Here's the 2 deals Hendry needs to make

[nilodnayr]

i want to learn about all these wacky stats you guys are throwing out constantly...

 

i am your novice...educate me...you know you want to because there is nothing else to do while we are waiting for our enormous GM to pull the strings!

 

THT has a good glossary. I'm not sure how much non-BP members can see but Baseball Prospectus has a glossary as well. Also, wikipedia is a pretty good source. Or just google stuff. The interwebs are your friend.

 

If you really want to learn stuff perusehttp://www.insidethebook.com

 

thanks for the links and tips guys...should i just go buy that book after class tonight?

 

Absofreakinlutely

[DenverCubs]

What's so spectacular about Petco Park exactly? I understand it is a big major league park. So how does that effect Greene's OBP exactly?

 

Because there were ~10-15 flyball outs he made last year that would have been HRs at virtually any other park. HRs increase OBP.

 

 

So he'll probably hit more somewhere else, but a lot of you guys believe Figgins had a fluke year, so why couldn't Greene have had a fluke year in HR's? He only had 15 HR's each of the 3 years before last years 27.

 

Look at his ABs each of those years. Extrapolate the ABs (roughly 410-440 per season for 2004-2006) to the 2007 AB total (611 ABs) and you get 23 home runs per season in those years.

 

Since you are already at cubs.com, it will be easier for you to do this exercise. Click on any cubs player and go to their batted ball chart. Print out the scale of Wrigley. Go to the padres mlb website and do the same for Khalil Green showing fly outs, doubles, and triples. Overlay the Wrigley cut out over the Petco cutout. 2005 and 2007 specifically show you how much Petco hurts him. Hes a fly ball hitter in a fly ball pitchers dream park. Moving to Wrigley would be heaven for him. (Obviously this exercise doesnt account for wall height or wind, but its pretty shocking nonetheless).

I just did that...it looks like 6-7 more HR's and maybe a couple of fly-ball outs would have been out of play in 2007 and at least 11 HR's in 2005. He hit sooo many balls to the wall in right-center.

 

Left, not right. But yeah, its a lot. Roughly hes been in the top 20 players in the game in FB% the last three years.

I guess you might call that left-center...oops.

[nilodnayr]

What's so spectacular about Petco Park exactly? I understand it is a big major league park. So how does that effect Greene's OBP exactly?

 

Because there were ~10-15 flyball outs he made last year that would have been HRs at virtually any other park. HRs increase OBP.

 

 

So he'll probably hit more somewhere else, but a lot of you guys believe Figgins had a fluke year, so why couldn't Greene have had a fluke year in HR's? He only had 15 HR's each of the 3 years before last years 27.

 

Look at his ABs each of those years. Extrapolate the ABs (roughly 410-440 per season for 2004-2006) to the 2007 AB total (611 ABs) and you get 23 home runs per season in those years.

 

Since you are already at cubs.com, it will be easier for you to do this exercise. Click on any cubs player and go to their batted ball chart. Print out the scale of Wrigley. Go to the padres mlb website and do the same for Khalil Green showing fly outs, doubles, and triples. Overlay the Wrigley cut out over the Petco cutout. 2005 and 2007 specifically show you how much Petco hurts him. Hes a fly ball hitter in a fly ball pitchers dream park. Moving to Wrigley would be heaven for him. (Obviously this exercise doesnt account for wall height or wind, but its pretty shocking nonetheless).

I just did that...it looks like 6-7 more HR's and maybe a couple of fly-ball outs would have been out of play in 2007 and at least 11 HR's in 2005. He hit sooo many balls to the wall in right-center.

 

Left, not right. But yeah, its a lot. Roughly hes been in the top 20 players in the game in FB% the last three years.

I guess you might call that left-center...oops.

 

Just pretend you are really drunk and sitting in the bleachers and a girl :lol: