no, a smart GM would've never offered zito such a large contract. here's the problem with looking at their career stats: zito's last three years with oakland: WHIP: 1.394, 1.200, 1.403 ERA+: 101, 113, 116 sabathia the last three years: WHIP: 1.256, 1.173, 1.141 ERA+: 104, 140, 143 http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/404_944_P_cseason_full_2_20071001.png http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/404_944_P_cseason_full_3_20071001.png The data above and the graphs show that Zito was actually regressing from early in his career, when his WHIP was anywhere from 1.13 to 1.23. on the other hand, sabathia has drastically cut down his BB rate and has really shown signs of breaking through and becoming an elite pitcher in the past two seasons. if you look at the players' careers as a whole, then they do look very similar, but if sabathia has another excellent year, he'll be well ahead of where zito was when he reached unrestricted free agency.