CubinNY
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Because the actual rankings of prospects is highly subjective and prone to errors. It's something for people to get excited about or lament about. The FV thing is about the worst "ranking" that has come out. It's an ordinal measure that people treat as an interval or ratio measure. Someone who is a 50 FV is not 5 FVs better than a 45 FV prospect. Prospect rankings should be taken with a healthy degree of skepticism in general, but that doesn't mean they are entirely useless. They are based on something, and guys who get noticed are usually better than guys who don't. Alcantara will go as far as his plate discipline and swing adjustments let him. He's already good enough to play defense in MLB.
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The Athletic: Cubs looking to be "Opportunistic"
CubinNY replied to Bertz's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Saying opportunistic is creepy, but it’s also passive. But it’s Jed’s MO. -
I wouldn't bet on this game with someone else's money. I do think the Eagles will win. Saquon is a weapon.
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All and all Jed’s had a pretty decent offseason. They got a star and pitching depth. They’re still a little short on the bench and don’t have #1 starter unless someone really steps up. But they have to be division favorites.
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And Shota.
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Watching these games and it’s amazing how much time the QBs have to throw on the regular.
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Boy I hope Auburn has an early exit in the tournament. 1) I can’t stand Pearl 2) their fans are awful and 3) see 1.
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They obviously don’t have another deal ready to go or it would be done. You don’t hard sell a guy you want who has a NTC. There is nothing going on until ST.
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That’s a good question. I’d guess like a week and find out what he needs in the form of concierge service for his family to be comfortable or whatever else they can do to make the transition easier. But I don’t know how these things work.
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If he wants to be a closer he come. If he’s doesn’t want to leave Texas he’ll stay. I’m gonna guess they will try to find some enticement. Remember the Fred McGriff saga?
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We can process of elimination this Not Padres - no money Not Dodgers - plenty of money, no space Not Giants - Doval Diamondbacks - Sewald (?) maybe ------ Rangers (?) - probably not or he would have already waved the NTC Not Oakland/Wherever - Mason Miller, no Not Seattle - Munoz LAA - no one (Esteves) I'm guessing LAA or maybe Diamondbacks
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moved to other thread
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as a rough rule of thumb, But regardless, the "studies" don't differentiate between pitching a defense. Scoring fewer runs is an aggregate of both and not amenable to the precision you ascribe to the most commonly used metric, "defensive runs saved". There is too much noise.
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No, you obviously didn't read the discussion.
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Jed can do trades. I wonder who they are giving? Canario? Is that enough, who else?
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Too bad we don’t have a “Tunzi Thruth” for this. I still think Thad dude was a sock puppet for IMB or someone. What a clown.
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what have I made up? and you cannot prove the sky isn't anything.
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BTW - you are assuming something that is not a fact is a fact. If you think a run saved = a run earned that would need to be proved too. Ditto park adjustments.
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Before anyone wants to get their knickers in a bunch, I am not saying that defense is unimportant. It's very important. But there are so many variables that go into it, that it's importance is difficult to quantify. Putting numbers to it doesn't make it better or add value or precision. The metrics are still useful but likely only in the aggregate (comparing one player to another and throughout many seasons).
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The market proves this every day through the contracts they pay. But logic dictates that you cannot win a baseball game (the purpose) if you don't score a run. You cannot prove you've saved a run unless the runner was called out on the play. Therefore, in any case other than that you have to infer a run may have been saved, which is a hypothetical construct and not a real thing. It is only theoretically that one can show a run scored is equal to a run saved, but the math would have to work, and it doesn't because it cannot, because you cannot prove something didn't happen (wich is the basis of our legal system).
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This is all I'm going to say about that - If Soto were an all-glove average hitting OF with a cannon arm he wouldn't be making a quarter of a billion dollars over the next decade. Some things are hard to quantify and prone to measurement error, defensive value in baseball is one of them.
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Jed et al. like "gloveWAR" because it is less expensive and is of the mistaken belief (as are others) that all WAR is created equal. It is not.
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At some point in time the Cubs need to score runs to win.
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We don’t know a thing about Canario in MLB. DFA him for Harrison Bade is dumb. But they dumped their utility player because they thought he was making a few million more than he should be making so smart might not be an option.
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His behaivor with regard to the Cubs. He's the same as he ever was. He's looking for value and willing to pass on better players who he thinks are making too much money for too long. He and Tom might as well be the same person, or at least Tom has his hand up Jed's ass and is working his mouth. He's Tommy Boy's Tommy Boy
