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    Cubs-Brewers Game One Thread, By The Numbers

    The Cubs head up I-94 to open the NLDS to face the Brewers. Join our game thread!
    Brock Beauchamp

    By Brock Beauchamp

    Image courtesy of © David Banks-Imagn Images

    Cubs Video

    Milwaukee and Chicago open their series at American Family Field today at 1:08 p.m. CDT, with right-hander Freddy Peralta scheduled for the Brewers and left-hander Matthew Boyd for the Cubs. 

    Peralta threw 176 2/3 innings across 33 starts with a 2.70 ERA, a 3.65 FIP, a 28.2 percent strikeout rate, and a 9.1 percent walk rate. He allowed 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Boyd logged 179 2/3 innings in 31 starts with a 3.21 ERA and a 3.65 FIP. His strikeout rate was 21.4 percent with a 5.8 percent walk rate, and he allowed 0.95 home runs per nine innings. 

    Brewers Offense
    Milwaukee’s offense produced a .322 wOBA and a 107 wRC+. Brice Turang led regulars with a .346 wOBA and a 124 wRC+ across 659 plate appearances. William Contreras had 659 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 113 wRC+. Christian Yelich added a .343 wOBA and a 121 wRC+ in 644 plate appearances. Sal Frelick logged 594 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 114 wRC+, and Jackson Chourio had 589 plate appearances with a .328 wOBA and a 111 wRC+. 

    Matthew Boyd vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Andrew Vaughn R 14 12 3 2 0 1 1 2 4 .250 .357 .667 1.024 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Jake Bauers L 11 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .091 .091 .091 .182 0 0 0 0 0
    3 Christian Yelich L 11 11 3 1 0 1 2 0 3 .273 .273 .636 .909 0 0 0 0 0
    4 William Contreras R 9 9 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 .444 .444 .778 1.222 0 0 0 0 1
    5 Brice Turang L 8 7 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 .286 .250 .286 .536 0 1 0 0 0
    6 Isaac Collins B 6 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 .200 .333 .200 .533 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Sal Frelick L 6 5 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 .400 .500 .400 .900 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Joey Ortiz R 6 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .333 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Caleb Durbin R 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .200 .000 .200 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Brandon Lockridge R 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 .333 .500 .667 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Jackson Chourio R 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 .000 .667 .000 .667 0 0 0 0 0
    12 Rhys Hoskins R 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Blake Perkins B 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    Cubs Offense
    Chicago’s offense finished with a .325 wOBA and a 110 wRC+. Kyle Tucker had 597 plate appearances with a .363 wOBA and a 136 wRC+. Michael Busch posted a .369 wOBA and a 140 wRC+ over 592 plate appearances. Seiya Suzuki contributed a .343 wOBA and a 123 wRC+ in 651 plate appearances. At the top of the order, Pete Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner each recorded a 109 wRC+, with Crow-Armstrong adding 31 home runs and 35 steals and Hoerner adding 29 steals. 

    Freddy Peralta vs. Chicago Cubs: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Ian Happ B 38 32 2 0 0 1 2 6 14 .063 .211 .156 .367 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Nico Hoerner R 31 28 5 3 0 1 5 2 5 .179 .258 .393 .651 0 0 0 1 0
    3 Seiya Suzuki R 27 23 3 0 0 1 3 4 12 .130 .259 .261 .520 0 0 0 0 0
    4 Dansby Swanson R 22 20 2 0 0 1 1 2 8 .100 .182 .250 .432 0 0 1 0 0
    5 Michael Busch L 20 16 2 0 0 2 2 4 7 .125 .300 .500 .800 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Kyle Tucker L 15 11 5 1 0 0 0 4 1 .455 .600 .545 1.145 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Pete Crow-Armstrong L 13 11 5 1 0 1 3 1 1 .455 .500 .818 1.318 1 0 0 0 0
    8 Carson Kelly R 11 10 1 0 0 0 1 1 4 .100 .182 .100 .282 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Justin Turner R 8 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .125 .125 .125 .250 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Willi Castro B 7 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 .143 .143 .143 .286 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Matt Shaw R 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .167 .000 .167 0 0 0 1 0
    12 Moisés Ballesteros L 2 2 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Reese McGuire L 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    14 Jameson Taillon R 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    From a run-prevention standpoint, Peralta’s profile paired a high strikeout rate with a FIP close to his ERA. Boyd’s season line showed comparable FIP to ERA with fewer walks and a lower home-run rate. 

    Brock Beauchamp is the technical and community lead for the DiamondCentric network of sites. He has been an avid baseball fan since the mid-80s and founded his first baseball site, Battle Your Tail Off, in the mid-2000s.

    Follow Brock Beauchamp on Twitter: brock_beauchamp

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    Featured Comments

    Irrelevant Dude

    Irrelevant Dude 1,546

    Posted

    Just now, We Got The Whole 9 said:

    horsefeathers disaster. Leave Soroka in for 6+, this one is over 

    Then send him to the IL.

    Tangled Up in Plaid

    Tangled Up in Plaid 417

    Posted

    Ben Brown is gonna come in and end up looking amazing. Book it 

    DYMNO

    DYMNO 197

    Posted

    See ya, fellas. 

    chibears55

    chibears55 806

    Posted

    Well this was pretty much predictable..

