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CubinNY

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  1. It's not sad. It means the model doesn't reflect reality very well right now. If the model is valid and they continue on this path they should win the division. So take solace in that. Over the last 20 years, we've been conditioned to statistics telling us things we don't know. Well in some cases, that's true. "All things equal the data show X should be better". Well, that's not the end of the story because all things are never equal. The question is why? Kyle and others like to chalk that up to luck (variability). But luck is a black box you can put anything into. There is obviously luck involved in the equation, but how much? are there other variables at work? What are they? Can the Cubs do anything about those variables? and on and on. When we see a stat that is supposed to model reality, and it doesn't, it doesn't mean that reality is off, it means that the model is not particularly good at what it is supposed to do. It could be because it needs more data or it could be for other reasons, but reality is never wrong.
  2. Maybe the will win the WS for Third-order wins
  3. Also, anyone who suggested trading Morel should put themselves in timeout for at least 10 minutes today.
  4. Rossy's Wall Bangers will score a baker's dozen today.
  5. Kerry Wood KO’d him. I think I remember him having a good game against Clemons.
  6. Morel missed more than 40 games to start the season. The Cubs would probably have won at least one or two more games if the let him start the season.
  7. For those that don’t follow the minors. Horton absolutely dominated in his first start in AA. Basically breezed through four innings. he may be in Wrigley next year this time.
  8. TIL: I can watch MiLB games and listen to the Cubs on the ap.
  9. Horton hasn’t missed a beat.
  10. The defense is supposed to be the weak part of the team?
  11. Yes, it's about current results, not future performance forecasts. Same thing with Bellinger, stay hot. But I want the Cubs to have no part in his next contract.
  12. get him in the "taking ground balls lab" this winter.
  13. If Smyly can turn back the clock to April and May for one game, I hope it is tonight.
  14. Made is the one that may haunt the Cubs. Hertz is a future relief pitcher if he can learn to throw a strike. I think Nelly will be bumping around the majors for quite a while. Hopefully, he doesn't become a Cub killer.
  15. I think the Mets are smart here. They went for it hard, it didn't work, and now they've used their financial advantage to get more talent in the system. Some people are speculating that this means that they are out on Ohtani. I think just the opposite is the case. He may be a big part of the re-tool. He may not want to go to the East Coast though.
  16. I'm really happy that they are playing meaningful games after the trade deadline! Go Cubs. This season kind of reminds me of 1998.
  17. This is a little bit damned if he do damned if he don’t. I think they did about as much as they should’ve. however, I don’t have high hopes for them spending big in FA. They’ll spend to around the LT bit will not go over it again.
  18. By design. The extra wildcard is going to make this occur more frequently. lol, all the Cubs really did is clean up their 40-man a little and maybe save a couple hundred thousand.
  19. Ross says Candelario will play more 1st than 3rd for the Cubs.
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