on the O's. Baltimore needs to take the risk with the higher upside, because the "sure bet" isn't enough to make them contend. By taking that Cubs proposal they save $10M a year for 4 years. Sign a stud pitcher (Milwood) to a 4 year/40M contract. I think Williams is a capable #4 at this point, and will only get better. With Milwood, Bedard, and Cabrera he would be the #4 there. Pie has huge upside, and Cedeno and Hill can be very good MLB players too. I doubt ALL of those prospect work out, but even if some do Baltimore would be in good shape. Also don't forget that Manny has 3 years left on his deal, while they would have Pie for 6 years, Cedeno and Hill for 5 or 6, and Williams for a few years too. I also am assuming that Boston would give cash to make the Manny-Tejada money the same. If Boston isn't offering cash, the Cubs deal saves Baltimore an additional $8M a year to pursue free agents. If Baltimore was a team that could contend for a World Series in the next 2 years, I agree with you and take Manny. I don't think they can contend now.