    Boyd was shaky as it was since September and needing rest, but hey let start him with 3 days rest against the Brewers on the road. 

    He got all of 2 outs, but at least he'll be available and rested for Game 4 if they get there 😒

    I guarantee no other manager that in the postseason now would of started Boyd today and would of taken advantage of getting him and Imanaga those extra days off. Today should of been the day to go with a Rea, Assad, and or Soroka combo to get 6 innings.   Counsell screwed this one up and better hope Imanaga with just 4 days rest can get it done Monday 

    • Like 1
    cubfansince77

    cubfansince77 79

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Hot Sauce said:

    We knew it was going to be bad with Boyd on short rest. It sucks, but this game isn’t over.

    LOFL...you are literally correct but figuratively? It's over bro. Soroka is almost as bad as Boyd. HEY.....the inning is OVER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Derwood

    Derwood 3,374

    Posted

    Just waiting for the Penn State game to start 

    Ding Dong Johnson

    Ding Dong Johnson 1,520

    Posted

    This is why you get quality SPs at the deadline. This is on Jed more than Craig or Boyd.

    • Like 1
    cubfansince77

    cubfansince77 79

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Chicago Al said:

    Why does hitting come so easy for this bum ass team?

    Gotta love rhetorical questions. Effers are GOOD which is why they left us in the dust in the divisional race. 

    Wilson A2000

    Wilson A2000 598

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, We Got The Whole 9 said:

    horsefeathers disaster. Leave Soroka in for 6+, this one is over 

     

    Jed and Craig horsefeathers down their legs

    This is not Jed’s fault. This is mostly on Counsell and the rest on Boyd. 

    Caesar

    Caesar 10

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, mk49 said:

    Rea should have started.

    Absolutely. 

    Derwood

    Derwood 3,374

    Posted

    Just now, Geographyhater8888 said:

    We all knew Boyd was too good to be true.

    Nah, he was incredible at Wrigley and we wouldn't have made the playoffs without him. But starting him today (on the road, short rest, against a team he sucks against) was monumentally stupid

    We Got The Whole 9

    We Got The Whole 9 1,144

    Posted

    Just now, Wilson A2000 said:

    This is not Jed’s fault. This is mostly on Counsell and the rest on Boyd. 

    I think they are lockstep but IDK

    Hot Sauce

    Hot Sauce 537

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, DrCub said:

    I’ll give you the Cubs and 5 runs right now…..0

    I hit submit reply when it was still 4-1. 😭

    Hot Sauce

    Hot Sauce 537

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Geographyhater8888 said:

    We all knew Boyd was too good to be true.

    Bad hot take.

    • Like 2
    Wilson A2000

    Wilson A2000 598

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Ding Dong Johnson said:

    This is why you get quality SPs at the deadline. This is on Jed more than Craig or Boyd.

    Didn’t the Cubs have the best rotation in baseball post All-Star game? Horton goes down and a bad decision by Counsell is the reason for this.

    • Like 1
    Stratos

    Stratos 503

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Ding Dong Johnson said:

    This is why you get quality SPs at the deadline. This is on Jed more than Craig or Boyd.

    Hey our 220m payroll could have afforded another TORP in the offseason too.  Colin Rea is ok but man....

    Jason Ross

    Jason Ross 2,541

    Posted

    It feels like this one is already over. I'm hoping that it's just that nagging voice inside my head, but feeling a bit despondent about it already. 

    cubfansince77

    cubfansince77 79

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Geographyhater8888 said:

    Those last 2 hits weren’t even on bad pitches. It’s like they have the pitch com bugged with a Bluetooth headset in their helmets.

    Some of you guys are just full of pathetic excuses. They are good and proved it this season. Just be a man and admit it. You sound like a kid with comments like that. Give credit where credit is due. Even Shildt did that after his team gagged against the Cubs. He admitted Dansby was the MVP. Manned up about it....you should try it

    • Like 1
    Geographyhater8888

    Geographyhater8888 425

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Derwood said:

    Nah, he was incredible at Wrigley and we wouldn't have made the playoffs without him. But starting him today (on the road, short rest, against a team he sucks against) was monumentally stupid

    You’re correct. Without his first half performance we’d have less wins.

    Geographyhater8888

    Geographyhater8888 425

    Posted

    Just now, cubfansince77 said:

    Some of you guys are just full of pathetic excuses. They are good and proved it this season. Just be a man and admit it. You sound like a kid with comments like that. Give credit where credit is due. Even Shildt did that after his team gagged against the Cubs. He admitted Dansby was the MVP. Manned up about it....you should try it

    That wasn’t younger and cheek enough?

    Irrelevant Dude

    Irrelevant Dude 1,546

    Posted

    Just now, Geographyhater8888 said:

    We all knew Boyd was too good to be true.

    Boyd is good, but he's not "start on 3 days rest" good.  The Cubs could have started Rea and then had their rested rotation lined up for the rest of the series.  Even losing game 1, they would have been in decent shape going forward.  Now they are going to lose Game 1 and they put themselves in a less than ideal position pitching-wise.  Starting Boyd was a mistake, and an avoidable one.

    • Like 1
    soccer10k

    soccer10k 546

    Posted

    Good thing we started Boyd on short rest!



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