NSBB Mock NCAA Bracket 2021

[bukie]

- Committee will effectively seed on a straight S-curve this year with a few caveats: top 4 teams in a conference are in different regions, no rematches until the second round if possible, no conference 3x rematches until Elite Eight.

 

So this basically means one Big 10 team is going to get stuck in Gonzaga’s region as the 2 seed, right, even if they’re ranked 2-5 in the committee’s rankings?

 

That is correct, if Illinois, Michigan, Iowa and Ohio State are all top 2 seeds, they will be forced into separate regions, so someone will be the 2 in Gonzaga's region (and probably Baylor's region as well). So if Illinois is 3, Michigan 4, Iowa 5 and Ohio State 6, Iowa would be the Baylor 2 seed and Ohio State would be the Gonzaga 2 seed.

[bukie]

Georgia Tech wins the ACC auto bid.

[bukie]

North Texas beats Western Kentucky to win the CUSA.

 

Putting them at 53 for the time being, they have no substance of an at large profile. Western Kentucky probably gets bumped down a few notches as well, putting them out of the running for an at-large spot.

[bukie]

Abilene Christian beats Nicholls by 34 to win the Southland.

[bukie]

Texas Southern beats Prairie View to win the SWAC, probably earning a spot in the first four.

[bukie]

Grand Canyon wins the WAC.

[bukie]

Oregon State holds on to win the Pac 12 tournament, and steals another at large bid.

[bukie]

UCSB won the Big West.

[bukie]

Since it's selection sunday, here's an S-curve made up of all the teams we've placed thus far, plus the teams I filled in on my rankings plus Oregon State and Georgetown:

 

1 Gonzaga WCC

2 Baylor B12

3 Michigan B1G

4 Illinois B1G

5 Alabama SEC

6 Iowa B1G

7 Ohio State B1G

8 Arkansas SEC

9 Kansas B12

10 Houston AAC

11 West Virginia B12

12 Purdue B1G

13 Oklahoma State B12

14 Texas B12

15 USC P12

16 Creighton BE

17 Virginia ACC

18 Oregon P12

19 Villanova BE

20 Florida State ACC

21 Connecticut BE

22 Colorado P12

23 BYU WCC

24 Clemson ACC

25 San Diego State MWC

26 LSU SEC

27 Tennessee SEC

28 North Carolina ACC

29 Wisconsin B1G

30 Missouri SEC

31 Rutgers B1G

32 Texas Tech B12

33 Loyola-Chicago MWC

34 Oklahoma B12

35 Drake MVC

36 Florida SEC

37 Maryland B1G

38 Virginia Tech ACC

39 Michigan State B1G

40 Georgia Tech ACC

41 UCLA P12

42 Winthrop BSth

43 Louisville ACC

44 VCU A10

45 Wichita State AAC

46 St. Bonaventure A10

47 Western Kentucky CUSA

48 Georgetown BE

49 Oregon State P12

50 UC Santa Barbara BW

51 Colgate Pat

52 Liberty Asun

53 North Texas CUSA

54 Morehead State OVC

55 Cleveland State Hor

56 UNC Greensboro SC

57 Ohio MAC

58 Grand Canyon WAC

59 Abilene Christian SLnd

60 E. Washington Bsky

61 Oral Roberts Sum

62 Iona MAAC

63 Texas Southern SWAC

64 Drexel CAA

65 Hartford AE

66 Appalachian State SB

67 Norfolk State MEAC

68 Mount St. Mary's NEC

 

 

I'll do one more onceover to see if anything seems way out of place, then run a bracket.

[bukie]

Here is what I think is a legal bracket (top 4 teams in each conference in separate brackets and no rematches in first round, no 3rd rematch in second round, no 4th rematch in third round).

 

[bukie]

Still plenty open to tweaks, I made a few S-Curve tweaks based on the wekeend games:

- Illinois to 3

- Oklahoma State to 8

- Texas to 9

- Arkansas to 10

 

Last 4 in right now are Louisville, Wichita State, the A10 final loser and Western Kentucky

First 4 out are Colorado State, Syracuse, Xavier and Boise State.

[bukie]

Colgate wins the Patriot leagye, having played a grand total of 4 teams this season (Loyola MD, Boston U, Army and Holy Cross)

[SouthSideRyan]

Looks great, my quibbles would be moving Ohio up a seed. I think the MAC was the best of the single bid conferences(excepting WCC cause I don’t know how to judge them), and it had some depth to it which is rare for a single bid league.

 

So along with that the MVC had nothing beyond Loyola-Drake and Drake’s single win over Loyola is their entire resume. 2 Q3 losses compared to 1Q1 win. Only played 8 Q1/Q2 games(though to their credit went 6-2 in them)

[SouthSideRyan]

I believe the 1 and 4 on the S curve will be Saturday/Monday so the play-in should be vs Michigan

[bukie]

Alabama hangs on to win the SEC, still not going to get a 1 seed.

 

St. Bonaventure wins the A10, swap them and VCU in tge bracket.

[UMFan83]

I feel like 2 out of 3 years I start this with the best intentions of finishing and then something comes up and I leave you high and dry. Either way I think I agree with the majority of your choices, looks good!

[bukie]

Also, for those curious, the reason I'm pro Western Kentucky more so than teams like Syracuse or Seton Hall is that they won their conference regular season and won at Alabama, which is a better win than anyone else in that area, so I think they'll get rewarded for that.

 

As long as Houston wins, that is.

[bukie]

No regrets, figured W KY would be a long shot, that's what I get for trying to guess the committee curveball (it was Utah State instead) Came close with Louisville, had tgem in last 4 in with Syracuse first 4 out, but I guess the committee was more impressed with a 2 point home win over UNC.