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    Oh No: Cade Horton Leaves in 2nd Inning of Cubs Game Against Guardians

    Arguably, the best reason to believe the 2026 Cubs can overcome the Milwaukee Brewers to win the NL Central—and, indeed, to make a deep run in October—is the presence of Cade Horton at the top of their rotation. On Friday, Horton felt something and left his start abruptly. Yikes.

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    The Cubs amassed pretty good starting rotation depth this winter, all things considered. They entered the season with a fully healthy group of five: Matthew Boyd, Cade Horton, Shota Imanaga, Edward Cabreras and Jameson Taillon. Behind them, as depth, the team has Colin Rea and Ben Brown in the big-league bullpen and Javier Assad waiting in the Triple-A Iowa rotation. You can't be much better-positioned to withstand an injury than that, in the modern game, especially given that the team will get Justin Steele back after his 2025 Tommy John surgery, sometime this summer.

    Take the best arm out of any pitching staff, though, and it looks a lot weaker, immediately. That might be what the Cubs are facing now. On Friday, Cade Horton departed in the middle of an at-bat in the bottom of the second inning, feeling obvious discomfort and calling the trainer to the mound before leaving. His fastball velocity nosed down sharply immediately before he left, too.

    We'll update when we know more about what's happening, but it's not too early to harbor deep concerns here. Should Horton miss significant time, the Cubs would be without their ace and the rest of the rotation would immediately seem stretched and strained—just as they were around this time last year, when they lost Steele.

    UPDATE: If you were hoping the issue was a simple blister or that Horton was dealing with a lingering cold or flu, you'll have to let that hope go. The issue is in his forearm, the team announced.

     

    Now, the question is of severity. A trip to the injured list is virtually guaranteed, any time a pitcher leaves a game with a forearm problem. Presumably, Horton will be sent for imaging, and much of the Cubs' upside for this season will hinge on the outcome thereof.

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    Featured Comments

    imb

    Posted

    3 weeks ago i would have told you i had no faith in matthew boyd and cade horton to be good and/or make it to the ASB and I still would have said this is an 88-win playoff team. there is plenty of middling pitching languishing around, the cubs' 2026 has rested and still rests on the defense (elite) and the bats (TO BE DETERMINED)

    im not trying to be an optimist, because i hate this team franchise and front office, but i think we're fine. 

    • Like 2
    Bertz

    Posted

    Two blown UCLs isn't quite the kiss of death it was 10 or even 5 years ago, but it's pretty damn bad.  I think you can count on your fingers and toes still the guys who've come all the way back as SPs, and even most of them are pretty diminished (Taillon’s a good example).

    Irrelevant Dude

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Bertz said:

    Two blown UCLs isn't quite the kiss of death it was 10 or even 5 years ago, but it's pretty damn bad.

    And at only 24 years old, there is a pretty high likelihood of a 3rd down the road if he has any sort of lengthy career.

    Old Style

    Posted

    FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK

    sneakypower

    Posted

    we'll always have that 2025 2nd half

    Bertz

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Irrelevant Dude said:

    And at only 24 years old, there is a pretty high likelihood of a 3rd down the road if he has any sort of lengthy career.

    Yeah and the 3rd time truly is a kiss of death.  Daniel Hudson got a few years on his 3rd UCL and Jonny Venters got one?  And I believe that's *it*.

    That said this stuff doesn't always have rhyme or reason.  Adam Wainwright and Masahiro Tanaka each pitched for like a decade with their UCLs hanging by a thread.  Nate Eovaldi had both his TJs by 27 and has had one of the best after 30 pitching careers of the last decade.

    But yeah, realistically revise your expectations for Cade way down.

    BKHoo

    Posted

    55 minutes ago, sneakypower said:

    we'll always have that 2025 2nd half

    You men first half, right?  Take away that half and the Cubs have basically been a non-playoff team during this GM's era.  Maybe you were just talking about Cade? 

    • Like 1
    Tangled Up in Plaid

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, BKHoo said:

    You men first half, right?  Take away that half and the Cubs have basically been a non-playoff team during this GM's era.  Maybe you were just talking about Cade? 

    pretty sure he was talking about Cade, considering the second half he had.

    UMFan83

    Posted

    We’re fine. It makes the job harder but Cade Horton, as awesome as he is, was not the sole reason we had deep playoff aspirations. Not ideal but plenty of time to figure it out, we have depth even if it isn’t particularly exciting, the chance that Steele comes back and is anything close to his pre-injury self and there is still a trade deadline if the SP really goes south but the Cubs are still in it. Sucks but the sky ain’t falling. 

