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CubinNY

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Everything posted by CubinNY

  1. CubinNY
    I'm probably squarely in the mode on Jed. He's not awful, he's just mid. But he and his team picked a winner in Horton. I've been wrong about many things, but I HATED that pick when it was made. That's probably the most wrong I've been about Jed. It looks like they have an Ace in the making for as long as his arms hold together.
  2. CubinNY
    Their mold for a player is “solid but unspectacular”.
  3. CubinNY
    Exactly.
  4. CubinNY
    I didn't watch much after the first quarter. And I'm going to go full meatball for a second. Why can't they call plays to force him to make quick decisions? Like, runs some 8 yard route quck slants and outs and tell him to fire the ball. Just keep doing that until the defense softens up. That's what Tom Brady did for 10 years. He learned how to get rid of the ball quickly first. It seems so easy from the comfort of the couch.
  5. CubinNY
    I was thinking about trying to find some recent examples of teams limping into the playoffs and winning, but really, who cares? They could be coasting because they know they are in and using this time to recharge and get ready for the playoffs. It's all I got. But they do look a little crispy around the edges.
  6. CubinNY
    Dare I say so far, so good? Or at least better than the Cubs
  7. CubinNY
    Trying to think outside of the box, here. With Plancia on the question mark list, why not move Horton to closer?
  8. CubinNY
    Although he's from the DC area, Calib has a SoCal laid-back persona. That's all well and good if he's performing. If he's not, it comes off as lazy or "having an attitude". He needs to do the easy things well first. He's not done that yet. The reasons are many and varied. Hopefully, they are on the right track.
  9. CubinNY
    Yes, if everything goes well in AAA, they will use the Horton blueprint with him. What the hell happened to Jordan Wicks?
  10. CubinNY
    Yes, I think it's important to keep an eye on the big picture during times like yesterday. The Cubs are a good team even when they aren't playing their best baseball. There are no great teams this year during the regular season. The playoffs are an entirely different season, so getting in is all that matters. We all know that they refuse to exploit the advantages they have over the divisional competition. It doesn't change the calculus even when Plancia is doing his best, Zambrano.
  11. CubinNY
    Oh my
  12. CubinNY
    It’s measurement error. It’s baked into the process. These data aren’t precise indicators, they are general tendencies based on measurement of central tendency, which masks variability. Any time you are talking about what “should” happen and start factoring important things out, like defense and park factors. You are going to create measurement error. It doesn’t mean the data are bad or useless, it means that people should not use the data as an absolute measure. Because defense and park factors always matter because they are real things that effect the outcome of an AB.
  13. CubinNY
    No way back would be complete without Steve “the human rain delay” Trachsel.
  14. CubinNY
    I keep forgetting about the A's, yes, I would agree with that.
  15. CubinNY
    I saw Colorado passed the 100-game loss mark. What a shame. Denver is a great baseball city. They deserve so much better. Outside of Pittsburgh, I can't think of a worse owner in baseball.
  16. CubinNY
    There are no great teams this year, for whatever reason. Right now, if I were a betting man, I would put my money on the Phillies in the NL and the Tigers in the AL.
  17. CubinNY
    They will go as far as the pitching will take them. I like the starters, I do not like the pen. It's time for PCA to decide he's not going to be Javy Baez with more contact skills. Warts and all, they have a shot once they get in the playoffs.
  18. CubinNY
    Without doing any research whatsoever, I'd be willing to bet a small token that all the playoff teams have a similar record against the field. Baseball is just that way. The good teams beat up the bad teams and break even with the other good teams, most of the time.
  19. CubinNY
    1984 was magical (I still have the Ch Tribune newspaper from when they clinched the division), because it was the first time in our lives that the Cubs made the playoffs. We had the equipment managers listening to the radio during football practice to give us updates. Even if the Cubs beat the Padres, I don't think anyone was beating the Tigers that year. For one year, they were one of the best teams in a long, long time.
  20. CubinNY
    Joey Wentz has NBA length wingspan.
  21. CubinNY
    You two and most everyone on either side of this are having two different conversations about the same events. the “meatballs” are saying Happ didn’t perform well. And the “statballs” say, no he actually performed at expectations. The difference is one argument is based on outcome and the other is based on process. One side is basing their attribution on performance and the other side on fundamentals and the future. But if you can’t predict with any certainty when the process and the product will come in closer alignment, the prediction may be true, but has little value. It could be that Happer is two different people at the plate. The left handed version on him is an above average hitter who can do damage. The right handed version is a slightly below average hitter with not much SLG. potential. I don’t know. can a guy slump from one side of the plate? Or have the best version of the weak side not be able to make up for a slumping strong side? All players go cold and hot, this year they seemed to all be on the same schedule.
  22. CubinNY
    I understand the point you are making, but you are making it badly. How many plate appearances has Ian had this season? Unless we really want to go down the reality is wrong well, don't you think his luck would normalize at some point closer to the start of the season than the last 30 or so games? If not, I'm not sure anything means anything.
  23. CubinNY
    lol
  24. CubinNY
    One could make a prediction that player x will be better or worse based on it, but that prediction is uncertain to a degree that Ian Happ has been unlucky for 5 of the six months of a baseball season.
  25. CubinNY
    It's not a predictive stat. What is it predicting? Something that didn't happen? Or what would happen in a perfect world of lolly pops and sugar mountains? It describes the most likely outcome given exit velocity and launch angle, excluding defense and park factors.
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