eh it's possible, but baltimore is a middle-market team while the cubs can keep their payroll high. i can see them having a short down period but i don't see any reason that they should be in the toilet for 10 years. Balt. had one of the highest payrolls at the time. Unless they cont. to build up the farm, I can see them being medicore (78-85 wins) for the next 5 years or so. at the time they did, but when they got bad they stopped spending so much money. they cut their payroll big-time from the late 90s to the early 2000s, the team stopped being competitive within the division and camden yards was no longer the shiny new toy. so people stopped going (attendance last year was less than 2M; during the 90s they were regularly drawing around 3.5M). the cubs will draw because of wrigley, as long as the product they're putting on the field is competitive. i can see a down period for the cubs somewhere in the 2010-12 period, but once the financial commitments start to diminish, they'll be a major player in the free agent market again. things couldn't get much more dire than they were at the end of 2006, and the cubs turned it around very quickly by bringing in soriano, lilly, derosa, marquis (lol) and retaining the talent (lee, ramirez, zambrano) that was already there. they may not have a great system but i don't think it's any worse than it was in 2006, and guys like marmol, marshall, theriot, fontenot, soto, etc. have turned into significant contributors despite not being very highly-touted prospects. probably the biggest concern is that in 2006, ramirez, lee, zambrano all had several more years of good production down the road - they can't count on lee, soriano, ramirez, fukudome to carry the offense as they head into their mid 30s. if i were the cubs i'd let lee walk and either go hard after a big-time free agent 1B in winter 2010 (unless it appears that vitters will have a big-time bat, then i'd consider moving ARam to 1B) or try to do a trade/sign for an elite corner IF... maybe a guy like adrian gonzalez if we could pry him away from SD. they are going to need a big-time bat to build around and at this point it looks unlikely to come from in house.