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CP_414

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Everything posted by CP_414

  1. CP_414
    You’re ranting about how they might not be able to do it just because past teams did it. This team did it. If they find themselves 5-6 back again they may or may not come back, but they certainly can, because they already did in April and it has nothing to do with past years. you're interpreting the things i said based on the way he responded to them. i said they're going to fall 5-6 games back. he immediately jumped to talking about how that's no big deal because what's happened in the past. then i pointed out that having done it in the past doesn't mean it's something that will be easily repeated, or that can be counted on. i didn't imply anything more about a 5 game deficit than the obvious, which is that it would suck and make the job in the second half more difficult. No. You said they’ll fall 5-6 back. He pointed out that if that happens they’ve proven they can come back from that type of deficit. Then you started ranting about how “what they’ve done in past years doesn’t matter.” I pointed out that it wasn’t past years. They did literally this thing you are talking about in April. April was this year. Beyond that, I truly don’t care.
  2. CP_414
    They did it in April. i didn't imply the cubs couldn't come back from 5-6 games back You’re ranting about how they might not be able to do it just because past teams did it. This team did it. If they find themselves 5-6 back again they may or may not come back, but they certainly can, because they already did in April and it has nothing to do with past years.
  3. CP_414
    You want this team to fail. I get it. You wanted the same thing last year also. I do believe in this team and think they’re going through a rough stretch. Does that mean they will be fine? Of course not. But yes, I do think they’re a good team. Regardless of what I think about them, you implying a 5-6 game deficit to the Brewers is insurmountable is absurd. I didn't say it was insurmountable. You implied that it would be no big deal because past teams did it, and I pointed out the problem with that thinking. This is after you moved the goal posts from when you previously said the brewers schedule didnt matter and that they wouldnt pull ahead of the cubs. I get it, I whine in game threads a lot. but right now the organization really isnt in a very good spot going forward, so maybe you should accept that. I understand that we should be thankful for what the Cubs have done in the last 5 years, but the actions of the organization in the last couple years dont warrant your defense. they should be criticized heavily for what they're doing. They did it in April.
  4. CP_414
    Eflin and Jake both have big L/R splits. He’s just trying to get as many lefties in as he can.
  5. CP_414
    The Cubs payroll is only 2nd (or 3rd, the Yankees are about even) because other teams came back to them. Other owners being cheap doesn’t make the Cubs owners not cheap. It’s fair to criticize the Cubs spending even though other big market teams stopped spending, too.
  6. CP_414
    That’s a terrible idea. Russell for Happ? Sure. Russell can go for anybody. Zagunis for Happ? That’s fine. Zagunis sucks. I’d still prefer that Happ starts slugging above .380 vs AAA pitching with a juiced ball before he returns.
  7. CP_414
    The new Fangraphs mock has Logan Davidson to the Cubs. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/mock-draft-2-0/
  8. CP_414
    Eh, he's a below-average runner and I think he's going to slow down even more as he gets older. I think he'd be pretty bad in LF. I believe he's a 1B only prospect. The bat is pretty solid and he has amazing discipline. Right now he has 43 BB to 25 K on the year. Overall, in college he's 109:68 BB/K. I think he'll post good OBP in the big leagues too, but maybe not a high-average. I don’t watch a lot of college baseball, but just reading stat lines he’s one of my favorite bats that will probably be available when the Cubs pick. Him being a 1b only makes it tough to pick him, but if he could bounce around like Bellinger or Muncy and with the DH coming he’d be interesting.
  9. CP_414
    Is Logan Wyatt a first base only prospect, or does he have a chance to play elsewhere?
  10. CP_414
    Oladipo/Zeller Hoosiers?
  11. CP_414
    The Dodgers were under the tax line last year. Only Boston and Washington spent above the CBT. This has to change in the next CBA, right? This system encourages high spending teams to spend less every other year. What’s the last major win by the Players Union? This has been a gradual move in the owners direction for decades and the players extended Tony Clark as Union leader. I’d expect it’ll continue to move in the owners direction moving forward.
  12. CP_414
    They are also currently 9 million under cap and we are over by 14 million. Which doesn't really matter in the grand scheme of things because if they don't move another $20+ million this will be their 3rd consecutive year over and the penalties start getting really ridiculous. EDIT: And they just blew most of that on Joe Kelly. The Dodgers were under the tax line last year. Only Boston and Washington spent above the CBT.
  13. CP_414
    That one dude ABTY or whatever it was threw a fit awhile back and now mostly rants and raves about the Bears on Twitter. There was another guy, Marlin, I think, who knew some stuff. I only ever lurked on there time to time. A few other guys here might know more. Marlin was legit. He hasn’t had anything interesting in a while, so I’m not sure if he still has a contact, but he had a few scoops years ago. ABTY always made Charles the Cat look like Ken Rosenthal.