    • Like 1
    Bull

    Posted

    1 hour ago, UMFan83 said:

    We’re fine. It makes the job harder but Cade Horton, as awesome as he is, was not the sole reason we had deep playoff aspirations. Not ideal but plenty of time to figure it out, we have depth even if it isn’t particularly exciting, the chance that Steele comes back and is anything close to his pre-injury self and there is still a trade deadline if the SP really goes south but the Cubs are still in it. Sucks but the sky ain’t falling. 

    Assad showing you may be right. Steele coming back next month. It's gonna be ok.

    Rex Buckingham

    Posted

    The problem is, Javier Assad and Collin Rea and Jameson Taillon can help you win plenty of regular season games... but they arent playoff starters. Horton was a guy you hoped would be ready to give you 5+ in a playoff start. Those guys might give you 3. 

    Soul

    Posted

    Great.  I just heard this.  FMCL.

    UMFan83

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Rex Buckingham said:

    The problem is, Javier Assad and Collin Rea and Jameson Taillon can help you win plenty of regular season games... but they arent playoff starters. Horton was a guy you hoped would be ready to give you 5+ in a playoff start. Those guys might give you 3. 

    True but even without Horton neither Assad or Rea would be projected to be in a Cubs playoff rotation. Would be Cabrera, Steele, and 2 of Boyd, Shota and Taillon. If anything you’d want an Assad or Rea to be giving 3 innings piggybacking off the 3rd and 4th starters. 

    gflore34

    Posted

    Don't discount Shota.  Despite my hot take, he looked every bit of 2024 Shota his last start.

    Neuby

    Posted

    It's been a couple days since Boyd and Horton went down Hoyer better be on the phone and getting a deal done with Giolito. 

    Brian707

    Posted

    22 hours ago, Neuby said:

    It's been a couple days since Boyd and Horton went down Hoyer better be on the phone and getting a deal done with Giolito. 

    Waiting on Jed

    Cedric The Entertainer Waiting GIF by CBS

    Jason Ross

    Posted

    23 hours ago, Neuby said:

    It's been a couple days since Boyd and Horton went down Hoyer better be on the phone and getting a deal done with Giolito. 

    Giolito looks pretty cooked. Ignore the ERA for a moment from last year:
    - K% was down from 25% to 19%
    - o-contact% up 10%
    - 3% swinging strike down
    - contact% up 5%
    - Stuff+ down to 92 from 97

    To recap: hitters swung less (because they're hunting pitches), made more contact when they did swing, made more contact on chase pitches, stopped striking out, and his pitch shape really sucked. Not good.

    There's a reason he's a free agent in April. If he wants a full-on MiLB deal with some sort of an opt-out by May-15th to show he's got something in Iowa? Sure. But beyond that, there shouldn't be any rush to offer him a spot. Rea and Assad are probably just as good, Wiggins is probably not *too* far away, and Connor Noland is probably fine for a spot start or Ben Brown if you need them. With how much time it'll take for Gio to ramp up (say, 3-4 weeks) i's probably not far off from when Boyd would be around coming back.

    • Like 1
    Bertz

    Posted

    The only thing Giolito has on Rea at this point is name recognition.  I'd take each of Brown/Assad/Wicks over him too.

    To 1908's point the fact that the Braves haven't signed him (down 3 SPs with a 4th looking pretty diminished) is as much of a tell as you can find.

    • Like 3
    CubinNY

    Posted

    My opinion (obviously) is that they should let Assad and Rae pitch until they demonstrate they can't do the job. There is no sense in making a panic move or signing scrap heap guys. I'd like to give Brown a shot too, but he needs to throw more strikes. Unless he develops a better third pitch he can use with higher regularity, he isn't a starter. 

    gflore34

    Posted (edited)

    7 minutes ago, CubinNY said:

    My opinion (obviously) is that they should let Assad and Rae pitch until they demonstrate they can't do the job. There is no sense in making a panic move or signing scrap heap guys. I'd like to give Brown a shot too, but he needs to throw more strikes. Unless he develops a better third pitch he can use with higher regularity, he isn't a starter. 

    It's not even this, it's his inability to consistently execute his pitches, the stuff is there, the execution is not.  As someone previously mentioned he is who is, he may find some consistent execution in spots but, will never maintain.  He is not someone to be relied upon for effectiveness.

    Edited by gflore34



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