Jeff Baker

[nick23]

Just neutralizing Mike Fontenot's bad luck this year:

 

.245/.311/.407

 

Adjusting his line drive percentage back to his career norms:

 

.268/.332/.438

 

He's had bad luck and a prolonged slump. Even if you want to weigh his line this year more heavily than the others, you're still looking at a player with an expected OPS of around .750. Mike Fontenot is being villified far too much on this board.

 

Edit:

 

I also forgot to include park factors... as any good Cubs fan knows, Wrigley has been a pain to hit in this year, with the wind blowing in far more often than it usually does. And surprise surprise, Fontenot's home OPS is nearly 100 points lower than his road.

I'm calling for more villification. He's OPS'ng .670 and that's against mostly right handed pitching. It would've been nice to hide him in the 8th spot all year, but due to the sucktitude that is Geo and Soriano there is no hiding. He just picked a really bad year to be truly awful.

 

He picked the year he'd have bad luck?

.225/.293/.380 in 351 plate appearances is a little more than bad luck. It's in the final stages of a very bad year.

Also, we're not talking about a guy with 1500 or so PA's to justify this as being an unlucky year. This season makes up over 30% of his career plate appearences. Now I don't think he's quite this bad I just hope we don't give him another year to prove that he might be.

[Rob]

Just neutralizing Mike Fontenot's bad luck this year:

 

.245/.311/.407

 

Adjusting his line drive percentage back to his career norms:

 

.268/.332/.438

 

He's had bad luck and a prolonged slump. Even if you want to weigh his line this year more heavily than the others, you're still looking at a player with an expected OPS of around .750. Mike Fontenot is being villified far too much on this board.

 

Edit:

 

I also forgot to include park factors... as any good Cubs fan knows, Wrigley has been a pain to hit in this year, with the wind blowing in far more often than it usually does. And surprise surprise, Fontenot's home OPS is nearly 100 points lower than his road.

I'm calling for more villification. He's OPS'ng .670 and that's against mostly right handed pitching. It would've been nice to hide him in the 8th spot all year, but due to the sucktitude that is Geo and Soriano there is no hiding. He just picked a really bad year to be truly awful.

 

He picked the year he'd have bad luck?

.225/.293/.380 in 351 plate appearances is a little more than bad luck. It's in the final stages of a very bad year.

 

It is a bit more than just bad luck. I pointed that out in what I wrote. But luck is a significant portion of it... as could be a simple case of small sample size-itis. Did you not read what I said... or just not comprehend it?

[ArthurVandalay]

Hasn't Baker still been doing the bulk of his damage against LHP? That's nothing new for him with a career OPS vs. LHP of .931 and an OPS of .708 vs RHP. The guy has beat up lefties and struggled against righties his whole career. I suppose it's possible he's figured it out at age 28, but I wouldn't bet on it.

 

Remember hes never been a full timer before. last year was the first time he played in over 100 games, and he put up respectable numbers. Considering the options, Id just assume go with him the rest of the way.

 

Repeat after me:

 

JUST AS SOON

JUST AS SOON

JUST AS SOON

JUST AS SOON

JUST AS SOON

JUST AS SOON

 

"Just assume" is not the phrase and it doesn't make any sense. Think about it.