  14. CP_414
    Roster Resource says he has one option left. That seems right from scanning his career but I never feel confident about this. Arizona Phil will be able to confirm soon enough. Not AZ Phil, but he does have an option remaining.
  15. CP_414
    It’s a benefit that’s wasted on Arizona. They aren’t going near the tax anyway. You’d think if they can’t offload his contract in another trade they would be willing to swap him for a bad salary player that can play for them in the majors.
  16. CP_414
    Tomas is not on the 40 man roster. I believe his luxury tax number is $0 as long as he stays off the 40-man. He’s still owed his contracted salary, but I don’t think it counts towards the tax. The Red Sox have a similar situation with Rusney Castillo. He’d be a good candidate to get in a trade offload some dead money off the tax number. What's the catch with this? I think it may be true as well, because anytime I look at the Dodgers tax situation, I don't see Yasiel Sierra or that Arrabarruena guy counting against theirs.......... So, what stops us from just outrighting Chatwood and saving his money? There's gotta be something, right? I'm assuming he's got to accept it, when its possible some team could conceivably offer him a major league minimum deal? But, if that's the case, I figure someone would have done the same with Tomas as well..... Service time. Players with at least five years of service time can elect free agency after being outrighted and keep their entire contract.
  17. CP_414
    Tomas is not on the 40 man roster. I believe his luxury tax number is $0 as long as he stays off the 40-man. He’s still owed his contracted salary, but I don’t think it counts towards the tax. The Red Sox have a similar situation with Rusney Castillo. He’d be a good candidate to get in a trade offload some dead money off the tax number.
  18. CP_414
    I don’t know if it’s realistic, but Robbie Ray would be great if Arizona is blowing it up. If they lose out on Harper or get Machado, Castellanos from Detroit could be a good target. Scooter Gennett? Jon Gray? Cesar Hernandez? Whit Merrifield?
  19. CP_414
    So they probably don’t give a horsefeathers about their AAV being more than $40 mil over the tax. If they gave Bryant 10 years at well over $200 then they are increasing his 2019 number by $10 mil or more. You don’t do that if you have to stay within $40 mil of the tax and have other needs.
  20. CP_414
    I’d hate trading Schwarber for one of those guys. Just sign Robertson and Chavez and the pen looks extremely good and they still have the guy who had a .356 obp, 26 HRs, and 3.2 fWAR in a disappointing season.
  21. CP_414
    The Red Sox did it this year, right? Not coincidentally, the one big market team that decided to give a horsefeathers and spend over $40 mil over the tax won 108 games and is in the ALCS. I agree with your point. Hopefully they say screw it and go over the upper limit at least for this year. This is their best window with this group.
  22. CP_414
    Maybe they will trade Schwarber, but Theo’s first complaint about the offense was that they stopped hitting homers and stopped taking walks in the 2nd half. Schwarber hit 26 HRs in 510 PAs and had a 15.3% walk rate. Getting rid of him does not help those problems. Maybe it’s wishful thinking, but I am hoping the “judge players by performance and not talent” thing isn’t about him. They gave about 1500 PAs between Russell, Almora, and Heyward this year. Russell should be gone for multiple reasons, Almora should either be traded or be put in a more strict platoon role, and Heyward had a better year, but he’s still bad. The contract is what it is, but you’ve just got to stop giving him 500 PA seasons. I hope that’s what he meant by judging players by performance. You can’t waste that many at bats on players that can’t hit.
  23. CP_414
    Really? Doesn’t it count as $20 mil towards the tax if the Cubs pick up the option? We had this conversation back during his hot streak in a thread I can't remember, but essentially, since his 6 million buyout is guaranteed, it has counted towards the luxury tax throughout his contract. So if they pick up the option, that 6 million has already been accounted for prior to this year. My phrasing above oversells my confidence in this interpretation, but it is more logical than that 6 million counting twice. Brett wrote about this today and he thinks Hamels would count as $20 mil vs the tax next year if the option is picked up, but he seemed uncertain. It would be nice to know for sure. I think they pick up the option either way, but it’s a much easier decision at $14 million vs the tax. https://www.bleachernation.com/2018/10/04/cole-hamels-loves-the-cubs-the-cubs-love-cole-hamels-the-cubs-hold-a-20m-option-easy-decision/
  24. CP_414
    Really? Doesn’t it count as $20 mil towards the tax if the Cubs pick up the option? We had this conversation back during his hot streak in a thread I can't remember, but essentially, since his 6 million buyout is guaranteed, it has counted towards the luxury tax throughout his contract. So if they pick up the option, that 6 million has already been accounted for prior to this year. My phrasing above oversells my confidence in this interpretation, but it is more logical than that 6 million counting twice. Interesting. If so, it’s a no brainer to pick up that option.
  25. CP_414
    Really? Doesn’t it count as $20 mil towards the tax if the Cubs pick up the option?
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