I don't know about that. The Cubs have a very low committment 2-3 years down the road. They shouldn't be guaranteeing anything to Perez, Rusch or Jones beyond this year. And he went a bit long on the middle relief. But he has much bigger faults than "saddling the payroll" with bad contracts. You mean like saddling the 25 man roster with mediocre talent, thinning a farm system that he had previously worked so hard to build, etc.? I don't know about "thinning the farm system." A few years ago, everybody, including Baseball America was gaga over a system that included Patterson, Choi, Kelton, Goldbach, Christensen, Hill, Hinske, Cruz, Zambrano and others. Hendry used that system to trade some of these "prospects" for players such as Lee and Ramirez. Not to mention Jerome Williams and Aardsma, who threw the heck out of the ball in spring training. My guess is that the current system will provide more serviceable players, not necessarily stars, than the system everybody raved about a few years ago. Guys like Dopirak, Sing, Fox, Reyes, Ryu, Theriot, Guzman, Pie, Coats, Marshall, McGehee are likely to make more of an impact than the aforementioned players. And Pie is a possible star. And don't be surprised if Hendry uses some of these players and guys like Rich Hill, in future trades. And mediocre talent abounds in the major leagues these days. I don't know, Bruce. In 2002, the Cubs had the #1 rated farm system and the top 6 looked like this: Prior, Cruz, Choi, Kelton, Hill, Zambrano. That's two bona fide stars, two fringe-regular players for a couple years, one backup and one bust. And I'd love to see what Choi and Hill would have been able to do if their development hadn't been stalled with the hand/wrist and back/leg injuries, respectively (at least, I think that's what happened to Hill, iirc). Go a little deeper on that list and it included guys like Guzman, Ryu, Cedeno, Beltran, Welly, Willis, Sisco, Theriot & Wuertz. All of these guys have seen the majors except the first two, who will see it at some point soon. Willis adds another star to the list of players in the system in 2002. Cedeno, Wuertz & Sisco add three more solid regulars. Guzman and Ryu make up part of the current core of players. The system that Hendry built as farm director and took over as GM in 2002 was almost ridiculously deep. If the Cubs get nearly that much service out of the current group of players I'll be really surprised. The overall quality of the system is part of what helped raise the reputation of guys like Hill and Choi to the point where they had enough value to get ARam and Lee. I don't see players in the system currently who have enough value to land marquee guys like that except for Pie and, maybe, a couple of the pitchers. And Pie is not really any more highly regarded now than Choi was back at that time. Another point is that we were able to trade some of these guys without feeling it too badly because there were so many good prospects. If we traded away Pie right now, who would be left on the position side with star potential unless Dopirak or Harvey can turn things around in a hurry? And while we have some good pitchers in the system right now, they certainly don't compare to the Prior/Cruz/Z troika. There are certainly still players there who are going to provide value to the team. But I don't think there's any question that the system is shallower than when Hendry moved up to GM and has a lot less star potential. Good points all, Tim. There were a lot of red flags among baseball people about Hill and Choi before any injuries came along. Scott Boras did a good job of ballyhooing Hill. Once he got into pro ball, a lot of flaws in his game were exposed. Scouts saw a lot of flaws in Choi's game even before 2003, with one telling us he'd be in the minor leagues that season _ and this was in March of 2003. The Cubs have gotten pretty good feelers already on guys like Eric Patterson, Marshall, Gallagher and Hill. The jury is still out on guys like Harvey, Dopirak, Grant Johnson, Veal and Pawelek. The Cubs development staff did a pretty good job in turning Wuertz's career around. (He's another good guy, and I hope his bad spring was just a fluke.) It's just so hard to tell. That's why I don't get too caught up in saying how great or lousy things look at the moment.