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Productive Outs

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Everything posted by Productive Outs

  1. No kidding. Seriously. Kid was blessed with a swing from the gods: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=liS3kGvQ9Bk&feature=player_detailpage#t=183s he has since removed the toe tap from his swing. it's still nice, of course.
  2. Michael Bourn: 2009: 4.9 WAR 2010: 4.8 WAR Marlon Byrd: 2009: 1.6 WAR 2010: 4.3 WAR
  3. Well, not in an NBA playoff game at least. it did happen in 1986:
  4. what about his declining offensive statistics? his wOBA, K%, HR/FB, GB%, etc, all have declined since his elite years. basically, he's been a 4 win player since 2009.
  5. Not really, he was a product of Rothschild. Since Larry is no longer here he's now going back to what he was without Larry, Is that a joke? basically, any post you see by this person is a joke
  6. If Dusty didn't mess with him, I'd like to think he'd still be hitting .260-.275 with 25-30 homers and playing great defense. I saw Corey play this weekend at Fenway. He still has more holes in his swing than a... Well, you get the picture. His pitch recognition is still awful and if you get one strike ahead of him, he's an out. He keeps getting chances because "speed doesn't slump," but he is what he is; a 4th outfielder. Anyway, this is a Starlin Castro thread who's got plate coverage beyond Corey's wildest dreams... he was also a near 5 (4.9 to be precise) win player for the cubs in 2004
  7. Now I'm a little nervous. I don't have any 4 seeds advancing past the first weekend. This is going to be an ugly bracket. How? The 4 seeds are all underseeded (Louisville is the closest), and the 5 seeds are all overseeded (WVU the closest to being correct). Other than that, Utah State is by far the best of the 12 seeds and hasn't won a tournament game since the Truman administration, Clemson is easily the second best 12 seed and has to win a game just to play the toughest 5, and Belmont, the best 13 seed, is a team I'd take against any 5, but not these 4s. EDIT: The most plausible non-4 winning pod I see is Wisconsin-Belmont-KSU-Utah State, and that's because the moronic committee gave Utah State a huge geographical advantage. I have UK losing to WVU, Wisconsin and Texas losing in the first round and Louisville losing to Richmond. if UK loses to this year's WVU team, i will stop watching basketball forever. i have to bitch about Florida getting a 2 seed. i can live with UK getting a 4 seed, but the crappiest 4 seed? i think they can get to the sweet 16 fairly easily, but their chances of beating Ohio State are exrtemely low. i think UK would have a decent chance against Duke or Pitt, or any of the 2 and 3 seeds. but no, they get a 4 seed and Ohio State. perfect.
  8. pomeroy's log5 analysis is up: http://www.basketballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=673 edit: cool move, TT
  9. Rings. Robert Horry has 7 rings. obviously, Kobe is a great player, and certainly one of the best 15 or 20 of all time. he is not MJ, though. i have friends that actually think Kobe is better. i will never understand.
  10. LeBron might indeed be the best player in the league. But in terms of taking the last shot with the game on the line, he's not in MJ or Kobe's league. Not even close. I'd rather DWade have the ball in that situation. Kobe is very bad at taking the last shot. read http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/post/_/id/24200/the-truth-about-kobe-bryant-in-crunch-time. love that article. why do people consistently put Kobe and MJ in the same league?
  11. We also talk about our favorite LCD Soundsystem songs. *beep boop bop beep*
  12. http://312sports.com/
  13. i hate the steelers. hate them. BUT, i think my hate for the jets has gotten to the point where i hate them more than the steelers. i never thought i'd say this, but... GO STEELERS!
  14. The biggest problem I have with this trade, as I said earlier, is that Garza pretty much has to reach that potential for this trade to make sense. We didn't have a need in the rotation and Garza hasn't been a top of the rotation pitcher to this point. He'll cost upward of $5-6 mil this year and more after that. His xFIP doesn't indicate a pitcher on the verge of being a top of the rotation pitcher, but he'll have to be to keep us from having overpaid. And if I'm trading primarily for potential, overpaying doesn't make sense. Dew, I think you're overrating xFIP given Garza's ability to outperform it on an annual basis. Similar to when a hitter typically hits for a high BABIP, after awhile it becomes the norm. Minus HRs, he'll improve his stats. how can we be sure that Garza outperforming his xFIP wasn't due to Tampa Bay's super awesome defense?
