RynoRules
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Everything posted by RynoRules
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You must be **bleeping** kidding.
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John Mabry will never walk in a Cubs uniform. You sound like the movie mogul in The Godfather: "Johnny Fontaine will never get that picture!"
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That's a darn good point. Pena's OBP is consistently 90 - 100 points over his BA. If you could get the guy to hit just .275, he'd likely have nos as good or better than Clark's, and he's 10 yrs younger.
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Why are the young guys getting a shot this year?
RynoRules replied to CubfaninCA's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I base this on nothing other than instinct, but IMO JH is taking greater charge of the team this year. -
Did they actually do something? I haven't heard anything official. Taking him out of the rotation is doing something. But did they actually do that, or are people just speculating. Rusch is still listed as the expected starter. Levine and the Sun Times are reporting that Hill has been called up and that Rusch is going to the pen. In addition, Aardsma was seen shaking hands with his (former) teammates.
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One of the differences I have identified is that the Cards seem to beat up on the Brewers and Reds, whereas we do not.
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I think there will be plenty of spots for them to take. First and foremost, one or both will be returning kicks. I think Manning becomes the 3rd safety, primarily backing up Harris at FS (or maybe taking his job, depending on camp). Manning Jr. is going to be the nickelback/3rd CB, and I see Hester competing with Davis as the 4th CB. Dusty slides into the tackle rotation, and with Tank out, this is a big need. Williams will be a backup right away (Bears have 2 great LB, but are questionable on the rest of the depth chart) and should play on a lot of special teams, assuming he makes the team. Anderson is similar, he could be as high as the 3rd D-end if he makes the team, as Haynes is projected into the tackle rotation, and Idonije is hardly a sure thing. My guess is Anderson and Idonije will be competing for a job. The 6th round fullback, Runnels, could actually be the only draftee to start this year. He should be a special teamer, although he could easily not even make the team. And the guard, Reed, will hopefully do enough to make the team, because I really question the depth of this offensive line. Damn, I forgot about that. Good point.
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Ryan Church
RynoRules replied to RynoRules's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
My bust on not putting this in transactions. I understand that we have to wait until June 1 in light of Jones' status. I am half kidding and am really singing Church's praises. -
I know that he has been discussed before on this bd., but I just want to say that the guy is hitting only .244 but has a .380 OBP! Any chance Bowden is still intoxicated and would do Jones and Young Pitcher Of Your Choice for Chruch?
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Not sure if this has been discussed earlier herein, but does anyone else think Wade is hurt? I was at Game 1. He played ole defense on Gordon all night, and after every drive he limped. Watching yesterday's game, he looked the same. Thoughts?
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Seconded. Third.
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4/30 Cubs (Big Z) vs Beermakers (Capuano) 1 pm WGN
RynoRules replied to Andy's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Is it me, or do junk balling lefties own us? -
If you are right, DFA him. Now please. This is pretty much how I feel while watching him pitch: http://images.usatoday.com/sports/photos/14bigmac.jpg
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What about Choi?
RynoRules replied to vance_the_cubs_fan's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
.240/.349/.437/.786, Choi's career numbers Can you reasonably expect Clark to do much better? No, you can't. Especially when you realize 2005 Clark had "Huge Freaking Anomaly" written all over him. Clark is not an anamoly. He has had several seasons where his OBP was over .350 (about five or six, IIRC). 4 of .350+, not counting 2005. the last of those seasons was also in 2001, after which he put up obps of: .265, .300, .297. 2005 was a huge spike in numbers that can't be expected to be even close to repeated. For reasons I stated in the Clark thread, I disagree. -
No, I don't think Augie Doggie was ever an All-Star. :lol: Oh, wait; you mean Bobby Ojeda. He wasn't an All-Star either. :D Nice. Poor Bobby was never the same after that nasty accident on the boat with Crews and the other guy (both of whom passed on). I'd be willing to bet the guilt continues.
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What about Choi?
RynoRules replied to vance_the_cubs_fan's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
.240/.349/.437/.786, Choi's career numbers Can you reasonably expect Clark to do much better? No, you can't. Especially when you realize 2005 Clark had "Huge Freaking Anomaly" written all over him. Clark is not an anamoly. He has had several seasons where his OBP was over .350 (about five or six, IIRC). He hits for better average than Choi, though their OBPs are similar. I'd imagine Tony has a bit more pop, but not sure. -
The 2006 White Sox: Buehrle, Garland, Garcia, Vasquez. Soon to be 5 when Contreras is chosen for the All-Star game this year. Late 80s Mets: Viola, Gooden, Cone, Fernandez and Darling. EDIT: Apologies. The above would be the early 90s Mets. Late 80s included Ojeda, not Viola. Not sure if Ojeda was ever an All Star (though he had a sub-3.00 ERA at least a couple of times). The other four definitely were All Stars at least once each.
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They also have one hell of an offense. It will be even better when Jr. gets back. I wouldn't write them off just yet. Agreed. Their pitching does not have to be top 5 in the NL for them to win. They could be at No. 10 and win with that offense.
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That's a good point that no one else has mentioned. He has been stocky since he got here, but this year he is plain fat. He's David Wells minus the ability to get guys out.
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All those numbers mean is that he is due for a hot streak to get back to career norms. The team has been winning despite his struggles, so hopefully they continue winning when he comes around. Same canbe said for Aramis Ramirez. Even if his numbers were much, much worse than what you could expect for him, there's no reason to think he'll get a hot streak to average it out. Averages do not work that way. Yes, they do. That is exactly why they are called averages. I wonder, do you just realize what you said? You just said that if you flipped a coin 10 times and it came up heads 10 times in a row, it would come up tails the next 10 times. A better way of putting it would be... You flip a coin 10 times and it comes up heads 10 times. You flip it another 90 times and you ought to end up nearer 50/50. That makes much more sense. In other words, things tend to "even out".
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Anything that takes Rusch out of the rotation, including bringing back Rick Reuschel.
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There's no reason he can't, but there's quite a possibility he won't. Is this the "refute the argument by stating the opposite" approach? If not, please support your argument with something other than a naked conclusion. i think the argument that an old first baseman who had a crazy good season preceded by two terrible ones probably wont do it again stands pretty well on it's own. The point is he had a good year, and it was last year. To simplify it for you (since you appear to be having trouble grasping the concept), he has had several good years (not just one, as your post implies), a few bad, and his most recent season was a good one. In addition, he plays a position that lends itself to productive seasons during the later years of one's career. There is no reason that a player like Calrk, who does not rely exclusively on batting average to maintain his OBP, cannot remain productive in his late-30s. If you don't want him for whatever your reason, that's one thing. But don't pretend that he isn't a productive player when he gets the chance, b/c that isn't the case.
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CubinNY wrote: Ding ding ding!!!
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OK, in any case, I think what ocf was saying was that Jones' hot streak will cause him to come back to his career avgs. , at which point it will end.
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All those numbers mean is that he is due for a hot streak to get back to career norms. The team has been winning despite his struggles, so hopefully they continue winning when he comes around. Same canbe said for Aramis Ramirez. Even if his numbers were much, much worse than what you could expect for him, there's no reason to think he'll get a hot streak to average it out. Averages do not work that way. Yes, they do. That is exactly why they are called averages. I wonder, do you just realize what you said? You just said that if you flipped a coin 10 times and it came up heads 10 times in a row, it would come up tails the next 10 times. I don't think that is what he meant. Using your example, oldcubsfan would say that if you flipped a coin ten times and it came up heads 6 times out of ten, then on avg. its more likely to come up heads than tails. Or something.