  15. meh, Mitch Atk...err Randy Wells could do that. you are the definition of a troll.
  16. on the topic of "Bill Jamesing" football: what do you guys think about efforts to do this? personally, i think that advanced metrics applied to teams as a whole (pass efficiency, run efficiency, GWP, all that) is great. getting down to individual players is much more difficult. there are so many things that go on in every snap. i do think that quarterbacks are easier to evaluate than other positions (RBs especially). i'm a pretty big fan of http://www.advancednflstats.com. i really love the WP graphs, and i'm a big proponent of GWP. i have noticed that some of you, who are into advanced baseball metrics, stay away from advanced NFL metrics. i would like to know why.
  17. most of the mock drafts that i've seen have them taking Bowers, the DE from Clemson. they have not been able to generate much pressure with their front four this year. however, Carlos Dunlap (DE), their second round pick last year, has improved all year, and has recorded 7 sacks in fairly limited playing time. i guess you go with Bowers if you want an elite pass rush (every team does, but you know what i mean) in the next 1-3 years, but i really think they need to get Luck however they can. at this point, they would probably have to trade up. Palmer has been a shell of himself since he returned from the knee injury. it's hard to watch him anymore. either trade for the #1 pick, have the panthers inexplicably pass on him (i don't see that happening), or win games and drop down to Mallett's range.
  18. you just got a fantasy miracle. no AP tonight. I would go Harvin. I KNOW. my opponent and his girlfriend went to NYC yesterday. he has Gerhart, but didn't swap out AP. i went with Harvin as well, haha.
  19. UGH i BARELY made the playoffs at 5-8. upset the #1 team in the first round. right now, i am up by 3.24 points in a semifinal matchup. my opponent has AP going tonight. i have a choice between earl bennett and percy harvin. .5 PPR. i feel like harvin has the higher chance to have a big game, and that is what i need (AP slipping on ice and injuring himself would be awesome, too). do you guys agree? i know it's a long shot either way.
  20. why did the Bengals have to win? :( looking at the SoS for this season (tiebreaker for the draft order), the bengals' opponents so far have a winning percentage of .583 the panthers' opponents have a winning percentage of .570. had the bengals lost, it would have greatly increased their chances of owning the #1 pick. the panthers close out with the steelers and the falcons. it is very unlikely they win either of those games. :(
  21. If it's based on position I would not doubt that. He's been a tremendous hitting shortstop. a lifetime .371 wOBA from a SS is nothing to sneeze at. that puts him third among all shortstops since 1952.
  22. I think we need to heavily promote this term until becomes a known word throughout the Internet. The only time I seem to talk about skyballing is here though. I dont know any skyballers away from NSSB Maybe start by creating a Wiki page for the term. urban dictionary, too
  23. I said 2009/2010. Over that period I believe he's been almost exactly replacement level. Aside from early 2010, he's been pretty bad. If he's traded, and bounces back a little, they'd probably hold onto him until he plummets. If all he does is hug the replacement level, they might not bother holding onto him beyond 2011/2012 and would be comfortable releasing somebody they owe nothing to. .353 wOBA and a 2.9 WAR in 2010 are not replacement level numbers. however, he was pretty terrible in 2009. He was pretty injured in 2009. very true. i wasn't trying to vilify Soriano.
  24. I said 2009/2010. Over that period I believe he's been almost exactly replacement level. Aside from early 2010, he's been pretty bad. If he's traded, and bounces back a little, they'd probably hold onto him until he plummets. If all he does is hug the replacement level, they might not bother holding onto him beyond 2011/2012 and would be comfortable releasing somebody they owe nothing to. .353 wOBA and a 2.9 WAR in 2010 are not replacement level numbers. however, he was pretty terrible in 2009.
  25. Ricky has been fumbling lately... i wonder how many touches he will get because of that. if Johnson sits, i would think that Asomugha would cover Jones. that's not good for Jones. basically, i don't know what to tell you, haha.
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